HSX Forum

TVStocks, MusicStocks and Life

How about take the two biggies last year AVNGR and HOBIT, and dog like ALVH, and show how our predictive powers failed.

Posted by: elchan (a.k.a elchan2012) on Mar 18, 09:03 in response to phdpens' post HSX as a Predictive Market - Question/Help!

Like the normal stock market, there are a few people here that do the hard math using previous BO results, and do statistical predictions.  Most of us follow the Friday and Saturday numbers and buy or short accordingly.  It's like following quarterly reports for real stocks.

The derivatives are a different story.  It's not really so much predicting how much a movie will make rather than, how closely Antibody's prediction is going to deviate from the actual box office.  Sometime his standard deviation is large and we make easy money, sometimes it's a coin flip and you just have to cover your butts with the movie stock after the fact.

HSX as a Predictive Market - Question/Help! phdpens Mar 17, 17:53

check the Announcements board for the MoviesStock Adjust posts {nm} charlie Mar 17, 19:01

How about take the two biggies last year AVNGR and HOBIT, and dog like ALVH, and show how our predictive powers failed. elchan Mar 18, 09:03

thanks! (nm) phdpens Mar 18, 14:06

Btw, you 4 have days, plenty of time if you forgo sleep, and showers. (Been there, done that.) elchan Mar 18, 09:23





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 95.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 166 62.31 (-1.84)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 1 24.42 (-0.12)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Over Your Dead Body aka The Trip (TETRP) 150000 7.48 (+1.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.02 (-0.34)          Sinners - Original Screenplay (A6OSIN) 25000 11.17 (+0.07)          Heel (HEEL) 10000 1.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 5000 24.02 (-0.34)          Shiver (SHVER) 149999 62.31 (-1.84)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 19.14 (+2.47)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 19.14 (+2.47)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.72 (+0.06)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.88 (+0.17)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 100 2.42 (+0.20)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 145 109.88 (+2.80)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 1 13.37 (+1.78)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100 50.34 (+0.47)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.72 (+0.06)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.20)          Dracula (DRALT) 104523 4.09 (+0.11)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 0.87 (+0.03)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 0.87 (+0.03)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 50.34 (+0.47)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3998 11.90 (-0.64)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 8000 307.31 (-1.05)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 19.14 (+2.47)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 95.00 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 98 5.59 (+1.38)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 21999 13.37 (+1.78)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 11000 24.02 (-0.34)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.21 (+0.06)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.21 (+0.06)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.88 (+0.17)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 35.72 (+0.50)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 19.14 (+2.47)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.16 (+0.08)          Shelter (SELTR) 1 12.33 (-0.93)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 14.95 (-0.12)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 14.95 (-0.12)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 1 24.02 (-0.34)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 24.42 (-0.12)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 24.42 (-0.12)          Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle a (A6ALDC) 24500 5.11 (-0.06)          Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle a (A6ALDC) 23900 5.11 (-0.06)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)