SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Harry Potter casts spell on moviegoers.

The beginning of the end for Warner Bros.’ fantasy franchise commences as Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I [HPOT7] arrives in theaters. Now that character developments are over and done with, it’s time for the teen wizard to lead the battle against the forces of evil. Are box office records within reach? The previous two installments Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix and Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince are not apt comparisons as they opened on a Wednesday during summer. The last film to open on a Friday in November, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, scored $102 million in 2005. Deathly Hallows should surpass that mark easily perhaps in two days given the strong advance sales at higher ticket prices. Opening in 4125 theaters, Deathly Hallows could conjure upwards of $126 million.

Megamind [MEGAM] has proven to have staying power. With another 35% decline, the animated film would bank another $19 million.

Unstoppable [USTOP] opened along the lines of previous Denzel Washington [DWASH] films. The action thriller should remain the choice for adults not interested in fantasy. With positive word of mouth, Unstoppable should tail off around 45% to $13 million.

Washington’s American Gangster co-star Russell Crowe [RCROW] debuts his own action thriller The Next Three Days [N3DAY]. Elizabeth Banks [EBANK] plays his wife who he breaks out of prison and together become fugitives on the run. Aside from the big-budgeted Robin Hood, Crowe’s contemporary films usually open in the mid-teens. Without much buzz, Lionsgate may have to settle for less. The PG-13 rated The Next Three Days may earn $10 million from 2564 locations.

In its third weekend, Due Date [DUDAT] looks to drop to fourth at around $7 million. Between the two sophomore films, Morning Glory [MORNG] will hold better than Skyline [SKYLN] and finish with $5.5 million versus $4.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): HPOT7, MEGAM, USTOP, DWASH, RCROW, N3DAY, EBANK, DUDAT, MORNG, SKYLN

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 18, 2010 @ 04:58 PM 2659 views

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Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 25000 71.12 (+0.25)         The Cow (THCOW) 10000 2.00 (0.00)         Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 265 71.12 (+0.25)         The Wall (THWAL) 10000 2.00 (0.00)         One Way (ONEWY) 10000 1.78 (-0.22)         One Way (ONEWY) 1111 1.78 (-0.22)         Phil Lord (PLORD) 100 170.67 (+0.06)         Mother Nature (MONAT) 1333 14.67 (-0.33)         Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 11700 68.75 (-0.08)         Phil Lord (PLORD) 5100 170.67 (+0.06)         Orlando Bloom (OBLOO) 300 131.60 (-0.33)         Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 100 68.75 (-0.08)         Winston Duke (WDUKE) 5 173.20 (+0.46)         Winston Duke (WDUKE) 5 173.20 (+0.46)         Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 24000 68.75 (-0.08)         Tye Sheridan (TSHER) 5 37.63 (-0.20)         Tye Sheridan (TSHER) 5 37.63 (-0.20)         Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 5 39.74 (-0.12)         Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 5 39.74 (-0.12)         Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 5 71.10 (+0.01)         Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 5 71.10 (+0.01)         Kaitlyn Dever (KDEVE) 5 9.91 (+0.03)         Kaitlyn Dever (KDEVE) 5 9.91 (+0.03)         Julianne Moore (JMOOR) 5 7.21 (+0.03)         Merlin (MERLN) 150000 14.56 (+3.10)         Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 5 56.96 (0.00)         Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 5 56.96 (0.00)         Merlin (MERLN) 149999 14.56 (+3.10)         Cherry Jones (CJONE) 5 4.52 (0.00)         The Wall (THWAL) 120000 2.00 (0.00)         The Tender Bar (TNDRB) 150000 8.03 (+0.03)         The Way of the Wind aka The Last (LPLNT) 149971 0.35 (+0.02)         The Tender Bar (TNDRB) 149999 8.03 (+0.03)         Benedict Wong (BWONG) 5 90.90 (-1.00)         Benedict Wong (BWONG) 5 90.90 (-1.00)         The Cow (THCOW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)         David Gordon Green (DGGRE) 1000 44.49 (+0.40)         Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 5 141.10 (0.00)         Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 5 141.10 (0.00)         CW: 4400 (4400CW) 7000 13.03 (+0.23)         Benediction (BNDCT) 150000 3.74 (+2.14)         Benediction (BNDCT) 149999 3.74 (+2.14)         CBS: Ghosts (GHOSTS) 4000 14.01 (+0.29)         Ben Platt (BPLAT) 5 54.62 (0.00)         Lamb (DYRIO) 50000 5.85 (+1.11)         Lamb (DYRIO) 50000 5.85 (+1.11)         Ben Platt (BPLAT) 5 54.62 (0.00)         Lamb (DYRIO) 50000 5.85 (+1.11)         Bruised (BRUSD) 3000 0.09 (+0.07)         Lamb (DYRIO) 50000 5.85 (+1.11)