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56-22 is an implied 34 Friday; Use the 34 for your basic weekend and delist mutiplier +22.

Posted by: Sneak (a.k.a sneak) on Jul 12, 18:00 in response to randomviolenz's post I don't understand the pessimism. Why is 56M not a good...

This will not reach a 300 delist, and with the front loaded nature, I don't know if 250 is going to hold.  Equally painful is the flip and commission cost, and the upcoming OW hit, so if you root for 250 you still can make some nice cash.  Make a little pruno.

BOR: SUPRM $56.5M Antibody Jul 12, 08:39

Barring a miracle I'm holding all three options right in my own port and COMIC (sorry!) {nm} The Weekend Warrior Jul 12, 08:43

What a typo.... I meant to say I'm holding them all WRONG!!! {nm} The Weekend Warrior Jul 12, 08:44

what was it that made you Short them? Rishoutfield Jul 12, 08:51

Actually I went long on the OW and CA and shorted the PU which is always a no-no The Weekend Warrior Jul 12, 09:03

I don't understand the pessimism. Why is 56M not a good thing? {nm} randomviolenz Jul 12, 16:20

56-22 is an implied 34 Friday; Use the 34 for your basic weekend and delist mutiplier +22. Sneak Jul 12, 18:00

thanks {nm} randomviolinz Jul 12, 18:50

You dont think it'll make 2× opening weekend?! nm Antibody Jul 13, 06:57

although my post was before Saturday numbers, seeing the clean 100mm weekend means 250+ delist is 95% Sneak Jul 13, 17:56

I was out of the OW completely until seeing your enthusiasm & that $140-150m forecast I went all in (gonna lose $1.5m+) Tallwonder Jul 13, 08:40

As usual, I want to thank all the idiots out there for the hype this past week, telling us all how it's building toward a 140-150. Good work goodvibe61 Jul 12, 09:10

Live & learn HighLightDark Jul 12, 09:14

For me it's much more like: Live. Don't learn. LOL. {nm} goodvibe61 Jul 12, 09:26

Next up will be this mediocre looking Fantastic 4 movie: Oh look, all signs point to 2.3 zillion dollars opening weekend! {nm} goodvibe61 Jul 12, 09:27

I'm the biggest FF fan and I've been tempering my expectations for the movie based on trailers. {nm} The Weekend Warrior Jul 12, 10:09

I'm sorry if I contributed to it. I was solely going by the numbers. {nm} The Weekend Warrior Jul 12, 10:07

I mean, my prediction on Weds morning (behind the paywall) was $124.2 million... The Weekend Warrior Jul 12, 10:09

I read a lot of reviews and the number I saw most was $125M so you were not out of line {nm} SirWinstonNewkirk Jul 12, 10:15

You've got zero to apologize for brother; you've been doing this longer than anyone; there's always NEXT weekend LOL. goodvibe61 Jul 12, 17:41

So what's the latest projection for the weekend? {nm} RamsFan2004 Jul 12, 10:18

Somewhere between $110-$125 million. {nm} JayPrimetown Jul 12, 10:50

surpasses 130 M morons MrShawnHudson Jul 12, 12:22

120-something seems very likely. 22.5+34+39+30 =125.5 MattW Jul 12, 18:16





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James Bond 26 (JB26) 6000 152.57 (+0.44)          Oceans (OCEN5) 1200 47.05 (+0.15)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 20000 7.43 (-0.19)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 7.43 (-0.19)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 55.88 (+1.89)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 20.18 (+0.06)          Them (THEM) 150000 41.89 (+1.89)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 15000 200.82 (+0.93)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 617 19.27 (0.00)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.CA) 25000 3.17 (0.00)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.53 (-0.02)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 149998 4.56 (-0.32)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 4.56 (-0.32)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 4000 22.03 (+0.10)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 35000 14.54 (+1.25)          Ibelin (IBELN) 149998 6.32 (-0.52)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 5000 14.54 (+1.25)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 149998 5.18 (+0.20)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 21000 86.05 (+0.23)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 13.26 (-0.08)          Them (THEM) 5000 41.89 (+1.89)          Hokum (HOKUM) 149998 15.87 (+0.25)          Fleur (FLEUR) 149998 7.24 (+0.35)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 149998 6.08 (+0.33)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 149998 12.06 (+0.48)          In the Grey (NGREY) 149998 19.60 (+0.74)          Them (THEM) 5000 41.89 (+1.89)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149996 9.73 (+0.07)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 11.98 (-0.04)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 149999 17.40 (0.00)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 11.98 (-0.04)          Colony (CLONY) 149997 1.81 (-0.15)          Them (THEM) 150000 41.89 (+1.89)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 55.88 (+1.89)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 15.87 (+0.25)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 3.80 (-0.03)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 14.63 (+0.01)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 149999 17.40 (0.00)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 11.98 (-0.04)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 28.70 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 55.88 (+1.89)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 4.31 (-0.13)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 149999 39.72 (+0.09)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.74 (-0.03)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 266.76 (+0.75)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 152.57 (+0.44)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 378.50 (+0.37)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 98.11 (+0.16)          50 Cent Curtis Jackson (50CEN) 2500 51.73 (+0.01)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 29.99 (+0.13)