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BELCO - $306K {nm}

Posted by: FabioParme on Mar 17, 08:40 in response to RogerMore's post DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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A Complete Unknown aka Going Ele (GOELC) 625 15.87 (-0.02)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 1 19.90 (+0.22)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 18.09 (-0.32)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 40000 17.49 (+0.40)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 25000 50.19 (-0.03)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 150000 262.38 (+0.75)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 19.90 (+0.22)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 4.24 (+0.48)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 4.24 (+0.48)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.85 (-0.09)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.85 (-0.09)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 18.09 (-0.32)          Hugh Jackman (HJACK) 25000 22.78 (+0.12)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 60000 4.20 (-0.08)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 149999 4.20 (-0.08)          Robert De Niro (RDENI) 25000 50.41 (-0.16)          Michael (MJACK) 2000 62.51 (-0.02)          Wolf Man aka The Wolfman (TWLFM) 11999 31.70 (-0.02)          Garrett Hedlund (GHEDL) 25000 21.86 (-0.12)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 30000 6.39 (+0.22)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 141.13 (+0.34)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 3 13.96 (+0.02)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 13.96 (+0.02)          Emmanuelle (EMANU) 2 2.43 (+0.05)          Emmanuelle (EMANU) 150000 2.43 (+0.05)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 255.27 (+0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 1 6.39 (+0.22)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 6.39 (+0.22)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 2 4.24 (+0.48)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 4.24 (+0.48)          Borderline (BRLIN) 2 12.06 (+0.51)          Borderline (BRLIN) 150000 12.06 (+0.51)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 2 18.00 (+0.63)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.00 (+0.63)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 20000 45.96 (-0.02)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 117.95 (+0.32)          The Roses (TROSE) 150000 21.40 (+0.05)          Francis and the Godfather (FGODF) 91000 0.49 (+0.01)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 19.90 (+0.22)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 19.90 (+0.22)          Ash (ASH) 30000 5.19 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 20000 91.73 (-0.04)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.69 (+0.41)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 20000 23.78 (0.00)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 150000 4.20 (-0.08)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.00 (+0.63)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 150000 4.20 (-0.08)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 149999 4.20 (-0.08)          El Muerto (MUERT) 50000 17.87 (-0.02)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 18.09 (-0.32)