HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Well, a couple of things I've noticed regarding

Posted by: Flash on Aug 22, 07:50 in response to theycallmediddy's post Already very helpful post, thanks. Read more...

Movies that break $100M in adjusts... typically, BUT NOT ALWAYS they will drop 6-10 points or more after they adjust.  This is not always true, but in many cases it is.  Cowboys & Aliens for example adjusted to $115, but currently it's much lower... I've held it short since adjust.

SMURFS on the other hand, has been going higher since adjust - due to it being more 'family' oriented, with more families going to see it... so you have to watch sometimes what the demographic is for the movie as well.

RSAPE has also gone UP in price since it adjusted... so it's NOT a hard an fast rule that movies always drop after adjust, but it DOES happen... also the time of year (summer, holidays) movies have better 'legs' than other times of the year.

Yes, some trends are there... like the time of year, and movies that typically adjust REALLY high (PIRT4??) usually will always drop 10-20 points since many people sell off after adjust to use the cash for other things.

You will get a feel for how the markets react to various movies when you follow adjusts and see what happens, but yes... there is some "gut feelings" you may have to rely on for various films.

Good luck.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Buy Max    Sell All    Short Max    Cover All    Radar

Tyrant (TYRNT) 30645 19.98 (-0.97)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 50000 146.40 (-2.37)          King (KING) 150000 3.19 (+1.10)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 30000 4.32 (-1.80)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 1 2.37 (-0.01)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 43544 4.32 (-1.80)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 1 2.37 (-0.01)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 50000 170.55 (-1.77)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 57.98 (-0.52)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1 57.39 (-0.26)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1 57.39 (-0.26)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 60000 50.25 (-1.34)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 1 3.74 (-0.05)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 6000 29.23 (+0.29)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 1 3.74 (-0.05)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 1 0.36 (-0.01)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.17 (-0.96)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 1 0.36 (-0.01)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 50000 170.55 (-1.77)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 1667 59.79 (-0.17)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 56.57 (-2.07)          King (KING) 150000 3.19 (+1.10)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 25000 29.29 (+0.08)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 50000 146.40 (-2.37)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 25000 29.29 (+0.08)          King (KING) 149999 3.19 (+1.10)          NBC: Newlyweds (NEWWED) 25000 8.95 (+0.09)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 115.35 (-0.66)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 36.28 (+1.45)          Turpentine (TURPN) 147681 7.37 (+0.47)          King (KING) 150000 3.19 (+1.10)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 4.59 (-0.28)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 46.87 (-0.16)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 54.81 (+0.74)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.20 (+0.13)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 20000 105.49 (+5.49)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.20 (+0.13)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 5.92 (+0.08)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 150000 0.47 (+0.06)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.37 (+0.47)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.37 (+0.47)          Wildwood (WILDW) 1 36.28 (+1.45)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 51.90 (+0.54)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 105297 170.55 (-1.77)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 7 54.81 (+0.74)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 1.17 (-0.26)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 20000 8.00 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 36.28 (+1.45)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 36.28 (+1.45)