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Movies

Yep - what I mean is it seems harder to go against groupthink on the downside than the upside.

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 08, 18:44 in response to PVL Admin's post That's also the power of group think.

Like no matter what the movie, Lego or Pacific Rim, there are always enthusiasts who'll say "I don't care what tracking says, it's opening way above that". But it's rare to see someone say "a movie about vampire Hogwarts? $5m OW max!"

ERC: George Clooney's THE MONUMENTS MEN (MONUM) rolled out to a solid $7M on Friday. {nm} H-Mogul Feb 08, 09:06

It'll go lower. Reviews are terrible. I don't see much word of mouth--- {nm} VictorY Feb 08, 09:10

Is this your opinion or a premonition? {nm} jdaniel Feb 08, 09:18

It's dropped to "33 percent" on Rotten overnight, it was around "50 percent" yesterday. Not a good sign. {nm} VictorY Feb 08, 09:49

You said "It'll go lower". So what's your estimate for the weekend total? {nm} jdaniel Feb 08, 09:56

And I'd like to know tonight's Powerball numbers. {nm} clusterxxx Feb 08, 10:14

3-12-19-40-11 powerball 36... {nm} Fagatron Feb 08, 15:18

I'll wager 2 bucks and play those numbers :p {nm} pennystocks2 Feb 08, 15:28

Looks like your sensei silly blog guess on Lego are terrible too {nm} karspov Feb 08, 10:17

Lots of bad guesses this week. Lego was apparently hard to judge. PVL Admin Feb 08, 14:31

Actually, it wasn't Lego that brought everyone down it was Vampire Academy....interesting. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 14:36

Really? Vampire Acadamy was the easiest for me to judge this week. The movie is a little late to the vampire party. {nm} magicdreamer Feb 08, 16:07

Yes. Sites were all 70-100% accurate on LEGO and wrt Vampire, 8/12 got 0%, a couple got ~30 and a couple got ~70. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 17:03

...again, if numbers hold. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 17:03

The thinking "It can't possibly open lower than this" is pretty tempting. RogerMore Feb 08, 16:27

That's also the power of group think. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 17:04

Yep - what I mean is it seems harder to go against groupthink on the downside than the upside. RogerMore Feb 08, 18:44





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Sandra Huller (SHULL) 27 50.33 (-0.16)          Sandra Bullock (SBULL) 12 108.52 (0.00)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 24 56.67 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.60 (-0.42)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 11447 72.18 (+0.14)          Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 21266 52.84 (0.00)          Sam Raimi (SRAIM) 6537 171.90 (0.00)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.88 (-0.02)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.88 (-0.02)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 49999 2.49 (-0.01)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1149 144.02 (+5.29)          Sam Neill (SNEIL) 11247 99.80 (-0.11)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.29 (-0.95)          Sam Mendes (SMEND) 6565 128.40 (-0.42)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.29 (-0.95)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.87 (-0.04)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.87 (-0.04)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.54 (+0.26)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.54 (+0.26)          Salma Hayek Pinault (SHAYE) 14488 79.13 (-0.39)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 16999 117.97 (+1.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 16999 117.97 (+1.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149998 29.08 (+1.57)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 276 144.02 (+5.29)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149996 29.08 (+1.57)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 48385 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.26 (-1.40)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 8133 55.29 (-0.95)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.50 (+0.50)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.75 (+0.75)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 76.88 (+1.88)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 128.82 (-0.93)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 12.79 (+0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 205.02 (-1.15)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 95.58 (-0.50)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.02 (+5.29)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 171.96 (-0.50)          Gerard Butler (GBUTL) 25000 66.98 (-1.00)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 25000 109.20 (-1.33)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 45.02 (-0.50)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 53.22 (+0.80)