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The rule is: if MTC is significantly greater than RS, the OW will be greater than MTC. Similarly, if MTC is significantly less than RS, the

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 28, 09:23 in response to Paul2k's post By difference, I mean the actual OW being much higher or...

OW will be less than MTC.  What is significant is a matter for debate (but around 20-25%), and where they are closer, MTC is generally closer to the OW than RS.

Mtc 45 Lorax 15 Project X {nm} notfabio Feb 28, 08:16

Mtc 45 Lorax 15 Project X. Tagging [LORAX] [PROJX] {nm} grammar Feb 28, 08:29

RS mid 50s vs. 45... uh-oh. {nm} second gary Feb 28, 08:59

Have we had a downward MTC vs RS thingy yet this year? Or have they all been uppers? {nm} Paul2k Feb 28, 09:05

Several. GDEED just this past weekend, for example. (25 RS, 18 MTC, 16 OW) {nm} RogerMore Feb 28, 09:12

(There was also 1MONY - rule didn't work, MYSTR - rule was way off, and WLUST - rule worked, but may have been due to an RS typo) {nm} RogerMore Feb 28, 09:17

Isn't it supposed to be a bigger difference? or does the rule "predict" direction? {nm} Paul2k Feb 28, 09:18

By difference, I mean the actual OW being much higher or much lower than MTC? {nm} Paul2k Feb 28, 09:18

The rule is: if MTC is significantly greater than RS, the OW will be greater than MTC. Similarly, if MTC is significantly less than RS, the RogerMore Feb 28, 09:23

And all this says is that RS is made up of crackhead analysts who can't even read their own research. TheWeekendWarrior Feb 28, 09:24

No one's saying to follow the rule blindly. It's just another tool to use (and it gives us something to talk about on a slow day) {nm} RogerMore Feb 28, 09:27

Yeah, I can't imagine it being much lower than that. That freaking Lorax is everywhere right now. {nm} Ruthian23 Feb 28, 09:36

So the end result delta from MTC to OW is not looked at when dealing with the rule? Just the fact that the OW is either lower or higher Paul2k Feb 28, 09:28

That's my understanding. {nm} RogerMore Feb 28, 09:40

WLUST as well (RS: 18, MTC: 8, OW: 6.5); but I don't know the difference is big enough here, only 18% {nm} xiayun Feb 28, 09:17

I thought RS was low teens (i.e. 13)... wasn't that big a gap between them. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Feb 28, 09:29

Even if it's low-teen, the percentage is big enough for the "rule" to be validated {nm} xiayun Feb 28, 10:26

Thanks {nm} horlicks Feb 28, 08:41

Man... I was hoping it was going to say 60. :) {nm} dioneta Feb 28, 09:15

+1 {nm} DOW53 Feb 28, 09:51

Lorax does 52 for the weekend {nm} UNIVXFund Feb 28, 14:36





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Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Harbinger (HARBN) 100000 0.01 (-0.01)          Triplets (TRPLT) 100000 0.02 (+0.01)          Gears of War (GEARS) 100000 0.05 (-0.02)          Gears of War (GEARS) 100000 0.05 (-0.02)          The Last Photograph aka Horse La (LPHOT) 100000 1.61 (-0.01)          Scarface (SCARF) 100000 0.30 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Raid (RAID1) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)          The Division (DIVSN) 100000 0.02 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 100000 62.25 (-0.15)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 100000 9.78 (-0.02)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 100000 9.78 (-0.02)          Natasha Lyonne (NLYON) 20000 76.32 (-0.45)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 112.30 (+4.50)          Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 10000 117.59 (+0.54)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 10000 83.34 (-0.10)          Audition (AUDTN) 100000 4.00 (0.00)          Jump Street: Now For Her Pleasur (21JS3) 100000 0.09 (-0.02)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 15000 84.77 (-0.40)          Star Trek (TREK4) 100000 26.33 (-0.14)          Julia Garner (JUGAR) 25000 76.75 (-0.75)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 60000 22.47 (-2.89)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.91 (+1.02)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 20000 161.88 (-0.04)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 459.19 (-1.25)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 281.02 (-0.94)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 20000 21.23 (+0.92)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 25000 17.27 (+0.10)          Matt Smith (MSMIT) 20000 25.20 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.41 (-6.32)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 1 4.98 (+1.27)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.41 (-6.32)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 25000 4.98 (+1.27)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 20000 342.13 (+0.16)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 100000 252.18 (-1.00)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 1000 158.48 (-2.38)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 10000 24.01 (-0.77)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 148261 23.60 (-0.54)          Audition (AUDTN) 20000 4.00 (0.00)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 20000 9.39 (-0.61)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.64 (-0.93)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.91 (+1.02)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.73 (+0.30)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 1.86 (+0.16)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.21 (+0.33)