HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Yes, but it depends on whether the movie's OW makes the strike price. If it makes more than the strike price, the put will cash out at zero

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a RogerMore) on Jul 25, 11:55 in response to Filmstardust's post Thanks, but i know that. What i don't know is when you...

and traders holding it short will profit.  Their gains will be the put's price at halt, multiplied by the number of shares they hold.  But it's a small gain.

However if the OW is less than the strike price, then traders holding the put short risk losses.

Taking a real life example.  WOLV2.PU has a strike price of $65 and a current price of $0.85. We'll assume the put halts at that price.

Let's say WOLV2 makes $65M or more on opening weekend, the put will meet its strike price and cash out at zero.  Gains to traders holding it max short will be 0.85 * 20,000 = $17K.

But, say WOLV2 tanks and only has a $50M opening weekend.  The put would cash out at $15, and the losses to traders holding the put max short would be (15-0.85) * 20,000 = $283K.

So, by keeping the put short at halt, you can make some small amount of money if the movie exceeds the strike price. However, you are also running the risk of significant losses if the movie flops.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 33 98.62 (+0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 98821 420.01 (+0.81)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 72000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.44 (-2.92)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 50000 19.57 (-2.20)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 9.09 (+0.88)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.24)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dhurandhar (DHURA) 150000 1.16 (-0.02)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 25.41 (-1.86)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 8.85 (+0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 65000 22.44 (-2.92)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.92 (+1.21)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 28000 25.41 (-1.86)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 10000 73.39 (-6.34)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 3 25.61 (+1.46)          Protector (PRTEC) 20000 1.89 (+0.18)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 3 25.61 (+1.46)          Sisu: Road to Revenge (SISU2) 150000 5.58 (+0.09)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 112.32 (+4.52)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 112.32 (+4.52)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 14000 5.39 (-0.42)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.58 (-0.42)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.31 (-1.92)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.31 (-1.92)          Protector (PRTEC) 10000 1.89 (+0.18)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.47 (-0.53)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5 9.67 (-0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.44 (-2.92)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5 9.67 (-0.01)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 6 33.05 (+0.06)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 5 162.72 (+0.61)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 5 24.94 (+0.08)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 5 105.25 (+0.35)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 10 69.44 (+0.49)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 8 259.43 (-1.33)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 32000 15.49 (+0.33)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 5 80.05 (-0.05)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.24)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 36000 15.49 (+0.33)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 18 158.48 (-2.38)