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Yes Shadow, that is a distinct possibility. I know I'm giving a "better-than-average" scenario. My gut says close to $100m 2nd weekend.

Posted by: tomcat90 on Mar 20, 10:18 in response to shadowking's post Looking at the Thursday to OW multipliers of this list,...

The Mon-Thurs numbers will be key. We'll have to wait and see

BTATB: "Coming in at just about $175m" tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:32

Here's the solid case for a $480m-$500m delist: tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:52

Counterpoint - CINDE was released at the same time of year, had an A Cinemascore, held up well against its competition, etc. DM of 2.46. RogerMore Mar 20, 09:35

And take out TROLL which was November and PETS which was a summer original. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:41

Let me start by saying that I truly appreciate the way you responded and always respect differing opinions when phrased like that! tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:44

On the otherhand, a built-in audience could also mean more likely chance of frontloading. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:45

Yes, I agree, that is always a possibility. But what I saw at the multiplex was cross-generational. So we'll have to wait and see :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:47

Thanks for your analysis. See how it promotes positive discussion rather than negative discource. :) {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:52

Thanks Anti. i agree with you and I appreciate the job you do. It's time to bring this fun site into the positive. Keep up the good job :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:55

A couple more live-action remake comps: Alice in Wonderland 2.5 Oz 2.5 {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:59

Yes those comps are legit, but they were films that started off slow, like SING, and then built an audience. Hard to compare tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:10

The live-action remakes have a built-in audience so they make better comps than animated original films like SING, ZOOTP, PETS...etc. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 10:16

Yes, agree, but there weren't to many of them. But JNGLB's 2.79 x 174.8 would still be $487.7m. And BTATB has more going for it :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:30

Excellent post providing your perspective. Wish we could get back to more discussions like this. {nm} RollingThunder Mar 20, 09:50

Thank you for saying that RT. So do I. I appreciate every differing opinion as long as it shows a modicum of respect. This forum lacks that {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:53

Looking at the Thursday to OW multipliers of this list, BTATB is the second most frontloaded shadowking Mar 20, 10:11

Yes Shadow, that is a distinct possibility. I know I'm giving a "better-than-average" scenario. My gut says close to $100m 2nd weekend. tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:18

good stuff tomcat. I'd say that it definitely does better than 2.46 from Cinderella, because the reception was far stronger. lobogotti Mar 20, 12:07

Thanks Lobo, I always respect your opinion. And yes, the weekdays are key. And haha, TFA in only 10 days. Unreal :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 12:24

I saw it as a date movie Sat, theater was packed. Same theater a 1:30pm showing today (Monday) with my five year old Machined2 Mar 20, 17:03





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Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 1 78.77 (-0.21)          Sing 3 (SING3) 121 58.53 (+2.27)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 430.35 (+1.52)          Sing 3 (SING3) 149999 58.53 (+2.27)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 58.53 (+2.27)          King Snake (KSNAK) 1 14.57 (-0.08)          King Snake (KSNAK) 1 14.57 (-0.08)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 9.71 (-0.80)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 9.71 (-0.80)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 1 7.65 (0.00)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 1 7.65 (0.00)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 149999 47.09 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 26.16 (+3.61)          Monopoly (MONOP) 1 11.82 (-0.06)          Monopoly (MONOP) 1 11.82 (-0.06)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 1 9.77 (-0.01)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 149999 20.12 (+1.30)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 149999 118.49 (+0.83)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 150000 31.76 (-0.06)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 1 31.76 (-0.06)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 1 12.86 (-0.04)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 1 12.86 (-0.04)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 1 13.88 (+0.08)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 1 13.88 (+0.08)          Baton (BATON) 150000 4.88 (-0.01)          Baton (BATON) 1 4.88 (-0.01)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 6.95 (+0.03)          Josephine (JSPHN) 1 6.95 (+0.03)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 150000 21.71 (-0.06)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 1 21.71 (-0.06)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 12407 124.99 (+0.49)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Fleur (FLEUR) 1 7.21 (-0.09)          Fleur (FLEUR) 1 7.21 (-0.09)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 2624 52.86 (+0.16)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 1.98 (-0.01)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 1 1.98 (-0.01)          Control (COTRL) 1 6.16 (-0.02)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.58 (-0.07)          Brie Larson (BLARS) 6416 111.89 (-0.25)          Control (COTRL) 1 6.16 (-0.02)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 3.49 (+0.19)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 4.24 (-0.14)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 1 4.24 (-0.14)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 9.20 (-0.12)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 2000 50.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 1 9.20 (-0.12)          Assassination (ASSNT) 150000 7.04 (-0.07)