HSX Forums: Movies Board






Not necessarily. The problem that surfaces with BO is in regard to extended weekends.

Posted by: PVL Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on Dec 12, 10:43 in response to forlorne's post Box Office has TGRLW at 18 OW. That's quite a disparity!

Unless specified with asterics's, BO usually is predicting the Weekend days only, despite early release.  So, it may be inferred that they are way out to lunch to think that the movie will make 18 mil in 5 days, or only be commenting on the weekend, in which case it could be 27 mil + the 18 mil predicted.  (numbers out of thin air for discussion purposes only).  Tough to say what they meant either way...

I am thinking they mean weekend only, meaning it will have a 3 day total attached to the 18 mil predicted.  (my opinion only as the only other option, again in my opinion, is that BO is on crack with this movie).

RS: [HOLM2] mid 60s [ALVN3] high 30s   TheWeekendWarrior on Dec 11, 23:48

Sorry, don't like posting this stuff at reset but I missed notfabio's earlier Email and I just happened to be awake. {nm}   TheWeekendWarrior on Dec 11, 23:55

Hey, no worries, so am I... Thanks for the posting... {nm}   VictorY on Dec 11, 23:56

Typically, one would scream manipulation, but you are very reliable with RS, so you post when you can. Thx. {nm}   PVL Admin on Dec 12, 00:22

Low 40's is the five day total for TGRLW? {nm}   RattyBatty on Dec 12, 06:34

Is the 5 day going to be calculated at first 3 days + (3 x OW) or as a 5 Day x 2.0? I think the former, but would like to confirm. {nm}   PVL Admin on Dec 12, 10:38

DMac indicated for MISS4 that it would be previous BO+(2.2xFri-Mon). In TGRLW's case it would be (wed+thu)+(2.2xFri-Mon). {nm}   Stonecutter's Anonymous on Dec 12, 10:41

I should amend: DMac only gave the case for MISS4. I'm extrapolating and assuming it applies for the other Dec 21 openers as well. {nm}   Paul2k on Dec 12, 10:42

Makes sense to me as well. Especially if the movie is a similar situation release wise. {nm}   PVL Admin on Dec 12, 10:47

If RS's "low 40's" applies for just Fri-Sun, the stock is grossly underpriced. If it's the Fri-Mon, it's priced close. {nm}   Paul2k on Dec 12, 10:45

If it's the Wed-Sun or Wed-Mon, it's grossly overpriced. And of course, it IS RS, so we take it with a grain of salt. {nm}   Paul2k on Dec 12, 10:47

Box Office has TGRLW at 18 OW. That's quite a disparity! {nm}   forlorne on Dec 12, 08:39

Not necessarily. The problem that surfaces with BO is in regard to extended weekends.   PVL Admin on Dec 12, 10:43





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A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 9500 197.41 (-4.16)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 267.39 (+0.32)         The Resurrection aka Passion of (RESUR) 2300 51.00 (-0.33)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 197.41 (-4.16)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 197.41 (-4.16)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 40000 197.41 (-4.16)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 30425 197.41 (-4.16)         Ant-Man and the Wasp - Opening W (ANTM2.OW) 50000 70.00 (0.00)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 25000 392.16 (-3.03)         Ant-Man and the Wasp H$70 Call (ANTM2.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 30990 197.41 (-4.16)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 197.41 (-4.16)         Mulan (MULN) 100000 130.09 (+0.52)         Her Smell (HERSM) 1 4.00 (0.00)         Danai Gurira (DGURI) 19999 125.70 (-1.14)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 99999 102.89 (+0.55)         The First Purge H$25 Put (PURG4.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Den of Thieves 2 (DENO2) 25000 20.38 (+0.17)         God Bless the Broken Road (GBTBR) 100000 3.23 (+1.19)         The First Purge H$25 Call (PURG4.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Terminator sequel (TERM6) 35000 57.49 (+1.00)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 16981 197.41 (-4.16)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 60000 78.44 (+1.38)         Creed II aka Creed 2 (CREE2) 35000 70.03 (+3.57)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 18000 197.41 (-4.16)         Glass aka Unbreakable 2 aka Spli (GLASS) 25000 118.56 (+0.80)         Bad Dads (BDADS) 8000 13.35 (-0.99)         Ant-Man and the Wasp H$70 Put (ANTM2.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 15000 392.16 (-3.03)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 100000 14.90 (+2.47)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 15000 392.16 (-3.03)         Her Smell (HERSM) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 102.89 (+0.55)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - (JURA5.OW) 15000 150.50 (-0.72)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 102.89 (+0.55)         Her Smell (HERSM) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 102.89 (+0.55)         Ant-Man and the Wasp H$70 Call (ANTM2.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Ant-Man and the Wasp - Opening W (ANTM2.OW) 44533 70.00 (0.00)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - (JURA5.OW) 15000 150.50 (-0.72)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 197.41 (-4.16)         Welcome to Marwen (MARWN) 100000 41.82 (+6.33)         The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 19.83 (+0.06)         The First Purge H$25 Put (PURG4.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 2000 197.41 (-4.16)         The First Purge - Opening Weeken (PURG4.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         The First Purge H$25 Call (PURG4.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Her Smell (HERSM) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Ant-Man and the Wasp H$70 Put (ANTM2.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Don't Leave Home (DLVHM) 100000 1.59 (-0.41)