HSX Forum

Movies

The most important factor, I think, is an intangible: since it is the end of a series, like LRDR3 or STRW3, how often will HPOT8's fans...

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Jul 16, 16:36 in response to RoBoGuru's post So do you think Potter8 gets to $500M? I don't....as I...

... feel like seeing the series end again (and again)?  Certainly AVATR, TITAN and BATM2 all thrived on repeat business similar in kind.  I think the exceedingly positive reviews are good evidence, but not sufficient evidence to hope for a delist, say, within 10-20% of the adjust (i.e. a delist near / over 400M).  Whether or not it has a shot at 500M is not answerable yet.  

I think LRDR3 and STRW3 both delisted at or near their adjusts; LRDR3 was a December release, and so there's that to help it along.  I didn't especially like either of these, but certainly LRDR3 was well-liked; HPOT8 seems better-liked still. 

Anyone think HPOT8 can approach TDK's $533 million total gross? If it gets to $185-190, this weekend, it has a chance at $500 mill. {nm} broy7 Jul 16, 14:41

No...but it has a shot at the All-time Domestic BO top 10...needs to get to $404M to do it... {nm} RoBoGuru Jul 16, 14:47

Capt. America & Cowboys/Aliens aren't going to just roll over for Potter8...they ain't Winnie the Poo.... {nm} RoBoGuru Jul 16, 14:51

Competition seldom matters. The market responds elastically when there are good films to be seen, and it shrinks when there aren't. {nm} second gary Jul 16, 15:00

So do you think Potter8 gets to $500M? I don't....as I said, I think it has a shot at maybe Toy Story 3's $415M at best. {nm} RoBoGuru Jul 16, 15:18

I think 500mm will be well within reach. Went to an 11:20 show today,packed,not quite a sellout. tradermark Jul 16, 15:32

Those are fans. Fans make for a strong opening weekend. Unless they show up for repeat viewings every weekend, I think we see a significant Catzan Jul 16, 15:45

I can imagine people going back multiple times, though. Because they know it's their last chance and there's no more coming ... {nm} Jane_Citizen Jul 16, 17:48

I think it struggles to get to 400m. Harry Potter's gross between 320m and 250m. This has 3D and Imax...but is there reason beyond ticket Catzan Jul 16, 15:42

The fan base has grown. Even a casual movie fan has seen the earlier movies on TV. Being in the theater for this movie tradermark Jul 16, 15:54

I can tell you that at the theaters I talk to, business is brisk but not overwhelming. Some are even disappointed. Granted, audiences will Catzan Jul 16, 16:34

Why pigeon hole this as being like the others as to gross? Seriosuly,none of the others were the end of the story. {nm} tradermark Jul 16, 15:56

multi-billion dollar franchise....honestly think its the end of the story? alfpaul Jul 16, 16:27

Because the fan base shrank after the first one. I can easily ask why does this one expand? 1/2 Blood grew a little then the series fell Catzan Jul 16, 16:28

Theater was packed today and as i said in another post the lobby was full with people seeing other screenings of it. There did not seem to tradermark Jul 16, 16:36

I'm with you on this one Catzan & I'm a Potter fan that plans on seeing HP8 a few more times in theaters...the top grossing HP was the 1st {nm} RoBoGuru Jul 16, 20:10

the last will surely become the top Potter pic, but outside of some returning fans and some new, none of the other movies could top the 1st {nm} RoBoGuru Jul 16, 20:13

...I don't see how this one does what the other 6 failed to do to the tune of +$185M in BO that #1 did...that's the only way to get to $500M {nm} RoBoGuru Jul 16, 20:18

The most important factor, I think, is an intangible: since it is the end of a series, like LRDR3 or STRW3, how often will HPOT8's fans... second gary Jul 16, 16:36

Unless they pull a George Lucas and do remastered rereleases in 10 years or something. This is it. Last chance Dorfman Jul 16, 17:34

I dunno about 500m.. I think we need to see how the weekend ends and what kind of numbers are showing. But I agree its got a good shot at Dorfman Jul 16, 17:35





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 7218 1.92 (+0.03)          Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 25000 95.43 (-0.50)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 27000 53.81 (-0.26)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 25850 24.50 (-0.86)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 9993 111.84 (+0.45)          Paul Dano (PDANO) 500 51.69 (0.00)          Monopoly (MONOP) 9999 12.46 (+0.98)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 40800 24.50 (-0.86)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 6000 17.69 (-0.38)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 1000 17.69 (-0.38)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 15000 1.41 (-0.10)          Naruto (NARUT) 149998 20.73 (+0.77)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 1.99 (+0.01)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 1.99 (+0.01)          In the Grey (NGREY) 2 15.70 (+1.09)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 108.72 (+0.92)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 108.72 (+0.92)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.24 (-0.01)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 149998 12.91 (+1.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 100000 44.48 (+0.13)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 100000 44.48 (+0.13)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.24 (-0.01)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 4000 8.32 (+0.11)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 149996 49.23 (-0.18)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.70 (-1.17)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.70 (-1.17)          William H. Macy (WMACY) 25000 42.90 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 149996 7.05 (+0.03)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 75000 258.25 (-1.25)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.70 (-1.17)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 149996 14.29 (+0.05)          Hershey (HERSH) 4 6.70 (+0.01)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 21999 235.19 (+0.09)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 149998 24.57 (+0.42)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 149996 24.57 (+0.42)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 149996 5.50 (-0.18)          Lee Pace (LPACE) 24999 88.35 (-0.24)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 3.69 (-0.06)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 3.69 (-0.06)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 149999 108.72 (+0.92)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 150000 9.32 (-0.05)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 150000 9.32 (-0.05)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 16.30 (-1.34)          Mercy (MRCY1) 25000 36.45 (-0.90)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.70 (-1.17)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.70 (-1.17)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.66 (+0.95)          We Bury the Dead (WBTD) 150000 2.69 (0.00)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 100000 15.70 (-1.17)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 15.70 (+1.09)