HSX Forum

Movies

I saw it as a date movie Sat, theater was packed. Same theater a 1:30pm showing today (Monday) with my five year old

Posted by: Machined2 on Mar 20, 17:03 in response to tomcat90's post Here's the solid case for a $480m-$500m delist:

and a pretty full theater of Millennials, kids and senior citizens. I was quite shocked, thought it would be a safe time to take a little boy that is loudly enthusiastic during movies, but...no.

BTATB: "Coming in at just about $175m" tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:32

Here's the solid case for a $480m-$500m delist: tomcat90 Mar 20, 08:52

Counterpoint - CINDE was released at the same time of year, had an A Cinemascore, held up well against its competition, etc. DM of 2.46. RogerMore Mar 20, 09:35

And take out TROLL which was November and PETS which was a summer original. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:41

Let me start by saying that I truly appreciate the way you responded and always respect differing opinions when phrased like that! tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:44

On the otherhand, a built-in audience could also mean more likely chance of frontloading. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:45

Yes, I agree, that is always a possibility. But what I saw at the multiplex was cross-generational. So we'll have to wait and see :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:47

Thanks for your analysis. See how it promotes positive discussion rather than negative discource. :) {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:52

Thanks Anti. i agree with you and I appreciate the job you do. It's time to bring this fun site into the positive. Keep up the good job :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:55

A couple more live-action remake comps: Alice in Wonderland 2.5 Oz 2.5 {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 09:59

Yes those comps are legit, but they were films that started off slow, like SING, and then built an audience. Hard to compare tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:10

The live-action remakes have a built-in audience so they make better comps than animated original films like SING, ZOOTP, PETS...etc. {nm} Antibody Mar 20, 10:16

Yes, agree, but there weren't to many of them. But JNGLB's 2.79 x 174.8 would still be $487.7m. And BTATB has more going for it :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:30

Excellent post providing your perspective. Wish we could get back to more discussions like this. {nm} RollingThunder Mar 20, 09:50

Thank you for saying that RT. So do I. I appreciate every differing opinion as long as it shows a modicum of respect. This forum lacks that {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 09:53

Looking at the Thursday to OW multipliers of this list, BTATB is the second most frontloaded shadowking Mar 20, 10:11

Yes Shadow, that is a distinct possibility. I know I'm giving a "better-than-average" scenario. My gut says close to $100m 2nd weekend. tomcat90 Mar 20, 10:18

good stuff tomcat. I'd say that it definitely does better than 2.46 from Cinderella, because the reception was far stronger. lobogotti Mar 20, 12:07

Thanks Lobo, I always respect your opinion. And yes, the weekdays are key. And haha, TFA in only 10 days. Unreal :) {nm} tomcat90 Mar 20, 12:24

I saw it as a date movie Sat, theater was packed. Same theater a 1:30pm showing today (Monday) with my five year old Machined2 Mar 20, 17:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 38852 30.00 (0.00)          Taika Waititi (TAWAI) 13 98.37 (-0.25)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 6.31 (+1.68)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 149999 20.06 (+0.02)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 7.49 (+1.60)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 20000 30.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 149000 6.31 (+1.68)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 5.24 (-0.04)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 2.38 (-0.03)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 16000 245.63 (-0.83)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 150000 11.96 (-0.11)          Stages (STGES) 150000 7.53 (-0.06)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 150000 6.59 (-0.05)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 150000 17.04 (-0.06)          Shout It Out Loud (SHIOL) 150000 12.00 (-0.03)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 10000 201.47 (+0.15)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.31 (-0.29)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 0.83 (-0.04)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 10000 9.55 (-0.12)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 5.43 (-0.03)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 13000 290.82 (+1.04)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 5.21 (-0.08)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 15000 201.47 (+0.15)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.42 (0.00)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 28.88 (+0.37)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 0.70 (-0.02)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.61 (-0.12)          Robotech (RTECH) 150000 6.24 (-0.02)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 114000 25.57 (+0.19)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 14.10 (+0.30)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 149999 97.40 (-3.35)          Riverrun (RVRUN) 150000 0.56 (-0.02)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 28.88 (+0.37)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 150000 0.39 (-0.02)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 2.24 (-0.02)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 25000 166.08 (-1.50)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 4.17 (-0.03)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 10.72 (-0.12)          Priscilla: Queen of the Desert 2 (APQD2) 150000 3.00 (-0.02)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 1.35 (0.00)          Power Rangers (PWRNG) 150000 1.13 (-0.02)          The Chain (CHAIN) 50000 0.79 (-0.01)          We Are Storror (WSTOR) 150000 0.28 (-0.01)          This Is How It Goes (TIHIG) 150000 0.32 (+0.01)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 1.59 (-0.01)          Women On Trial (WOTRL) 150000 0.15 (0.00)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.38 (-0.29)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 573 0.59 (-0.06)