HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

2 competitor kaigee {nm}

Posted by: mike255 on Feb 25, 06:58 in response to RogerMore's post Announcing the beta version of the HSXsanity box office...

Announcing the beta version of the HSXsanity box office database, with adjust and delist estimators for you to try. RogerMore Feb 24, 14:20

um, holy crap this is amazing? {nm} Moviesnob Feb 24, 14:38

Wow, good stuff!! {nm} eyescovered Feb 24, 18:35

finally had a chance to take a peek...holy smokes! {nm} tealfan Feb 24, 22:41

oh...and thanks for doing this! {nm} tealfan Feb 24, 23:34

That is awesome. You've really outdone yourself. Thanks! {nm} Willroast Feb 24, 22:43

2 competitor kaigee mike255 Feb 25, 06:58

Hmm, every interesting. I could implement a nice regression model on all that data, and do BO predictions. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 07:01

Yeah, letting the number-crunchers have a go at that sort of stuff and seeing the result is one of my main motivations for sharing the info. RogerMore Feb 25, 07:55

So you've run Linear Regressions? I guess it a matter of identifying the right set of features to get the best fit. elchan2012 Feb 25, 15:33

Only to see what relationships there are between early indicators and delist. RogerMore Feb 25, 17:04

(So I think you can do it with two factors - target audience and level of audience interest) {nm} RogerMore Feb 25, 17:07

This data is a little more complicated. I'm going to work on a regression for the predictions database you have above, first. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 19:47

(Actually, Three - I forgot "time of year") {nm} RogerMore Feb 26, 03:52

Wow..that's a lot of work...thanks for the effort...much appreciated! {nm} Flash Feb 25, 09:51

WOWZER - That's Impressive. A Tip O' The Hat. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 25, 19:03





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Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 24.01 (+0.02)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 10000 20.69 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 101.28 (-0.40)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.27 (-0.62)          Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 25000 90.07 (+0.50)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 15.95 (+0.04)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.27 (-0.62)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 26.66 (-0.88)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 145000 52.10 (-0.93)          King Snake (KSNAK) 10000 13.44 (-0.03)          Tow (TOW) 150000 3.10 (-0.41)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 1000 89.72 (-0.46)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 146000 52.10 (-0.93)          Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 10000 15.04 (-0.02)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10000 3.27 (-0.62)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10000 3.27 (-0.62)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 10000 52.10 (-0.93)          Rose (ROSE) 100000 2.00 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 10000 18.65 (-0.03)          Pressure (PRSUR) 10000 18.65 (-0.03)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.10 (-0.93)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.10 (-0.93)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 25000 52.10 (-0.93)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 100 119.31 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.45 (+1.92)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.45 (+1.92)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 16.39 (+3.06)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 16.39 (+3.06)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 100 224.96 (-1.00)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 100 101.35 (+1.00)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 100 186.76 (-1.48)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 100 69.71 (-0.25)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 1764 89.72 (-0.46)          Underland (UNDRL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 100 130.26 (0.00)          Timothee Chalamet (TCHAL) 100 130.69 (+0.01)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him - Opening Weeke (RMNDH.OW) 100000 10.69 (+0.38)          For Worse (FWORS) 150000 0.90 (-0.10)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 11079 92.11 (-2.37)          Underland (UNDRL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)