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Playing & Trading Strategy

In addition to what ndmaster said

Posted by: Carlion on Aug 11, 10:15 in response to ndmaster's post three aspects to starbonds

the great thing about bonds is that the latest film can do significantly better or worse than expected, and the bond will still go in the same basic direction is was heading before, just not quite as far.

When you play the openers, you use the 2.7 multiplier and then whatever the opening gross is. Because the weekend gross counts for half the equation, it can wildly affect the price a moviestock, which is why you see 10, 15, 20 point adjusts on Sunday.  With bonds, though, there are always five numbers to consider, and at the next adjust only one of them changes (you replace the last with the latest).

An easy way to figure the direction of the next adjust, along with a reasonable estimate of the amount of the adjust is this:

Using BPITT as an example

BSTRD is the next release. Priced at 71 (rounded up).

count 6 down to find the movie that will be dropped when BSTRD is added and you see:

BABEL, which delisted at 17 (rounded up)

71 minus 17=54.

54 divided by 5 (because 5 movies make up TAG) equals 10.8. BPITT's TAG should go upward by 10.8.

If the numbers were reversed and you did 17 minus 71, you'd finish the math with a negative 10.8, meaning he would adjust downward by that much.

As I said, it's just estimation, because the price of the new movie will change, but barring some serious Blair Witch success or Ishtar failure, Brad should still move significantly upward.

 

To make things easier, you can go to Project Genome, and they have charts with all the math done for you already

Bond Charts





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Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 8.64 (+0.35)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 563.89 (+19.98)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 563.89 (+19.98)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 149999 8.64 (+0.35)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 5000 29.54 (-1.33)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 10000 29.54 (-1.33)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 1000 4.11 (-0.02)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 97.91 (+0.99)          Thumb (THUM) 1000 4.11 (-0.02)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 7500 66.10 (+0.33)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 31000 2.82 (+0.02)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 12500 97.91 (+0.99)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 1000 2.94 (-0.36)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 31000 1.37 (+0.03)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 1000 2.94 (-0.36)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 20.78 (+0.67)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 20.78 (+0.67)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 1000 6.68 (-0.62)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 31000 4.43 (-0.01)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 1000 6.68 (-0.62)          Blade (BLAD1) 3640 17.90 (-0.78)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 15197 246.24 (+3.11)          Atonement (ATONM) 10467 2.00 (0.00)          Idiots (SHTHD) 31000 6.86 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1980 563.89 (+19.98)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 22000 21.56 (-0.01)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 413 226.72 (+0.77)          Blade (BLAD1) 3447 17.90 (-0.78)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 3000 67.37 (-1.08)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 78.10 (+0.80)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 78.10 (+0.80)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 4.46 (+0.12)          Colony (CLONY) 31000 2.53 (+0.01)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 4.46 (+0.12)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 20000 2.64 (-0.02)          Blade (BLAD1) 14710 17.90 (-0.78)          One Night Only - Opening Weekend (ONTON.OW) 100000 8.92 (-0.12)          Buddy (BUDDY) 30000 8.99 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 12500 92.84 (+1.03)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 4.46 (+0.12)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 31.71 (-0.13)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 25000 27.84 (-0.34)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 25000 94.67 (-0.84)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)