SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Iron Man 2 beat The Dark Knight?

The 2010 summer movie season blasts off with the return of a Marvel Comic superhero in Iron Man 2 [IRNM2].  Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN] returns as the man in the iron suit, Tony Stark, along with Gwenyth Paltrow [GPALT] as Pepper Potts. Don Cheadle [DCHEA] takes over the role of James Rhodes, who suits up as War Machine. Also joining the cast are Mickey Rourke [MROUR], Sam Rockwell [SROCK] and Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA].  The first Iron Man opened at $102 million and was universally loved by audiences. With tremendous goodwill built up, the sequel will have more moviegoers feel the must-see urge opening weekend.  Trackings indicate the record $158 million debut set by The Dark Knight is within striking distance.  Iron Man 2 has already taken one record from The Dark Knight as the widest release ever at 4380 theaters.  Unlike The Dark Knight however, Iron Man 2 reviews are not as stellar as its predecessor.  Fortunately, the fan favorite is review-proof opening weekend.  With not even a romantic comedy counter-programmed as competition, Iron Man 2 has an open field to punch out $160 million. 

A Nightmare on Elm Street [NELMS] was heavily front-loaded on the Friday of its opening weekend.  The Friday the 13th reboot plummeted 80% in its second weekend last year.  A Nightmare on Elm Street could tumble more than 65% to $11 million.

How to Train Your Dragon looks to cross the $200 million mark with another $6 million in its 7th weekend of release.

Focus Features is opening the documentary Babies [BABIS] in 534 theaters to take advantage of Mother’s Day.  Babies could crack the top ten with around $3 million. 

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): IRNM2, RDOWN, GPALT, DCHEA, MROUR, SROCK, SJOHA, NELMS, BABIS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 6, 2010 @ 04:04 PM 3430 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


New trailer for #TheBatman from #DCFanDome https://t.co/A8ZzaICQvs       #Spencer is expected to open wide in 1500 theaters on November 5th       New teaser for DC League of #SuperPets from #DCFanDome https://t.co/64ZRF4v8YZ       First Look at #BlackAdam from #DCFandome https://t.co/uD61HNBYjU       First Look at #TheFlash from #DCFanDome https://t.co/iwjqUUzEbq       #TheLastDuel earned an estimated $1.86M on Friday https://t.co/szG5gHlXoC       #HalloweenKills grossed an estimated $22.86M on Friday https://t.co/xLXUw79H0r       Michael Matthews to direct Merlin, replacing Ridley Scott       #Lamb expands wide this weekend to over 800 theaters https://t.co/kRIX8GPT4j       Roadside Attractions to distribute Benediction starring Jack Lowden https://t.co/msKZP4qt5e      
Julie Delpy (JDLPY) 9000 1.85 (+0.02)         Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 7000 8.27 (+0.03)         Bob Odenkirk (BODEN) 5999 98.72 (+0.25)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 3000 10.46 (+0.05)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 2000 10.46 (+0.05)         The Expendables 4: A Christmas S (XPND4) 25000 24.44 (-0.17)         The Color Purple (TCPRP) 8000 33.15 (-0.17)         The Color Purple (TCPRP) 17000 33.15 (-0.17)         Panopticon (PANOP) 40000 6.08 (0.00)         Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris (MHGTP) 30000 3.69 (-0.01)         Ferrari (ENZOF) 30000 7.25 (-0.01)         Ferrari (ENZOF) 30000 7.25 (-0.01)         Lightyear (LITYR) 4000 162.48 (+0.03)         The Flash (FLASH) 3000 181.38 (+0.03)         Bag Man (BAGMN) 10000 15.47 (+0.03)         A Quiet Place 3 aka A Quiet Worl (AQPL3) 5000 101.73 (+0.03)         The Exorcist sequel (TEXOR) 5000 48.52 (+0.04)         The Marvels aka Captain Marvel 2 (CMAR2) 3000 211.64 (+0.04)         Jurassic World: Dominion (JURA6) 3000 285.04 (+0.07)         The Wall (THWAL) 50000 1.78 (+0.19)         Spider-Man: No Way Home (SPID8) 3000 299.97 (+0.08)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 6000 165.28 (+0.08)         Timothy Spall (TSPAL) 25000 3.55 (+0.03)         Finch (BIOS) 50000 5.63 (-0.01)         The Addams Family 2 (ADAM2) 9000 48.42 (+0.09)         The Addams Family 2 (ADAM2) 10000 48.42 (+0.09)         Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 25000 8.27 (+0.03)         Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Ve (ASPD2) 7000 136.35 (+0.19)         Spencer (SPENC) 149999 8.36 (+0.03)         When We Pray (WPRAY) 150000 5.58 (+0.18)         Carmen (CARME) 25000 3.79 (+0.41)         When We Pray (WPRAY) 150000 5.58 (+0.18)         The Batman (TBATM) 11000 240.57 (+0.71)         The Cow (THCOW) 150000 1.80 (+0.10)         The Cow (THCOW) 150000 1.80 (+0.10)         Rose Leslie (RLESL) 25000 8.42 (+0.03)         The Wall (THWAL) 150000 1.78 (+0.19)         The Wall (THWAL) 150000 1.78 (+0.19)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 25000 10.46 (+0.05)         Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumani (ANTM3) 25000 156.40 (-0.16)         Encanto (ENCNT) 50000 90.19 (-0.12)         Encanto (ENCNT) 25000 90.19 (-0.12)         Encanto (ENCNT) 25000 90.19 (-0.12)         Encanto (ENCNT) 25000 90.19 (-0.12)         Encanto (ENCNT) 25000 90.19 (-0.12)         Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris (MHGTP) 50000 3.69 (-0.01)         JFK Revisited: Through The Looki (JFKR) 30000 2.42 (-0.01)         The Holdovers (HLDOV) 30000 13.43 (-0.03)         Flamin' Hot (FLMNH) 40000 6.70 (-0.01)         Antlers (ANTLR) 20000 12.44 (-0.03)