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Box Office is going with $38m for Elvis and $20.3 for Black Phone

Posted by: TheWeekendWarrior on Jun 22, 16:22

My predictions won't be ready for the morning but I do think Top Gun and Jurassic World will be reversed, especially if Top Gun does get back into IMAX this Friday (rather than waiting until July 1)

Box Office is going with $38m for Elvis and $20.3 for Black Phone TheWeekendWarrior Jun 22, 16:22

Elvis should have good legs (Rocketman 25.7M OW - 96.3M domestic, Bohemian 51M OW- 216M domestic) {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:26

Rocketman and Bohemian both at 3x OW for there 4 weeks totals. 40 for Elvis would lead to 120 if that pattern holds. {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:27

It hasn't opened at 40 yet. A 30 opening would lead to 90. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 16:31

It also has not opened at 30. Might as well put 5 or 500 if you want to throw numbers out there. The latest prediction is 38 so thats 114. {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:35

Exactly. Why speculate on top of prediction. LITYR opened at 50 when everyone had 70-100. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 16:36

Why speculate? Because HSX is all about that and why people play. Musical biopics have shown to have good legs. {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:44

Unfortunately, they haven't all had good openings... for every Bohemian Rhapsody there's a Get On Up... TheWeekendWarrior Jun 22, 18:12

agreed...or A Star is Born {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 18:22

? A Star is Born pulled about 50 on a holiday weekend, delisted just under 150, and ended at 215. Massive legs {nm} OdysseusG Jun 22, 19:33

I meant it could go either way on the good or bad but for the most part the genre has good legs {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 19:52

Elvis had EA shows already (Tuesday) and they "might" be included in the Previews (for LY they did not include it) and its 500-600K Peter453 Jun 22, 19:57

LITYR box office included Wed previews {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 20:32

the preview number did not {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 20:48

the preview number did not include the EA shows of around 750K which is my point {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 20:49

BO: LIGHTYEAR $5.2M Domestic Previews (Includes Wednesday & Thursday) Antibody Jun 22, 22:03

Yeah I asked Jatinder and Empire City and they said it does not include EA. EC has TG2 5.35M, JWD 5.15M, LY 4.05M today (Wed) {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 22:06

Why are you assuming BO's 38 is correct when they were wrong with LITYR's $84M. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 18:49

I did not say 38M I just said the last 2 musical bipoics had a 3x delist multiplier on its OW Peter453 Jun 22, 19:00

My issue is this assumption of what ELVIS should be trading at "The latest prediction is 38 so thats 114." {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 19:15

Because that's a 3x multiplier which Rocketman and Bohemian did on there OW to 4 week delist price as a comparison Peter453 Jun 22, 19:26

38 is not the "latest prediction". It's one person's guess/opinion. It's not better than someone else's 30 or 35. {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 20:26

The number was provided by Shawn Robbins who runs BoxOfficePro. Peter453 Jun 22, 20:54

I don't have a problem with anyone's prediction. I have a problem with you assuming his or anyone's prediction is correct and what price Antibody Jun 22, 21:55

there's always one, right? {nm} Moviesnob Jun 22, 22:04

... or two :) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jun 23, 07:13

OTOH, BLUHR's Gatsby was only 2.5X {nm} Antibody Jun 22, 16:29

The Great Gatsby 48% critics versus Elvis at 83% (95 reviews) {nm} Peter453 Jun 22, 16:37

any normal summer (even granting it's still a Baz thing) it would be effective counterprogramming for the non-tentpole crowd raccacoonie Jun 22, 16:45

which, watching Billy Eichner on Kimmel, it's insane that they're holding Bros until October basically. would have killed as a summer comedy {nm} raccacoonie Jun 22, 17:15

Probaby want a TIFF launch to stage for Awards. Its a similar date to Couples Retreat and other sucessful comedies {nm} notfabio Jun 22, 17:47

Meet The Parents too {nm} notfabio Jun 22, 17:48

coulda been a Bridesmaids tho {nm} raccacoonie Jun 22, 17:59

3000 Miles to Graceland is the last time I thought about Elvis sneak Jun 22, 19:33

You missed seeing Elvis in the Walmart Parking Lot last weekend? {nm} Captain Obvious Jun 22, 21:35





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