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Whisper Numbers: Can Unstoppable topple Megamind?

Three new wide releases enter the box office fray for a chance to defeat Megamind [MEGAM].  None of the newcomers appear to have the wide appeal of the CG animated superhero film. With no direct competition for the family audience, Megamind could hold over up to 60% of its debut and remain in first place with about $27 million.

Denzel Washington [DWASH] and director Tony Scott [TSCOT] team up once again for another action film set on train tracks.  The PG-13 rated Unstoppable [USTOP] co-stars Chris Pine [CPINE], whose appearance Fox hopes would draw outside the mature audience.  While reviews have been excellent, the marketing campaign seems late in catching on.  Arriving in 3207 theaters, Unstoppable may hit around $24 million.

The first Skyline [SKYLN] trailer came out of nowhere and took audiences by surprise.  Buzz has steadily built up on the alien invasion sci-fi film that’s heavy on special effects, and low on starpower. Targeted at young males, Skyline could hook in $20 million from 2880 theaters.

While Due Date [DUDAT] opened big, word of mouth has been less than favorable.  A 50% decline would bring in about $17 million.

Rachel McAdams [RMCAD], Harrison Ford [HFORD] and Diane Keaton [DKEAT] star in the PG-13 rated comedy Morning Glory [MORNG] set around a daily TV show.   The film’s appeal seems limited to women, older women who don’t usually rush out opening weekend.  Paramount opened the film on Wednesday hoping to generate word of mouth, but the film grossed only $1 million.  Playing in 2518 theaters, Morning Glory could score $12 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): MEGAM, DWASH, TSCOT, USTOP, CPINE, SKYLN, DUDAT, RMCAD, HFORD, DKEAT, MORNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 11, 2010 @ 05:01 PM 2877 views

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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 300 498.02 (-0.20)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 20000 24.41 (+0.02)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 5 78.80 (+0.58)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 18.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 21 63.79 (+6.39)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 10000 120.41 (-0.23)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 25000 2.42 (+0.09)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 10039 46.33 (-0.11)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 10000 109.75 (-0.84)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 2000 317.45 (-0.16)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 500 18.00 (0.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 2 349.58 (-0.23)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 50000 65.26 (-0.23)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150 13.74 (-0.04)          Assassination (ASSNT) 4 8.09 (+0.01)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.07 (+0.56)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.07 (+0.56)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 2000 0.87 (-0.01)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 15 0.87 (-0.01)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 13.08 (+0.53)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 5000 39.98 (+0.03)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 8.99 (+0.99)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.06 (+1.06)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 1270 33.37 (+0.02)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 210 8.68 (0.00)          Deeper (DEPER) 10000 36.84 (0.00)          District 10 (DIS10) 6179 16.25 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.86 (-0.51)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.86 (-0.51)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 75 22.68 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 30000 45.03 (+0.13)          Painter (PANTR) 335 6.64 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 99 14.02 (-0.08)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 159 31.01 (+0.03)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 2493 81.52 (+0.90)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 6.41 (+0.55)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 6.41 (+0.55)          The One (THEON) 300 3.56 (+0.02)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 4 46.44 (-0.07)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 12.84 (+0.95)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 12.84 (+0.95)          El Muerto (MUERT) 200 4.80 (-0.02)          El Muerto (MUERT) 5 4.80 (-0.02)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5003 317.45 (-0.16)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 13.08 (+0.53)          Shelter (SELTR) 50000 13.43 (+0.63)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 450 3.65 (-0.02)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 4 8.52 (+0.01)          I Heart Murder (IHMUR) 1400 1.58 (+0.01)