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the first installments of new hero franchises usually come in lower than sequels {nm}

Posted by: slipping jimmy (a.k.a mickpix) on May 11, 10:54 in response to eallensbp's post After SUPE2 I was predicting a $200M OW start for WONDR....

TheWrap: Wonder Woman hit real tracking reports today 105 to 115 million opening projected notfabio May 11, 07:03

DL: "Wonder Women, came on tracking this morning with projections at an estimated $65M." RazorHawk May 11, 07:44

That's quite the range and far lower than the initial $83M or w/e it was that came out a couple weeks back. {nm} -JPV- May 11, 07:46

Makes one Wonder. {nm} Captain Obvious May 11, 07:50

At 25K Tweets a day right now and likely to grow, $65m would be shockingly low. The female demographic is excited for this. RollingThunder May 11, 07:52

Agreed. {nm} -JPV- May 11, 08:34

65M is coming from the studio. {nm} Antibody May 11, 08:37

anyone recall if the female demo was underestimated (undertracked?) for movies like the 1st Sex & the City, 1st Twilight or 1st 50 Shades?.. {nm} tealfan May 11, 12:43

Which initial 83? {nm} Antibody May 11, 08:36

Sorry, wasn't tracking. BoxOfficePro predicted $83M. {nm} -JPV- May 11, 08:45

THR: "Wonder Woman Tracking for Solid $65M Box-Office Debut RazorHawk May 11, 07:50

Nothing "solid" about that. Adjusted for ticket inflation, Ant-Man had a $62M OW; Captain America $72M. -JPV- May 11, 07:56

OTOH, wasn't the tracking for Deadpool something like $60-70M? {nm} -JPV- May 11, 08:04

Feb and rated R. WW is June and pg13 action, plenty of comparisons for tracking to be more accurate {nm} MattW May 11, 08:12

In that range, though there were a couple of 90M predictions. But Deadpool overperformed by being different after a glut of similar RogerMore May 11, 08:21

W: independent trackers $105M+ [WONDR] {nm} Antibody May 11, 08:35

Have the Wonder Woman derivatives not started for a reason? {nm} ladybegood May 11, 09:40

They don't start trading until next Wednesday. {nm} RollingThunder May 11, 10:17

I know what it's supposed to be and as per schedule, but the IPO dates on the stocks themselves are marked May 9th. {nm} ladybegood May 11, 11:39

After SUPE2 I was predicting a $200M OW start for WONDR. Trailers are underwhelming, but if Warners can step up marketing-- eallensbp May 11, 10:46

the first installments of new hero franchises usually come in lower than sequels slipping jimmy May 11, 10:54

True, but WONDR was launched off the back of SUPE2, and I feel therefore it's a spinoff. $110 OW for WONDR is good, but $150M is a homer. eallensbp May 11, 11:53

$200M is crazy. Nolan's Batman topped out at $160M. {nm} Antibody May 11, 12:07

Anti, BATM3 topped out at $160M because of Aurora. Prior to that, tracking had it challenging AVGNR to $210M OW. {nm} eallensbp May 11, 13:27

^AVNGR {nm} eallensbp May 11, 13:28

Wonder Woman will bring out Moms + Family in Droves WBROXFund (eyescovered) May 12, 05:22





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