HSX Forum

Movies

BTATB: "Coming in at just about $175m"

Posted by: tomcat90 on Mar 20, 08:32

https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status/843845395268730880

BTATB: "Coming in at just about $175m" tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:32

Here's the solid case for a $480m-$500m delist: tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:52

Counterpoint - CINDE was released at the same time of year, had an A Cinemascore, held up well against its competition, etc. DM of 2.46. RogerMore Mar 20, 09:35

And take out TROLL which was November and PETS which was a summer original. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:41

Let me start by saying that I truly appreciate the way you responded and always respect differing opinions when phrased like that! tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:44

On the otherhand, a built-in audience could also mean more likely chance of frontloading. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:45

Yes, I agree, that is always a possibility. But what I saw at the multiplex was cross-generational. So we'll have to wait and see :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:47

Thanks for your analysis. See how it promotes positive discussion rather than negative discource. :) {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:52

Thanks Anti. i agree with you and I appreciate the job you do. It's time to bring this fun site into the positive. Keep up the good job :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:55

A couple more live-action remake comps: Alice in Wonderland 2.5 Oz 2.5 {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:59

Yes those comps are legit, but they were films that started off slow, like SING, and then built an audience. Hard to compare tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:10

The live-action remakes have a built-in audience so they make better comps than animated original films like SING, ZOOTP, PETS...etc. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 10:16

Yes, agree, but there weren't to many of them. But JNGLB's 2.79 x 174.8 would still be $487.7m. And BTATB has more going for it :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:30

Excellent post providing your perspective. Wish we could get back to more discussions like this. {nm} RollingThunder Mar 20, 09:50

Thank you for saying that RT. So do I. I appreciate every differing opinion as long as it shows a modicum of respect. This forum lacks that {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:53

Looking at the Thursday to OW multipliers of this list, BTATB is the second most frontloaded shadowking Mar 20, 10:11

Yes Shadow, that is a distinct possibility. I know I'm giving a "better-than-average" scenario. My gut says close to $100m 2nd weekend. tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:18

good stuff tomcat. I'd say that it definitely does better than 2.46 from Cinderella, because the reception was far stronger. lobogotti Mar 20, 12:07

Thanks Lobo, I always respect your opinion. And yes, the weekdays are key. And haha, TFA in only 10 days. Unreal :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 12:24

I saw it as a date movie Sat, theater was packed. Same theater a 1:30pm showing today (Monday) with my five year old Machined2 Mar 20, 17:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 90.87 (+1.25)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 3459 2.95 (+0.12)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 90.87 (+1.25)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 90.87 (+1.25)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.65 (+0.65)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 2500 272.25 (+0.32)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.65 (+0.65)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.65 (+0.65)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 393 25.20 (+0.04)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 134729 90.64 (+7.46)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          One Night Only (ONTON) 6 29.61 (+0.11)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 9 299.20 (+1.73)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 350 6.64 (-0.07)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 20 16.84 (-0.28)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 1850 1.19 (-0.01)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 13 25.24 (-0.25)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 8 17.59 (+0.09)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 15 8.69 (+0.09)          Normal (NORML) 65 20.94 (+0.19)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 13 77.32 (-0.78)          The Moment (MOMNT) 729 11.29 (-0.05)          A Private Life aka Vie Privee (VPRIV) 35 1.45 (-0.04)          A Private Life aka Vie Privee (VPRIV) 35 1.45 (-0.04)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 15 60.11 (-0.49)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 149999 5.90 (-0.10)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 149999 5.81 (-0.07)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 51839 257.75 (+0.37)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 3000 2.92 (+0.10)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 2000 2.92 (+0.10)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 25.20 (+0.04)          Bunker (BUNKR) 149999 5.55 (-0.10)          The Choral (CHORL) 230 3.23 (+0.38)          Star Trek (TREK4) 52135 33.80 (+0.15)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 15 67.60 (-0.98)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 400 13.93 (-1.64)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 75 61.76 (+3.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5 449.72 (-2.07)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 20000 74.08 (-0.92)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5 449.72 (-2.07)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 165.81 (+1.52)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 200 3.23 (-0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 449.72 (-2.07)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 165.81 (+1.52)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 149999 1.35 (-0.02)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.65 (+0.65)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 8 290.54 (-2.13)