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Whisper Numbers: BFG unlikely to Purge Dory from the top

Three new films open in wide release this Independence Day weekend, but none are expected to provide fireworks typical of this summer holiday. Finding Dory [NEMO2] is showing little signs of slowing down as the Pixar sequel continues to put up strong daily numbers. Finding Dory could swim to another $46 million over the long 4-day weekend.

Director Steven Spielberg [SSPIE] teams up with Disney for The BFG [TBFG] based on the children’s book by Roald Dahl. The PG-rated family film boasts first-rate special effects, but lacks any recognizable stars. Despite positive reviews, the old-fashioned fantasy may be overshadowed by Disney’s own sensation Finding Dory. Descending upon 3357 theaters, The BFG may carry away $30 million.

The Purge: Election Year [PURG3] is the third and perhaps final installment in Universal’s low-cost, R-rated dystopian franchise. Frank Grillo [FGRIL] returns to help a female senator put an end to the annual event. The timely and topical story should resonate with its target audience. The Purge: Anarchy opened with $29.9 million two years ago, but expect some franchise fatigue. Canvassing 2796 theaters, The Purge: Election Year may tally $28 million.

After a less than stellar opening, Independence Day: Resurgence [IDAY2] could receive a bump over its namesake holiday weekend for around $24 million.

Hollywood attempts to resurrect another old cinematic property with The Legend of Tarzan [TARZN]. While some succeed like Sherlock Holmes, others bomb like The Lone Ranger.   Warner Bros.' latest PG-13 rated version features Alexander Skarsgard [ASKAR] as Tarzan and Margot Robbie [MROBB] as Jane. Even with modern special effects, moviegoers weren't clamoring for a story told many times before. Swinging into 3561 theaters, The Legend of Tarzan may holler $22 million over the long weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NEMO2, SSPIE, TBFG, PURG3, FGRIL, IDAY2, TARZN, ASKAR, MROBB

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 30, 2016 @ 04:01 PM 2185 views

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Weekend #BoxOffice Actuals: 1. #ShangChi $13.0M 2. #DearEvenHansen $7.4M https://t.co/hwulHb1qdg       Adrienne Warren joins The Woman King       Kim Cattrall joins About My Father        First trailer for #LicoricePizza from Paul Thomas Anderson https://t.co/yTNP9NhIVI       Roadside Attractions to distribute #Lakewood starring Naomi Watts https://t.co/YtMwFttqV4       First Look at Netflix's Operation Mincemeat starring Colin Firth https://t.co/iO7BO1Io7m       Box Score: #ShangChi wins for a fourth weekend as #DearEvanHansen underperforms at the #boxoffice…       #DearEvanHansen took in $3.27M at the #BoxOffice on Friday       Pilou Asbaek joins Salem's Lot as Richard Straker       Jani Zhao, Indya Moore and Vincent Regan join #Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom       
The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 150000 28.21 (-0.02)         X-Force (XFORC) 50000 9.38 (0.00)         Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 50000 104.90 (+0.11)         Fear (FEAR) 30000 5.40 (-0.46)         On a Wing and a Prayer (OAWAP) 25000 17.42 (-0.58)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 50000 52.98 (+0.08)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 50000 26.27 (+0.05)         G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 50000 37.54 (0.00)         Merrily We Roll Along (MWRA) 100000 9.64 (+0.57)         Bermuda Triangle (BTRIA) 50000 11.92 (+0.03)         Shang-Chi $195M Blockbuster Warr (SHCHI.BW) 25000 6.84 (+0.09)         On a Wing and a Prayer (OAWAP) 125000 17.42 (-0.58)         Bad Boys 4 (BADB4) 25000 64.76 (+0.06)         Venom: Let There Be Carnage - Op (VENM2.OW) 100000 64.04 (+0.16)         Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 25000 28.20 (+0.08)         The Many Saints of Newark - Open (TMSON.OW) 100000 8.47 (+0.03)         The Addams Family 2 - Opening We (ADAM2.OW) 100000 11.00 (+0.02)         On a Wing and a Prayer (OAWAP) 50000 17.42 (-0.58)         The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 50000 21.06 (-0.03)         Silver & Black aka Black Cat (SLBLC) 50000 10.03 (-0.02)         The Adam Project (NADAM) 100000 8.14 (+0.02)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 6000 131.29 (+0.23)         Old Henry (OHNRY) 150000 0.05 (-0.01)         Gunpowder Milkshake (GPDMS) 100000 0.11 (+0.04)         Clue (CLUE) 15000 14.18 (-0.01)         Fear (FEAR) 150000 5.40 (-0.46)         Are You There God? It’s Me, Ma (AYTGM) 20000 19.82 (0.00)         A Good Person (AGPRS) 10000 9.46 (+0.01)         American Sole (AMSOL) 10000 15.61 (-0.01)         Lamb (DYRIO) 20000 2.50 (0.00)         A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 10000 13.66 (-0.01)         Antlers (ANTLR) 10000 13.82 (+0.02)         A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 20000 13.66 (-0.01)         American Underdog (AUKWS) 75000 41.68 (+0.06)         Untitled Bee Gees (BEEGE) 20000 27.82 (-0.01)         American Sole (AMSOL) 20000 15.61 (-0.01)         Clue (CLUE) 20000 14.18 (-0.01)         The Card Counter (CRDCT) 20000 3.18 (0.00)         Copshop (COPSH) 30000 9.52 (0.00)         A Good Person (AGPRS) 20000 9.46 (+0.01)         Arthur the King (ARTKN) 20000 24.47 (-0.03)         A Good Person (AGPRS) 10000 9.46 (+0.01)         Antlers (ANTLR) 20000 13.82 (+0.02)         Halloween Kills (HALW4) 10000 66.06 (-0.62)         A Good Person (AGPRS) 10000 9.46 (+0.01)         Armageddon Time (ARMGT) 20000 13.07 (+0.01)         A Good Person (AGPRS) 20000 9.46 (+0.01)         Blackhawk (BLHWK) 20000 32.81 (-0.01)         Venom: Let There Be Carnage (VENM2) 12000 137.46 (+0.38)         Malignant (SLVCP) 10000 18.60 (-0.02)