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Playing & Trading Strategy

In addition to what ndmaster said

Posted by: Carlion on Aug 11, 10:15 in response to ndmaster's post three aspects to starbonds

the great thing about bonds is that the latest film can do significantly better or worse than expected, and the bond will still go in the same basic direction is was heading before, just not quite as far.

When you play the openers, you use the 2.7 multiplier and then whatever the opening gross is. Because the weekend gross counts for half the equation, it can wildly affect the price a moviestock, which is why you see 10, 15, 20 point adjusts on Sunday.  With bonds, though, there are always five numbers to consider, and at the next adjust only one of them changes (you replace the last with the latest).

An easy way to figure the direction of the next adjust, along with a reasonable estimate of the amount of the adjust is this:

Using BPITT as an example

BSTRD is the next release. Priced at 71 (rounded up).

count 6 down to find the movie that will be dropped when BSTRD is added and you see:

BABEL, which delisted at 17 (rounded up)

71 minus 17=54.

54 divided by 5 (because 5 movies make up TAG) equals 10.8. BPITT's TAG should go upward by 10.8.

If the numbers were reversed and you did 17 minus 71, you'd finish the math with a negative 10.8, meaning he would adjust downward by that much.

As I said, it's just estimation, because the price of the new movie will change, but barring some serious Blair Witch success or Ishtar failure, Brad should still move significantly upward.

 

To make things easier, you can go to Project Genome, and they have charts with all the math done for you already

Bond Charts





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Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 25000 48.80 (+0.33)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 39.16 (+0.12)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 32.88 (-0.13)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 17.64 (-0.45)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 25000 42.64 (+0.16)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 23.45 (+0.11)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 18.79 (+0.52)          Lewis Pullman (LPULL) 25000 50.68 (+0.33)          Nasty (NASTY) 149999 14.27 (+1.85)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 17.10 (+0.30)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 25000 25.41 (+0.14)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 37.95 (-0.82)          White Lies (WHTLI) 50000 11.83 (+0.04)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 82.39 (-0.30)          Channing Tatum (CTATU) 25000 59.88 (+0.36)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 48959 25.41 (+0.14)          Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 25000 67.04 (+0.75)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 25000 55.54 (+0.36)          Alan Cumming (ACUMM) 25000 63.79 (+0.55)          Painter (PANTR) 80000 4.62 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 20000 578.59 (+0.35)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 20000 578.59 (+0.35)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 50000 3.59 (+0.03)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 9000 698.69 (-0.70)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 1000 698.69 (-0.70)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 5000 15.00 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 184 123.65 (+0.17)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 9000 207.65 (+0.54)          Turpentine (TURPN) 30334 5.63 (-0.37)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1000 207.65 (+0.54)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 22.48 (+1.33)          Dear You (DEARU) 150000 1.17 (-0.05)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 571 50.91 (+0.82)          Turpentine (TURPN) 2461 5.63 (-0.37)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 1000 46.74 (+0.02)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 2000 46.74 (+0.02)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 17.50 (+2.77)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 25000 5.17 (+1.49)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 50000 11.64 (-0.06)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 12.70 (-0.10)          Ebenezer H$35 Put (EBNZR.PU) 300 2.32 (+0.32)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 10.06 (+0.76)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 3000 15.44 (+0.44)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.17 (+1.49)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 300 1.31 (+0.02)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 46.74 (-0.70)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 3.66 (+0.02)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 5000 15.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 1 62.03 (+0.30)