HSX Forum

Movies

And I'm done - note zero people agreeing on the tracking, including Antibody's 185...

Posted by: TwoMisfits (a.k.a del_SCA_TwoMisfits) on Dec 16, 14:59 in response to ßionicℳoron®'s post Please do, as I don't recall such a reaction.

Deadline has updated with more Rogue One Stats: 2nd highest day of pre-sales for IMAX (Force Awakens #1)    notfabio on Nov 29, 14:22

Sold more than advanced tickets in one day than all the sales of Dr. Strange, Suicide Squad, Deadpool {nm}   notfabio on Nov 29, 14:23

I don't read that as combined. "For Movietickets, Rogue One‘s first 24 hours outstrips their sales for Suicide Squad, Deadpool and Doctor S {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 14:26

Interesting the top 2 2016 films CAPA3 and SUPE2 are not top 3 presellers. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 14:25

^top 2 openers I mean {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 14:25

Fans may not have known when presales started - Rogue One made it a huge announcement...that helped day 1  TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:35

keep moving the goalposts {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 15:35

No moving the goalposts - I still don't see data that takes this out of the trackers' weekend estimates - $4M is nowhere near $150M yet... {nm}   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:36

90% of Force Awakens first-day presales would be more like $5.8m {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 15:39

So, when I see presells of $75M or so before OW (or about 25%+ less than Star7), I'll take notice that this could break over $150M   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:39

25% less than STAR7 would be $185M. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 15:41

Star 7 had more than $100M presales (was around $120M if rumors are right) - thus my 25%+ remark...   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:42

it also had an extra month of presales v. Rogue One's 3 weeks {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 15:46

I know, so thereotically the OW would also be 25% less. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 15:46

So $75M vs $120M is about 40% less or about $150M OW - wake me when we see that presale # exceeded...then this will be big... {nm}   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:48

And this movie over Xmas actually has real competition for weekend #2 and #3 for families and sci fi...   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:56

competition matters even less at Xmas. everyone has time to see whatever they want {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 16:06

If you quit posting about Rogue One, I'll fo that {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 29, 20:11

... I'll do that :) {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 29, 20:12

2nd highest ever means it's already ahead of HGAM films that opened >$150M. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 16:07

DL: SW16 high 60 / 140-145; COLBT 7.5-8 (wknd) Oleg Max Dec 16, 12:09

some think SW16 could tip to 70M today, and if that's the case, it's three-day will get closer to $150M {nm} Oleg Max Dec 16, 12:10

I think it will...still. Great addition to the franchise. {nm} tatoufan Dec 16, 12:51

Some say 70. IMO that 140-145 came from Disney; because he specifically says 7.5-8 didn't come from WB. {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 12:11

THR: Yep. Rivals say Disney is being conservative, and that Rogue One could come in at $150 million or more. Antibody Dec 16, 12:16

V: Rivals issued estimates Friday of as high as $160 million. Antibody Dec 16, 13:39

Omg peeps...may the force be with you. good luck waiting til spring for this one... loved it! {nm} tatoufan Dec 16, 12:47

at $29M midnight, there's pretty much no way this doesn't go over $70M for opening day. {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 13:07

I expect it will kill the BO estimates at this point.. {nm} tatoufan Dec 16, 13:28

yeah, the only question I have is can hit hit $80M+ for the day. it's not certain, but it stands a pretty good chance. {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 13:37

That's some good optimism for $80M+...better theater sales today? {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 13:53

BvS did 27.7 / 81.6 {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 13:59

This is Star Wars not supers...not to mention, I don't think 63% of SW's audience this weekend will be 18-34... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:13

Didn't I say that the last few weeks - that this will play like a supers movie?:) - Posted by: TwoMisfits on Dec 13 Antibody Dec 16, 14:16

Right way frontloaded and no legs (like normal Xmas ones - it's probably 3.0 or so)... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:23

I guess I should go back to your day 1 presale posts...I'm glad the $200M+ have posted their mea culpas...oh wait, they haven't... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:24

I think I also said $150M 3 weeks ago...and got slammed for it... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:26

I was correcting your math during the day 1 presales. It was already tracking $150M 3 weeks ago, so you're remembering things differently. {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 14:38

Yes and everyone thought tracking was nuts (but me)...or would you like me to post the thread... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:53

Please do, as I don't recall such a reaction. {nm} ßionicℳoron® Dec 16, 14:56

And I'm done - note zero people agreeing on the tracking, including Antibody's 185... TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:59

The two people you are argueing with in that thread do not constitue "everyone", and no one there said 200M+ which is the number ßionicℳoron® Dec 16, 15:02

My 200M OW estimate just got a lot closer... {nm} tatoufan on Dec 01, 14:16 {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 15:06

Yes, tatoufan, the one person that's said that, but please keep raging as if that represents "everyone" ßionicℳoron® Dec 16, 15:39

I forgot the 24 hour showings...so no 200+, still nice BO though... {nm} tatoufan Dec 18, 06:51

Quite low? In the end it will rank #2 (or 3) for 2016 OW...it it was not a 'bad year'... {nm} tatoufan Dec 18, 06:54

The fanbase is $900M huge. {nm} Antibody on Dec 13, 12:06 {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 15:08

SW16 was already trading over $416 ($155M opening on Nov 21), so you don't know what you're talking about. {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 15:15

I'm starting to feel the love you've given others in the past...so let me leave on that love and wait til Sunday for final real numbers... TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:56

If you've got sales at your theater, Antibody, selling 2 to 1 versus yesterday, that would be useful to know...Lobo usually has sales... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:14

hope this makes enough money so that (spoilers) islander Dec 16, 14:12

selling out non-stop. friends have been going to morning shows, kids around here were out half day. lobogotti Dec 16, 14:25

meant for TwoMisfits {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 14:26

It is - and the Math (since you asked:)... TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:28

I'm merely talking about the Friday total at this point. I think $69M is quite low, but we'll see. {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 14:41

And glad to see you back on the boards, too:)... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:29





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Lice (LICE) 150000 4.06 (+0.06)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.06 (+0.06)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 128.82 (-0.93)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 12.79 (+0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 205.02 (-1.15)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 95.58 (-0.50)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.02 (+5.29)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 171.96 (-0.50)          Gerard Butler (GBUTL) 25000 66.98 (-1.00)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 25000 109.20 (-1.33)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 45.02 (-0.50)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 53.22 (+0.80)          Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.80 (+0.37)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 9.92 (+0.38)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.06 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 24900 1.69 (-0.31)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 85.26 (+0.63)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 60000 9.62 (+0.34)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.62 (+0.34)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 233.53 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 85.26 (+0.63)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 24.66 (+0.06)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 150000 22.12 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 23.35 (+0.17)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 129 420.49 (+2.43)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 43.45 (-0.66)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 119.32 (+0.44)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 22.35 (+0.06)          Buddy (BUDDY) 21000 7.89 (+1.05)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 31.46 (+0.06)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 12.51 (+0.02)          The Thing That Hurts (TTTHU) 150000 1.43 (-0.02)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 511 106.05 (+1.00)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 53.22 (+0.80)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 61.55 (+0.10)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 3000 96.15 (0.00)          David Robert Mitchell (DRMIT) 25000 24.65 (+0.75)          Primetime (PRMTM) 9000 23.35 (+0.17)          Moana (MOAN1) 2000 237.27 (-1.39)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 3000 121.10 (0.00)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.42 (+0.03)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 79.53 (-0.01)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.27 (-1.39)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.27 (-1.39)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 27432 22.61 (+0.55)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.02 (+5.29)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 2000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1004 305.18 (-2.09)