SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Captain Phillips fights Gravity

After setting a new opening weekend record for October, the space-set thriller Gravity [GRVTY] has pull in strong summer-like weekday numbers. The phenomenal word of mouth has pegged the film as a must-see event in 3D, which accounted for 80% of the box office. The audience will broaden as Gravity attracts the less frequent moviegoers. Gravity could lose than 40% in its second weekend and remain in first place with about $35 million.

Tom Hanks [THANK] stars as the real-life Captain Phillips [CDUTY] of the cargo container ship Maersk Alabama that’ was hijacked by Somali pirates in 2009. The Sony film has the unenviable task of opening against a new box office juggernaut, though last year Argo managed to score $19.4 million against the second weekend of also massive Taken 2. Online ticket sales for Captain Phillips are currently ahead of Argo. Directed by Paul Greengrass [PGREE], the PG-13 rated film has earned rave reviews and award buzz since its festival premiere. Sailing into 3020 theaters, Captain Phillips could stow away $24 million.

Danny Trejo [DTREJ] is back in the R-rated action comedy sequel Machete Kills [MCHT2]. Although the first Machete opened to $11.4 million three years ago, the sequel is being distributed by Open Road rather than Fox. Writer-director Robert Rodriquez [RRODR] has loaded up more starpower with Sofia Vergara [SVERG], Lady Gaga, Mel Gibson [MGIBS], and Charlie Sheen [CSHEE], but the story and many of the stunts look like a rehash of the first film.  The novelty that began as a joke trailer in 2007’s Grindhouse has worn off, and the campy film looks to appeal only to the older male hardcore fans. Debuting in 2538 theaters, Machete Kills may cut through $9 million.

As the only family-friendly film, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 [CWCM2] should once again hold around 35% to $14 million in its third weekend. With poor reviews and word of mouth, Runner Runner [RUNER] is likely to drop more than 50% in its second outing to $3.5 million.

Relativity is releasing the latest adaptation of Romeo & Juliet [RUMJU] in 461 theaters. The PG-13 rated period drama may be hard-pressed to attract much of the desirable under 25 crowd. Hailee Steinfeld [HSTEI] and Douglas Booth [DBOOT] are newcomers without any box office draw. Romeo & Juliet may be lucky to cross $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GRVTY, THANK, CDUTY, PGREE, DTREJ, MCHT2, RRODR, SVERG, MGIBS, CSHEE, CWCM2, RUNER, HSTEI, DBOOT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 10, 2013 @ 03:17 PM 3353 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Weapons (WEPNS) 44999 22.40 (-0.24)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 4000 174.85 (-0.24)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 6000 174.85 (-0.24)          Clue (CLUE) 89999 17.88 (-0.51)          Clue (CLUE) 50000 17.88 (-0.51)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 19200 1.94 (-0.07)          The Forge (TFORG) 15000 17.72 (-0.25)          The Forge (TFORG) 6000 17.72 (-0.25)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 19200 8.46 (-0.16)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 50000 8.46 (-0.16)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.46 (-0.16)          Weapons (WEPNS) 2600 22.40 (-0.24)          Anora (ANORA) 59200 3.74 (+0.38)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 2000 18.84 (+0.41)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 4000 18.84 (+0.41)          Challengers H$10 Put (CHALN.PU) 25000 0.27 (-0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 19200 18.84 (+0.41)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 25000 4.45 (+0.03)          The Monkey (MONKY) 2000 19.96 (+0.50)          The Monkey (MONKY) 20000 19.96 (+0.50)          The Monkey (MONKY) 5000 19.96 (+0.50)          The Monkey (MONKY) 19200 19.96 (+0.50)          Clue (CLUE) 28000 17.88 (-0.51)          Wicked (WICKD) 171 161.61 (0.00)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.94 (-0.07)          Clue (CLUE) 58000 17.88 (-0.51)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 149999 1.94 (-0.07)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 5000 54.40 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 5000 11.30 (+0.36)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 8000 11.30 (+0.36)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 149999 23.55 (+0.23)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.55 (+0.23)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 17.72 (-0.25)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 17.72 (-0.25)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.30 (+0.36)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.30 (+0.36)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.74 (+0.38)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.74 (+0.38)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.96 (+0.50)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.96 (+0.50)          Touch (TOUC) 149999 0.79 (+0.09)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 0.79 (+0.09)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 50000 18.84 (+0.41)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.46 (-0.16)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.84 (-0.02)          Weapons (WEPNS) 50000 22.40 (-0.24)          Weapons (WEPNS) 50000 22.40 (-0.24)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.74 (+0.38)          Weapons (WEPNS) 50000 22.40 (-0.24)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 0.79 (+0.09)