SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Wimpy Kid get Sucker Punch?

After last weekend’s trio of films for older adults, this weekend’s two new releases both target the male demographic from boys to men. While Sucker Punch [SUCKP] may appeal to a broader age spectrum than Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules [WIMP2], the sequel has a built-in fanbase of prepubescent boys. However, the hot babes with guns could sway the tween boys with its cool factor.

Sucker Punch wants to be a girl empowerment trip, but the anime-inspired visuals look more like a teen boy’s wet dream. The stylish special effects of director Zack Snyder [ZSNYD] is the main attraction, since none of the young female cast have drawing power. Warner Bros. has marketed the PG-13 rated film since Comic-Con, but the buzz has been flat if not negative. Critics’ reviews have been poor, though the target audience is unlikely to care. Debuting in 3033 theaters including IMAX screens, Sucker Punch could connect with about $23 million in a close race for first place.

Even though Diary of a Wimpy Kid opened to $22.1 million a year ago, the comedy ended up extremely front-loaded for a family-oriented film. That could indicate limited growth in its fanbase, some of whom may have already out-grown the PG-rated antics and show more interest in girls, such as those on display in Sucker Punch. Fox anticipated as much with the quick turnaround for the sequel. Opening in 3167 theaters, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules could collect $22 million, and may finish first if Sucker Punch falters.

Last weekend, Limitless [LMTLS] demonstrated adults still brave theaters if the movie is compelling enough. Since the two new entrants target the 25 and under crowd, Limitless should hold well at about $10 million.

The animated western Rango [RANGO] looks to round up $9 million for its fourth frame.

The Lincoln Lawyer [LNLAW] performed better than expected powered by mature moviegoers. The legal thriller should decline less than 40% to around $8 million in its second weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): SUCKP, WIMP2, ZSNYD, LMTLS, RANGO, LNLAW

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 24, 2011 @ 04:12 PM 6355 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Unknown (TUNKN) 150000 1.48 (-0.02)          Charles Melton (CMELT) 25000 47.82 (-0.33)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 15000 49.09 (+2.40)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 15000 21.79 (+1.07)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 62.05 (-0.25)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 34990 28.63 (-0.04)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 76.52 (+0.55)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 24995 1.77 (-0.06)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 59.32 (+0.17)          Alexander Skarsgard (ASKAR) 1 8.55 (-0.05)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 73.30 (+2.22)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 24.32 (+0.15)          Alexander Skarsgard (ASKAR) 1 8.55 (-0.05)          Star Trek (TREK4) 149999 24.38 (-0.16)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 149999 33.10 (-0.20)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 68575 265.89 (-0.56)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.57 (-0.54)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 73.30 (+2.22)          The Partner (PRTNR) 73752 46.22 (+0.06)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 3000 80.79 (0.00)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 16.67 (-0.11)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 122.76 (+0.88)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 122.76 (+0.88)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1 590.89 (+0.83)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 477 37.32 (+0.06)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 25000 66.75 (+0.25)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 149999 87.42 (-2.26)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 100000 73.30 (+2.22)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 87.42 (-2.26)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 22 184.55 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 590.89 (+0.83)          Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 9.37 (+0.10)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.54 (+1.42)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.54 (+1.42)          White Elephant (WELEP) 3000 13.98 (-0.10)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 73.30 (+2.22)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.93 (+0.01)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 0.39 (-0.01)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 0.70 (-0.02)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 13.98 (-0.10)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 15000 9.50 (+0.03)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 6.48 (-0.10)          Star Trek (TREK4) 1 24.38 (-0.16)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 75000 24.15 (+0.03)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 24.38 (-0.16)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 150000 78.85 (0.00)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 1 15.96 (+0.12)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 75000 58.41 (+0.08)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 25000 15.96 (+0.12)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 421.50 (+1.28)