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I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but...

Posted by: Captain Hindsight (a.k.a diamondman56) on Mar 17, 10:10 in response to RogerMore's post They all have their different sources which tell them...

Okay, I'm lying... I'm trying to break the board.

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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Danny Boyle (DBOYL) 25000 28.44 (0.00)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 59.60 (+0.35)          Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson (VINEL) 150000 31.78 (+0.06)          Freida Pinto (FPINT) 12100 25.03 (-0.06)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 57225 14.42 (+0.97)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 25000 50.14 (+0.50)          Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 150000 1.78 (-0.03)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.67 (+0.06)          The Convert (CNVRT) 150000 1.81 (+0.01)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 25000 50.14 (+0.50)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 59.60 (+0.35)          Red One (REDON) 149993 82.30 (+0.24)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 150000 37.90 (-0.16)          Suicide by Sunlight aka Untitled (SCBSL) 30000 15.28 (0.00)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 149999 11.85 (-0.05)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 149999 12.37 (-0.07)          10-31 (1031) 149997 0.39 (-0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 50000 18.00 (0.00)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 100000 10.67 (+0.31)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 149999 35.15 (-0.43)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 14700 62.51 (-0.25)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 5000 85.93 (-1.49)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 12900 39.28 (+0.06)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 10001 26.46 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 1 143.25 (-2.81)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 85.93 (-1.49)          Suicide by Sunlight aka Untitled (SCBSL) 30000 15.28 (0.00)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 30000 6.41 (-0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 143.25 (-2.81)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 7.60 (-0.40)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 143.25 (-2.81)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 2614 139.62 (+0.20)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 149520 23.84 (+0.11)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 85.93 (-1.49)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 85.93 (-1.49)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 1 14.76 (+1.42)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 25000 14.42 (+0.97)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 12800 17.18 (-0.04)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 25000 16.14 (+0.95)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          My Penguin Friend (TPATF) 2 4.08 (+0.04)          Love Me (LOVME) 2 3.58 (-0.06)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 1500 49.82 (-0.14)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 100000 5.24 (+1.20)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 14500 139.62 (+0.20)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 2 5.01 (-0.08)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 2000 62.51 (-0.25)          Bird (BIRD) 1 2.73 (+0.05)