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Playing & Trading Strategy

In addition to what ndmaster said

Posted by: Carlion on Aug 11, 10:15 in response to ndmaster's post three aspects to starbonds

the great thing about bonds is that the latest film can do significantly better or worse than expected, and the bond will still go in the same basic direction is was heading before, just not quite as far.

When you play the openers, you use the 2.7 multiplier and then whatever the opening gross is. Because the weekend gross counts for half the equation, it can wildly affect the price a moviestock, which is why you see 10, 15, 20 point adjusts on Sunday.  With bonds, though, there are always five numbers to consider, and at the next adjust only one of them changes (you replace the last with the latest).

An easy way to figure the direction of the next adjust, along with a reasonable estimate of the amount of the adjust is this:

Using BPITT as an example

BSTRD is the next release. Priced at 71 (rounded up).

count 6 down to find the movie that will be dropped when BSTRD is added and you see:

BABEL, which delisted at 17 (rounded up)

71 minus 17=54.

54 divided by 5 (because 5 movies make up TAG) equals 10.8. BPITT's TAG should go upward by 10.8.

If the numbers were reversed and you did 17 minus 71, you'd finish the math with a negative 10.8, meaning he would adjust downward by that much.

As I said, it's just estimation, because the price of the new movie will change, but barring some serious Blair Witch success or Ishtar failure, Brad should still move significantly upward.

 

To make things easier, you can go to Project Genome, and they have charts with all the math done for you already

Bond Charts





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Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 35.75 (+0.75)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 1.81 (-0.19)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 4852 326.98 (-0.38)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 37500 35.93 (-0.05)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3328 366.84 (-0.23)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 15884 27.26 (-0.60)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 3 18.69 (+0.06)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 3 18.69 (+0.06)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 1.72 (-0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 12000 103.85 (-0.09)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 125857 14.88 (+2.53)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 62.31 (-0.43)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 2511 326.98 (-0.38)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 62.31 (-0.43)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 25000 26.25 (-0.12)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3 250.42 (-0.50)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3 250.42 (-0.50)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 3 142.46 (-0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 3 142.46 (-0.22)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 8008 292.82 (+0.78)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 2 9.45 (-0.31)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 9.45 (-0.31)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 3 27.26 (-0.60)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 3 27.26 (-0.60)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10 137.09 (-0.95)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10 137.09 (-0.95)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 3 497.03 (-1.54)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 3 497.03 (-1.54)          American Psycho (APSYC) 90000 23.43 (-0.01)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 15.67 (+0.12)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 1 15.67 (+0.12)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10094 422.03 (+2.03)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.11 (+0.03)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 11000 497.03 (-1.54)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 24.35 (+0.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 165.63 (-0.18)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 1 75.03 (+0.02)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 150000 158.12 (-0.32)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 260.42 (0.00)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.11 (+0.03)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 1.17 (-0.08)          Tahar Rahim (TRAHI) 25000 17.82 (+0.20)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 21.74 (+0.06)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 38.37 (+0.06)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 150000 0.65 (+0.01)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 94.38 (+0.35)          Jump Street: Now For Her Pleasur (21JS3) 150000 0.04 (0.00)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 150000 62.31 (-0.43)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 1.97 (+0.11)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 208.40 (-1.06)