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Playing & Trading Strategy

In addition to what ndmaster said

Posted by: Carlion on Aug 11, 10:15 in response to ndmaster's post three aspects to starbonds

the great thing about bonds is that the latest film can do significantly better or worse than expected, and the bond will still go in the same basic direction is was heading before, just not quite as far.

When you play the openers, you use the 2.7 multiplier and then whatever the opening gross is. Because the weekend gross counts for half the equation, it can wildly affect the price a moviestock, which is why you see 10, 15, 20 point adjusts on Sunday.  With bonds, though, there are always five numbers to consider, and at the next adjust only one of them changes (you replace the last with the latest).

An easy way to figure the direction of the next adjust, along with a reasonable estimate of the amount of the adjust is this:

Using BPITT as an example

BSTRD is the next release. Priced at 71 (rounded up).

count 6 down to find the movie that will be dropped when BSTRD is added and you see:

BABEL, which delisted at 17 (rounded up)

71 minus 17=54.

54 divided by 5 (because 5 movies make up TAG) equals 10.8. BPITT's TAG should go upward by 10.8.

If the numbers were reversed and you did 17 minus 71, you'd finish the math with a negative 10.8, meaning he would adjust downward by that much.

As I said, it's just estimation, because the price of the new movie will change, but barring some serious Blair Witch success or Ishtar failure, Brad should still move significantly upward.

 

To make things easier, you can go to Project Genome, and they have charts with all the math done for you already

Bond Charts





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Transformers One (TFCYB) 1250 79.53 (-0.50)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 61.28 (-0.79)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 61.28 (-0.79)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 2250 9.88 (+0.04)          Clue (CLUE) 50000 15.02 (+3.33)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 100000 42.36 (-1.11)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 62.34 (-0.23)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 1500 22.05 (+1.86)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 62.34 (-0.23)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 25000 55.94 (+9.98)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 215.18 (-0.47)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 25000 55.94 (+9.98)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 150000 25.64 (0.00)          Robot Dreams (RBDRM) 149999 1.61 (+0.02)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 2.86 (-0.32)          Eddington (EDNGT) 150000 19.51 (+0.06)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 24999 55.94 (+9.98)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 150000 18.06 (+0.03)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 25000 55.94 (+9.98)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 2000 5.99 (-0.11)          Popular Theory (POPTH) 150000 0.03 (-0.01)          Aggro Dr1ft (AGROD) 150000 2.06 (-0.02)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 25000 3.99 (+0.49)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 61.28 (-0.79)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 7.67 (+0.03)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 2 16.97 (-0.20)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 138.76 (+1.65)          Babes (BABS) 150000 3.15 (-0.23)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 62.34 (-0.23)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          I Used to be Funny (IUTBF) 150000 0.41 (0.00)          Breathe (BRETE) 100000 2.86 (-0.21)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Robot Dreams (RBDRM) 150000 1.61 (+0.02)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.67 (-0.09)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 37.37 (+2.85)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 2399 138.76 (+1.65)          Superman (SUPRM) 26000 190.92 (+0.16)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 50000 253.96 (-0.25)          Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 25000 17.19 (-0.09)          Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 24997 17.19 (-0.09)          The Phoenician Scheme (TPSCH) 150000 20.83 (-0.12)