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Playing & Trading Strategy

I use long range forecasts to determine an initial position, and watch for movement...

Posted by: Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin on Jan 19, 10:12 in response to MattW's post Followup to Dorfman's question, how long before release...

Then I start looking for marketing and advertising about a month out - and I talk to a LOT of people to see if they're aware of it.  Plus, I have access to financial data most players don't, so I can see weekend to weekend projected discretionary spending of different demographics, so I use that to decide.

 

So, generally, 3-4 weeks prior to release I firm up a position, then look at projections and social media - I pick a final position 14-10 days before release, and it's usually unchanged from what it was a month ago.

Of course, we have some idea Friday early before a halt is the movie is performing as expected or something different and time to make adjustments before Saturday halt, but if I have to make a change then it's a$$ covering, because the OW der is already locked in.





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