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Playing & Trading Strategy

In addition to what ndmaster said

Posted by: Carlion on Aug 11, 10:15 in response to ndmaster's post three aspects to starbonds

the great thing about bonds is that the latest film can do significantly better or worse than expected, and the bond will still go in the same basic direction is was heading before, just not quite as far.

When you play the openers, you use the 2.7 multiplier and then whatever the opening gross is. Because the weekend gross counts for half the equation, it can wildly affect the price a moviestock, which is why you see 10, 15, 20 point adjusts on Sunday.  With bonds, though, there are always five numbers to consider, and at the next adjust only one of them changes (you replace the last with the latest).

An easy way to figure the direction of the next adjust, along with a reasonable estimate of the amount of the adjust is this:

Using BPITT as an example

BSTRD is the next release. Priced at 71 (rounded up).

count 6 down to find the movie that will be dropped when BSTRD is added and you see:

BABEL, which delisted at 17 (rounded up)

71 minus 17=54.

54 divided by 5 (because 5 movies make up TAG) equals 10.8. BPITT's TAG should go upward by 10.8.

If the numbers were reversed and you did 17 minus 71, you'd finish the math with a negative 10.8, meaning he would adjust downward by that much.

As I said, it's just estimation, because the price of the new movie will change, but barring some serious Blair Witch success or Ishtar failure, Brad should still move significantly upward.

 

To make things easier, you can go to Project Genome, and they have charts with all the math done for you already

Bond Charts





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The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.97 (+0.54)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.49 (-0.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.60 (-0.94)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 5 122.25 (+0.28)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 3029 61.18 (-0.05)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 5000 0.89 (-0.03)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.90 (-0.59)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.13 (-1.41)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 4000 1.89 (-0.07)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.87 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 117.74 (-4.09)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5 260.90 (+2.77)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.71 (+1.02)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 149998 6.80 (+0.81)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 5 167.55 (-0.10)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.71 (+1.02)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 5000 33.62 (-0.06)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 5000 221.51 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 59449 117.74 (-4.09)          Christine (CRSTN) 149998 17.71 (+1.02)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.71 (+1.02)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 50000 17.38 (+0.02)          Christine (CRSTN) 149996 17.71 (+1.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149998 41.70 (-5.42)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149996 41.70 (-5.42)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 50000 17.38 (+0.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.70 (-5.42)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.13 (-1.41)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 149999 235.74 (+0.49)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.61 (-2.61)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 5000 64.93 (+0.53)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 57000 253.63 (-0.72)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 26.58 (+0.24)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 50000 25.27 (+0.35)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 26.58 (+0.24)          FOX: Best Medicine (BESMED) 25000 8.67 (+0.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 447.49 (-1.20)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 50000 25.27 (+0.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 149999 64.53 (-1.86)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.87 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 149999 13.72 (+0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.60 (-0.94)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 32000 19.69 (-0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.49 (-0.29)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 60.61 (-2.61)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.52 (-0.84)