SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Blair Witch scare Sully?

The Blair Witch Project shook up Hollywood in 1999 with its revolutionary viral marketing and launched the found footage horror sub-genre that ironically it didn’t capitalized on again until now, 17 years later. Lionsgate has return to the roots of viral marketing and found footage for Blair Witch [WOODS], a direct sequel to the events of the 1999 film. A group of college students venture into the same forest where the sister of one of them disappeared years ago. Even though The Blair Witch Project grossed an astonishing $140 million, many of its patrons bought into the hype but didn’t actually enjoyed the experience. The R-rated Blair Witch will have to attract moviegoers who were just babies when the first film came out. Showing in 3121 theaters, Blair Witch may come away with $22 million.

With its appeal to older moviegoers, Sully [SULLY] should be able to hold better than 60% of its opening weekend. Sully may land another $21 million.

After an absence of more than 11 years, Renee Zellweger [RZELL] returns to her most identifiable role in Bridget Jones’s Baby [BJON3]. After prevailing over Hugh Grant, Colin Firth [CFIRT] must now contend with a new competition in the form of Patrick Dempsey [PDEMP]. The first two films both scored over $10 million during its wide opening. Despite the long gap between sequels, the heroine’s older female fanbase is likely to support the next chapter of the R-rated romantic comedy. Bridget Jones’s Baby could deliver $14 million from 2927 locations.

Snowden [SNWDN] stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] as the real-life whistleblower who exposed the NSA’s illegal surveillance on Americans. Director Oliver Stone [OSTON] has fans as well as detractors among the older demographics, so Open Road decided to take the film to Comic-Con to attract young moviegoers. Tapped into 2443 theaters, Snowden may uncover $9 million.

When the Bough Breaks [WTBBR] did not connect with its target audience as well as Sony Screen Gems’ previous efforts. The thriller looks to drop more than 55% in its sophomore weekend to $6 million

Hillsong – Let Hope Rise [HSLHR] sat on the shelf for more than a year before Pure Flix rescued it from Relativity. The concert film will only appeal to fans of the Christian rock band. Booked in 815 theaters, Hillsong – Let Hope Rise may raise $2 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): WOODS, SULLY, RZELL, BJON3, CFIRT, PDEMP, SNWDN, JGORD, OSTON, WTBBR, HSLHR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 15, 2016 @ 03:16 PM 2778 views

Recent Comments

o1nk000
Saturday, September 17 at 03:26 AM Pacific
I took the plunge with a short at $67. What a fortune I just made. Especially as it's to open with under $10m



Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 71.40 (-0.98)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 21.18 (+1.18)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 65000 327.03 (+6.75)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 18.45 (-1.43)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 86.38 (+0.49)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 18.45 (-1.43)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 21.18 (+1.18)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 90000 19.37 (+0.90)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 90000 19.46 (+1.25)          Drag (DRAG) 90000 7.08 (+1.28)          The Invite (TINVT) 23000 18.01 (+0.50)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 20000 475.47 (+1.64)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 327.03 (+6.75)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 327.03 (+6.75)          The Invite (TINVT) 7000 18.01 (+0.50)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 1 327.03 (+6.75)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 150000 4.22 (+0.83)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 150000 4.22 (+0.83)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 26.32 (+1.57)          Verity (VERTY) 90000 53.69 (-0.01)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 26.32 (+1.57)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 30026 21.18 (+1.18)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 229.49 (+0.50)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 9161 327.03 (+6.75)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 327.03 (+6.75)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 21.18 (+1.18)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 31.61 (+3.69)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 21.18 (+1.18)          Ink (INK) 49999 11.68 (-2.81)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          Gears of War (GEARS) 140000 0.12 (0.00)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 105.10 (+1.65)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 259.68 (-1.77)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 259.68 (-1.77)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 119.73 (-2.74)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 119.73 (-2.74)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 9.02 (+0.50)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 150000 4.22 (+0.83)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 31.61 (+3.69)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 19.46 (+1.25)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 7.08 (+1.28)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 21.18 (+1.18)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 150000 10.59 (-0.10)          Ink (INK) 150000 11.68 (-2.81)