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Playing & Trading Strategy

Yes, but it depends on whether the movie's OW makes the strike price. If it makes more than the strike price, the put will cash out at zero

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a RogerMore) on Jul 25, 11:55 in response to Filmstardust's post Thanks, but i know that. What i don't know is when you...

and traders holding it short will profit.  Their gains will be the put's price at halt, multiplied by the number of shares they hold.  But it's a small gain.

However if the OW is less than the strike price, then traders holding the put short risk losses.

Taking a real life example.  WOLV2.PU has a strike price of $65 and a current price of $0.85. We'll assume the put halts at that price.

Let's say WOLV2 makes $65M or more on opening weekend, the put will meet its strike price and cash out at zero.  Gains to traders holding it max short will be 0.85 * 20,000 = $17K.

But, say WOLV2 tanks and only has a $50M opening weekend.  The put would cash out at $15, and the losses to traders holding the put max short would be (15-0.85) * 20,000 = $283K.

So, by keeping the put short at halt, you can make some small amount of money if the movie exceeds the strike price. However, you are also running the risk of significant losses if the movie flops.





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No Other Choice (THEAX) 150000 8.89 (+0.02)          And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 13000 0.67 (0.00)          Sender (SENDR) 1047 10.13 (+0.94)          Park Chan-wook (CWPAR) 25000 2.17 (+0.02)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.12 (+1.45)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 1061 13.16 (+1.57)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 176.51 (-0.52)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 170.41 (+0.33)          Sam Riley (SRILE) 25000 24.55 (-0.12)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 50000 6.36 (+0.57)          The Backrooms (BACRM) 100 18.34 (-0.02)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 10000 498.87 (+0.55)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 100 153.02 (0.00)          Remain aka Untitled Shyamalan Sp (REMAN) 10000 61.57 (-0.06)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 14.73 (-0.15)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10000 147.09 (+0.15)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 100 4.64 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 10000 229.22 (+0.83)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.12 (+1.45)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 110 43.15 (0.00)          The Riders (RIDER) 50000 34.48 (-0.01)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 10000 53.22 (-0.11)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 25000 0.10 (+0.01)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 473.90 (+1.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 100 163.43 (+0.55)          Normal (NORML) 110 17.72 (-0.04)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 10000 25.39 (-0.07)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 70000 5.27 (+1.06)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 88000 6.36 (+0.57)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Put Fri-M (WUTHR.PU) 25000 2.44 (-0.02)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.26 (+0.04)          Sender (SENDR) 75000 10.13 (+0.94)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.26 (+0.04)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 10000 46.82 (+0.16)          Melania (MLNIA) 1559 14.73 (-0.15)          Over Your Dead Body aka The Trip (TETRP) 150000 7.14 (+0.66)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 149999 107.52 (+0.44)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 5000 549.01 (+0.80)          The Riders (RIDER) 25000 34.48 (-0.01)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 149000 5.27 (+1.06)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 10000 10.10 (+0.30)          Shiver (SHVER) 9000 62.12 (-2.03)          Margot Robbie (MROBB) 310 69.75 (-0.25)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 10000 42.71 (+0.19)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 10000 73.20 (+0.18)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 75000 6.36 (+0.57)          The Riders (RIDER) 50000 34.48 (-0.01)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 100 25.18 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 40000 5.27 (+1.06)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 10000 33.07 (+0.07)