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I saw it as a date movie Sat, theater was packed. Same theater a 1:30pm showing today (Monday) with my five year old

Posted by: Machined2 on Mar 20, 17:03 in response to tomcat90's post Here's the solid case for a $480m-$500m delist:

and a pretty full theater of Millennials, kids and senior citizens. I was quite shocked, thought it would be a safe time to take a little boy that is loudly enthusiastic during movies, but...no.

BTATB: "Coming in at just about $175m" tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:32

Here's the solid case for a $480m-$500m delist: tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:52

Counterpoint - CINDE was released at the same time of year, had an A Cinemascore, held up well against its competition, etc. DM of 2.46. RogerMore Mar 20, 09:35

And take out TROLL which was November and PETS which was a summer original. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:41

Let me start by saying that I truly appreciate the way you responded and always respect differing opinions when phrased like that! tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:44

On the otherhand, a built-in audience could also mean more likely chance of frontloading. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:45

Yes, I agree, that is always a possibility. But what I saw at the multiplex was cross-generational. So we'll have to wait and see :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:47

Thanks for your analysis. See how it promotes positive discussion rather than negative discource. :) {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:52

Thanks Anti. i agree with you and I appreciate the job you do. It's time to bring this fun site into the positive. Keep up the good job :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:55

A couple more live-action remake comps: Alice in Wonderland 2.5 Oz 2.5 {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:59

Yes those comps are legit, but they were films that started off slow, like SING, and then built an audience. Hard to compare tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:10

The live-action remakes have a built-in audience so they make better comps than animated original films like SING, ZOOTP, PETS...etc. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 10:16

Yes, agree, but there weren't to many of them. But JNGLB's 2.79 x 174.8 would still be $487.7m. And BTATB has more going for it :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:30

Excellent post providing your perspective. Wish we could get back to more discussions like this. {nm} RollingThunder Mar 20, 09:50

Thank you for saying that RT. So do I. I appreciate every differing opinion as long as it shows a modicum of respect. This forum lacks that {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:53

Looking at the Thursday to OW multipliers of this list, BTATB is the second most frontloaded shadowking Mar 20, 10:11

Yes Shadow, that is a distinct possibility. I know I'm giving a "better-than-average" scenario. My gut says close to $100m 2nd weekend. tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:18

good stuff tomcat. I'd say that it definitely does better than 2.46 from Cinderella, because the reception was far stronger. lobogotti Mar 20, 12:07

Thanks Lobo, I always respect your opinion. And yes, the weekdays are key. And haha, TFA in only 10 days. Unreal :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 12:24

I saw it as a date movie Sat, theater was packed. Same theater a 1:30pm showing today (Monday) with my five year old Machined2 Mar 20, 17:03





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Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 10000 19.37 (+0.17)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 44444 6.19 (+0.02)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 50000 7.61 (+0.93)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 50000 7.61 (+0.93)          Super Troopers 3 - Opening Weeke (STRO3.OW) 100000 13.03 (-0.22)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 50000 7.61 (+0.93)          One Night Only H$10 Call (ONTON.CA) 25000 0.62 (-0.24)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 50000 7.61 (+0.93)          One Night Only H$10 Call (ONTON.CA) 25000 0.62 (-0.24)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 6.70 (+0.46)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 150000 15.44 (-0.20)          One Night Only H$10 Call (ONTON.CA) 25000 0.62 (-0.24)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 50000 7.61 (+0.93)          Mutiny H$10 Call (MUTNY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 21.55 (-1.28)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 50000 7.61 (+0.93)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 9.12 (-0.43)          Mutiny - Opening Weekend (MUTNY.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 11.71 (+0.57)          Mutiny H$10 Put (MUTNY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tony (TONY) 150000 15.65 (-0.29)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 55555 1.18 (-0.03)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 149999 174.34 (+0.44)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 10000 19.50 (-0.02)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 133777 64.69 (+0.35)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 86.90 (+1.05)          Whalefall (WHALF) 15400 43.32 (-0.02)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 54.37 (-0.25)          Ben Wang (BWANG) 25000 34.05 (+0.35)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 150000 29.35 (+0.98)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 14.03 (-0.15)          Spa Weekend - Opening Weekend (SPAWK.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 82.41 (-2.29)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 86.90 (+1.05)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 25000 88.63 (-1.27)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 23.56 (-0.63)          Mutiny H$10 Put (MUTNY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Haunted Heist (HAUHS) 120000 0.66 (+0.01)          Mutiny - Opening Weekend (MUTNY.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Jon Hamm (JHAMM) 25000 62.28 (+2.41)          Mutiny H$10 Call (MUTNY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 104000 0.07 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 25000 21.55 (-1.28)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 40000 12.50 (-0.05)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 52.61 (+1.22)