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Because that's a 3x multiplier which Rocketman and Bohemian did on there OW to 4 week delist price as a comparison
38 is the latest figure predicted and also around what the share price currently is for OW.
45 would be 135, 8 would be 24, 200 would be 600. Also Elvis could open to 900M or 0.01. Having an issue with speculation is funny. Thats what the site is all about.
I think it will have good legs because this type of film generaly does, its well reviewd by critics. I am not sure whht it will open with. Looks like previews will be 3M+. Should have a good multiplier from there. Not sure what WOM from actual audiences will be to drive it though. I think 35- 40 is its range at this stage but if its hits that range it should get to 100M delist price here would be my guess (*subject to Antibody allowing me to speculate of course).
Box Office is going with $38m for Elvis and $20.3 for Black Phone Jun 22, 16:22
Elvis should have good legs (Rocketman 25.7M OW - 96.3M domestic, Bohemian 51M OW- 216M domestic) {nm} Jun 22, 16:26
Rocketman and Bohemian both at 3x OW for there 4 weeks totals. 40 for Elvis would lead to 120 if that pattern holds. {nm} Jun 22, 16:27
It hasn't opened at 40 yet. A 30 opening would lead to 90. {nm} Jun 22, 16:31
Exactly. Why speculate on top of prediction. LITYR opened at 50 when everyone had 70-100. {nm} Jun 22, 16:36
Why speculate? Because HSX is all about that and why people play. Musical biopics have shown to have good legs. {nm} Jun 22, 16:44
Unfortunately, they haven't all had good openings... for every Bohemian Rhapsody there's a Get On Up... Jun 22, 18:12
agreed...or A Star is Born {nm} Jun 22, 18:22
? A Star is Born pulled about 50 on a holiday weekend, delisted just under 150, and ended at 215. Massive legs {nm} Jun 22, 19:33
I meant it could go either way on the good or bad but for the most part the genre has good legs {nm} Jun 22, 19:52
LITYR box office included Wed previews {nm} Jun 22, 20:32
the preview number did not {nm} Jun 22, 20:48
the preview number did not include the EA shows of around 750K which is my point {nm} Jun 22, 20:49
BO: LIGHTYEAR $5.2M Domestic Previews (Includes Wednesday & Thursday) Jun 22, 22:03
Why are you assuming BO's 38 is correct when they were wrong with LITYR's $84M. {nm} Jun 22, 18:49
I did not say 38M I just said the last 2 musical bipoics had a 3x delist multiplier on its OW Jun 22, 19:00
My issue is this assumption of what ELVIS should be trading at "The latest prediction is 38 so thats 114." {nm} Jun 22, 19:15
Because that's a 3x multiplier which Rocketman and Bohemian did on there OW to 4 week delist price as a comparison Jun 22, 19:26
38 is not the "latest prediction". It's one person's guess/opinion. It's not better than someone else's 30 or 35. {nm} Jun 22, 20:26
The number was provided by Shawn Robbins who runs BoxOfficePro. Jun 22, 20:54
there's always one, right? {nm} Jun 22, 22:04
... or two :) {nm} Jun 23, 07:13
OTOH, BLUHR's Gatsby was only 2.5X {nm} Jun 22, 16:29
The Great Gatsby 48% critics versus Elvis at 83% (95 reviews) {nm} Jun 22, 16:37
any normal summer (even granting it's still a Baz thing) it would be effective counterprogramming for the non-tentpole crowd Jun 22, 16:45
Probaby want a TIFF launch to stage for Awards. Its a similar date to Couples Retreat and other sucessful comedies {nm} Jun 22, 17:47
Meet The Parents too {nm} Jun 22, 17:48
coulda been a Bridesmaids tho {nm} Jun 22, 17:59
3000 Miles to Graceland is the last time I thought about Elvis Jun 22, 19:33
You missed seeing Elvis in the Walmart Parking Lot last weekend? {nm} Jun 22, 21:35