HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Multiples, Holidays and extended OW ... I'm just rolling the dice

Posted by: ballpark_frank on Dec 29, 13:12

I have slowly (sort of) picked up on using preview numbers to project / guess "normal" OW/4-wk (I have a very 'basic' understanding of what 'multiples' are, and have been using my personal best-guess multiples). But I still don't have a good handle on trying to gauge Holiday numbers (and - apparently with this Season having mid-week holidays, I'm not totally alone).
Case in point: I'm still sticking w/ my holdings on Mufasa, cautiously sticking w/ my holdings on Sonic 3, and simply flipping a coin on the rest of the offerings.

So, I've found myself 'flipping' holdings like Christmas tree lights the past few weeks (and, I've been lucky - so far).
And, just now noticed the upcoming OW derivatives are for a ... 4-day weekend. I'm simply going w/ instinct (which has been questionable since I held MISS7 OW long). We shall see.





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The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 66.95 (+1.51)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 66.95 (+1.51)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 105906 135.01 (-0.80)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1812 415.27 (-1.29)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 7905 0.76 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 1900 131.07 (+0.36)          Digger (DIGER) 1000 131.07 (+0.36)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 4768 58.58 (+1.79)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 666 66.50 (+1.72)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 88 20.02 (+2.36)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 6689 135.01 (-0.80)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 58.58 (+1.79)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 7676 135.01 (-0.80)          Helldivers (HELDV) 999 100.11 (+0.92)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 4444 8.22 (+0.67)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 66.50 (+1.72)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 7394 4.95 (-0.13)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 66.95 (+1.51)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 999 58.58 (+1.79)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 25000 7.15 (+0.38)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 29.81 (+0.75)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 25000 7.15 (+0.38)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.71 (-0.75)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 3 10.00 (0.00)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 11.65 (-0.70)          Emile Hirsch (EHIRS) 25000 48.91 (+0.50)