HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Yes, but it depends on whether the movie's OW makes the strike price. If it makes more than the strike price, the put will cash out at zero

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a RogerMore) on Jul 25, 11:55 in response to Filmstardust's post Thanks, but i know that. What i don't know is when you...

and traders holding it short will profit.  Their gains will be the put's price at halt, multiplied by the number of shares they hold.  But it's a small gain.

However if the OW is less than the strike price, then traders holding the put short risk losses.

Taking a real life example.  WOLV2.PU has a strike price of $65 and a current price of $0.85. We'll assume the put halts at that price.

Let's say WOLV2 makes $65M or more on opening weekend, the put will meet its strike price and cash out at zero.  Gains to traders holding it max short will be 0.85 * 20,000 = $17K.

But, say WOLV2 tanks and only has a $50M opening weekend.  The put would cash out at $15, and the losses to traders holding the put max short would be (15-0.85) * 20,000 = $283K.

So, by keeping the put short at halt, you can make some small amount of money if the movie exceeds the strike price. However, you are also running the risk of significant losses if the movie flops.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 34.60 (-7.80)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 94563 60.00 (0.00)          White Lies (WHTLI) 50000 12.17 (+2.16)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 34.60 (-7.80)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 15000 38.08 (+0.11)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 15000 38.08 (+0.11)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 1.30 (-0.07)          Couture (STCHS) 1 1.30 (-0.07)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 50000 6.82 (+0.02)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 50000 6.82 (+0.02)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 50000 6.82 (+0.02)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 50000 6.82 (+0.02)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 34.60 (-7.80)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 4.11 (-0.44)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 50000 6.82 (+0.02)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 4.11 (-0.44)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 34.60 (-7.80)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 8.71 (-0.20)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 50000 6.82 (+0.02)          The Invite - Opening Wekeend (TINVT.OW) 50000 6.49 (+0.17)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 8.71 (-0.20)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 8.16 (+0.05)          The Incomer (INCOM) 65000 0.57 (+0.04)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 8.16 (+0.05)          Digger (DIGER) 10000 131.40 (+0.09)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 8.16 (+0.05)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 8.16 (+0.05)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 8.16 (+0.05)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.50 (-0.07)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 8.16 (+0.05)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 4999 38.08 (+0.11)          Digger (DIGER) 3000 131.40 (+0.09)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 50000 5.46 (-0.18)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 50000 5.46 (-0.18)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 50000 5.46 (-0.18)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.44 (+0.02)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 50000 5.46 (-0.18)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 50000 5.46 (-0.18)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 50000 5.46 (-0.18)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 1.43 (0.00)          The Thing That Hurts (TTTHU) 150000 1.44 (+0.02)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 50000 7.17 (+0.19)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 50000 7.17 (+0.19)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 150000 1.21 (+0.04)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 50000 7.17 (+0.19)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 150000 1.19 (+0.02)