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Playing & Trading Strategy

Wow, good stuff!! {nm}

Posted by: eyescovered on Feb 24, 18:35 in response to RogerMore's post Announcing the beta version of the HSXsanity box office...

Announcing the beta version of the HSXsanity box office database, with adjust and delist estimators for you to try. RogerMore Feb 24, 14:20

um, holy crap this is amazing? {nm} Moviesnob Feb 24, 14:38

Wow, good stuff!! eyescovered Feb 24, 18:35

finally had a chance to take a peek...holy smokes! {nm} tealfan Feb 24, 22:41

oh...and thanks for doing this! {nm} tealfan Feb 24, 23:34

That is awesome. You've really outdone yourself. Thanks! {nm} Willroast Feb 24, 22:43

2 competitor kaigee {nm} mike255 Feb 25, 06:58

Hmm, every interesting. I could implement a nice regression model on all that data, and do BO predictions. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 07:01

Yeah, letting the number-crunchers have a go at that sort of stuff and seeing the result is one of my main motivations for sharing the info. RogerMore Feb 25, 07:55

So you've run Linear Regressions? I guess it a matter of identifying the right set of features to get the best fit. elchan2012 Feb 25, 15:33

Only to see what relationships there are between early indicators and delist. RogerMore Feb 25, 17:04

(So I think you can do it with two factors - target audience and level of audience interest) {nm} RogerMore Feb 25, 17:07

This data is a little more complicated. I'm going to work on a regression for the predictions database you have above, first. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 19:47

(Actually, Three - I forgot "time of year") {nm} RogerMore Feb 26, 03:52

Wow..that's a lot of work...thanks for the effort...much appreciated! {nm} Flash Feb 25, 09:51

WOWZER - That's Impressive. A Tip O' The Hat. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 25, 19:03





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The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 24000 1.87 (-0.13)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 24500 1.80 (-0.20)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 5.39 (-0.61)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 99990 6.49 (+0.27)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.19 (0.00)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.19 (0.00)          The Hole (THHOL) 200 5.39 (-0.61)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 114.71 (-0.51)          Bullitt (BULIT) 150000 15.29 (+0.38)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 108522 15.59 (+0.34)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 27.69 (+0.43)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 10.06 (+0.59)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 15.59 (+0.34)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 6.49 (+0.27)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 9.50 (-0.12)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 6.14 (+0.03)          The Brand aka Branded (BRAND) 150000 1.63 (+0.96)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 1.87 (-0.13)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 1.87 (-0.13)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 6.49 (+0.27)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.20)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 6.49 (+0.27)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.20)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 1.87 (-0.13)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 91.95 (+1.95)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 149997 19.66 (+0.08)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.47 (+0.32)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.49 (+0.49)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.47 (+0.32)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.31 (+0.11)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 99999 7.00 (+0.06)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 6.49 (+0.27)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 6.49 (+0.27)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 2 18.63 (+1.49)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 2 18.63 (+1.49)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 20.00 (-1.07)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 20.00 (-1.07)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 8.08 (+0.48)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 8.08 (+0.48)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 100000 80.63 (+0.08)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 50000 16.86 (+0.02)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 14.59 (+0.04)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 5690 258.78 (+0.02)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 25000 20.45 (+0.06)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 19.66 (+0.08)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 89.68 (-1.31)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 0.89 (-0.02)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 75000 38.47 (+0.14)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 89.68 (-1.31)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 21.57 (+0.03)