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Whisper Numbers: February to become Black Panther History Month

The Presidents Day holiday weekend box office is about to be consumed by Black Panther [BPNTH], Disney’s latest addition to the Marvel Cinematic Universe. Introduced in 2016’s Captain America: Civil War, the African superhero gets his own stand-alone movie directed by Ryan Coogler [RCOOG]. In addition to the Marvel fanbase, the PG-13 rated movie will bring out audiences who have never seen a superhero movie. Chadwick Boseman [CBOSE] leads the predominantly black cast that has excited the African-American community like no films before. The pre-release buzz is through the roof, while advance ticket sales are exceeding all expectations. Black Panther is the best-selling superhero movie ever on Fandango outpacing Captain America: Civil War, which debuted with $179.1 million, as well as for a film released in the first quarter, outselling Beauty & the Beast, which opened to $174.8 million last March. Black Panther is poised to break multiple records, including Deadpool’s $132.4 million/$152.2 million from this 3/4-day holiday weekend last February. Pouncing 4020 theaters, Black Panther looks to swipe at least $190 million over the long weekend.

The family-friendly Peter Rabbit [PRABT] should hold well over the holiday weekend and dig up around $20 million.

With Valentine’s Day over, 50 Shades Freed [50SH3] will quickly lose steam. Last year, 50 Shades Darker dropped 51% in its second 4-day weekend. A similar drop-off would put 50 Shades Freed at $18.5 million.

The 15:17 to Paris [1517P] connected with its audience despite poor reviews. The drama could pull in another $8 million.

Lionsgate opens the Claymation animated Early Man [ERLYM] from Aardman Studio. Their last collaboration Shaun the Sheep debuted with just $4 million during August 2015. The PG-rated film will appeal more to hipsters who enjoy British humor than to families, who will opt for Peter Rabbit. Descending upon 2494 theaters, Early Man may iron out $6.5 million over the 4-day weekend.

Pure Flix targets Christians with the biblical epic Samson [SAMSN]. The PG-13 rated actioner could muscle up $3.5 million from 1249 locations.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPNTH, RCOOG, CBOSE, PRABT, 50SH3, 1517P, ERLYM, SAMSN

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 15, 2018 @ 03:08 PM 2736 views

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Fly Me to the Moon (PARTM) 20000 55.42 (-0.02)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 45 27.36 (-0.18)          Orlando Bloom (OBLOO) 24999 96.38 (-0.24)          Eddington (EDNGT) 3 20.42 (+0.02)          Here (HERE1) 23047 62.44 (+0.13)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 10 8.73 (-0.07)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 20000 86.30 (+0.11)          Eternity (ETERN) 20000 17.12 (-0.11)          Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 24999 13.48 (-0.19)          Father Mother Sister Brother (FMSB) 62683 3.75 (-0.16)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 299 44.33 (-0.17)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 24999 15.83 (+0.01)          Dance First (DNCFS) 150000 1.47 (-0.01)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 120 36.08 (-0.04)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 10000 182.17 (-0.03)          After the Hunt (AFTHU) 10000 16.26 (-0.15)          Henry Golding (HGOLD) 24999 37.59 (-0.12)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 500 5.20 (+0.01)          The Choral (CHORL) 250 4.02 (-0.02)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 20000 6.50 (-0.21)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 20618 5.15 (-0.01)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 33 3.61 (+0.05)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 24999 23.97 (-0.37)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 3078 13.49 (+0.04)          On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (OBAGF) 3965 1.64 (-0.02)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 50 0.24 (+0.01)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 43842 82.06 (+4.61)          Bambi (BAMBI) 40 32.57 (-0.03)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 63000 15.96 (0.00)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 2139 29.48 (+0.64)          Mission: Impossible 8 (MISS8) 10000 154.44 (+0.32)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 15 1.52 (+0.02)          Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F (BHCP4) 150000 0.23 (-0.01)          Despicable Me 4 - Opening Weeken (DESM4.OW) 18343 81.98 (+0.23)          Assassination (ASSNT) 100 14.36 (+0.01)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 19 407.80 (+21.45)          Astaire (ASTAI) 13 13.49 (-0.15)          Assassination (ASSNT) 3 14.36 (+0.01)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 3.25 (-0.05)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 20 1.04 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 3 228.94 (+0.50)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 10000 8.64 (-0.06)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 3 18.04 (+0.01)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 30000 17.90 (+0.86)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 53 19.66 (-0.05)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 74277 8.99 (+0.07)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 10000 61.24 (-0.15)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 3 35.98 (+0.01)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 3 37.00 (+0.10)          The Return (TRETU) 10000 6.44 (+0.01)