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Every year we have a surprise late summer movie
Straight Out Compton was never expected to make $161M in 2015.
Original TMNT overperformed with $191M in 2014.
We're the Millers hit bigger than expected for $150M in 2013.
All August movies. I could go on, but I can see a few possible surprises on the schedule. I don't know which one will hit, but I don't discount movies just b/c we don't expect them to hit big. Even as a group, we tend to be really wrong about 1-2 movies per year.
You already know which movie I think could be the sleeper #5 (I said it before summer really started:)...but I also can't discount some of the other August films not named SS from hitting just $160M. And yes, I also think the Trek/Bourne movies have a chance...
Thus, why I think top 5 is totally in the air...
V: buried in SUICD tracking article. [BORN5] is on pace for a launch in the $50 million range. Jul 14, 11:25
Damon as Bourne fans - he's still a popular actor {nm} Jul 14, 11:45
yeah don't you watch Duck Dynasty? lol {nm} Jul 18, 07:22
What damage? People just decided not to bother seeing it. I didn't think it was a bad movie at all. Jul 14, 13:30
if BORN5 and TREK3 open to $50M or less and Ghost doesn't break out, XMEN6 will most likely keep the 5th spot Jul 14, 11:36
Not thinking any original can possibly bust out to $160M total BO, huh? Jul 14, 11:50
only 7 films have done it this year. 4 were before summer started and the 3 summer films, none were original. Jul 14, 12:00
you want to admire something? we're halfway into the 7th month of 2016... Jul 14, 12:13
Last year, at this point, the difference between 4 & 5 was 353 to 200 (or 5 & 6 if you count AMSNP as 2015) {nm} Jul 14, 14:20
interesting {nm} Jul 14, 19:05
At this point 2014, the highest movie was CAPA3 at 258!, and the highest summer movie so far was DOFP at 229 {nm} Jul 14, 20:18
If XMEN6 holds on for the Summer #5 spot, it will be the lowest film in the top 5 since 1998 (DPIMP at just over $140M.) {nm} Jul 14, 12:19
yeah, one of those 3 films have to bust into $160M... just seems improbable that one wouldn't. {nm} Jul 14, 12:23
Every year we have a surprise late summer movie Jul 14, 13:35
From my understanding, the contest lets every movie that opens before Labor Day count all its Box Office... Jul 14, 13:58
Maybe I'm wrong (wouldn't have changed the poor picks I made anyway) {nm} Jul 14, 14:05
I think you're right; in 2015, MISS5 passed PITC2 after Labour Day to claim the #5 spot. {nm} Jul 14, 19:29
sleeper #5, do you think it's Bad Moms? drawing a blank {nm} Jul 14, 19:08
Yes... {nm} Jul 14, 19:46
Bridesmaids made $169M and the Pitch Perfect sequel made $184M (although the original was only $65M) Jul 14, 19:51
But why it's been a sleeper for me and I couldn't pick it out right in the top 5... Jul 14, 19:59