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If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on May 14, 17:10 in response to ShawnMR's post Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Now You See Me H$25 Call (NYSME.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Fast & Furious 6 (FAST6) 100000 223.41 (+6.53)         After Earth H$45 Put (1THAE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         After Earth - Opening Weekend (1THAE.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)         The 12-Year Project aka Boyhood (GROWN) 100000 3.44 (+3.37)         Michelle Williams (MWILL) 20000 43.90 (-0.40)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         After Earth - Opening Weekend (1THAE.OW) 36045 45.00 (0.00)         The Salvation (SALVT) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         The Gunman aka Prone Gunman (PGUNM) 100000 25.86 (+4.75)         Star Wars: Episode VII (STAR7) 2897 251.64 (+1.21)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 25000 138.43 (-16.80)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 38009 192.67 (-0.33)         Chappie (CHAPI) 100000 41.14 (+2.63)         The Salvation (SALVT) 19461 6.00 (0.00)         The Hangover Part III H$70 Fri-M (HNOV3.PU) 20000 3.15 (+0.08)         Reese Witherspoon (RWITH) 20000 83.64 (-0.40)         Epic (EPIC) 100 82.35 (-1.55)         Anchorman: The Legend Continues (ANCH2) 20000 125.10 (+0.89)         Epic (EPIC) 1000 82.35 (-1.55)         Mark Strong (MSTRO) 20000 45.76 (+0.14)         We're the Millers (WEMIL) 1 34.30 (+0.63)         Gravity (GRVTY) 500 67.02 (-0.08)         Man of Tai Chi (MTCHI) 100000 15.37 (+0.29)         The Gunman aka Prone Gunman (PGUNM) 15000 25.86 (+4.75)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 31.24 (-0.58)         After Earth H$45 Put (1THAE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Lone Ranger (LONER) 24000 120.58 (-0.91)         Gravity (GRVTY) 500 67.02 (-0.08)         Anchorman: The Legend Continues (ANCH2) 100000 125.10 (+0.89)         All is Lost (ALOST) 1000 11.22 (+1.98)         Metallica Through the Never (MET3D) 5 3.48 (+0.54)         All is Lost (ALOST) 100000 11.22 (+1.98)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 100000 10.12 (+0.22)         The Salvation (SALVT) 20000 6.00 (0.00)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 64898 192.67 (-0.33)         The Ivy Chronicles (IVYCH) 100000 0.02 (-0.02)         Wrong (WRNG) 100000 0.03 (-0.03)         After Earth (1THAE) 683 98.15 (+0.22)         Halo (HALO) 100000 11.58 (+7.14)         The Golden Years Fund (AARP) 10000 20.45 (+0.45)         Charlize Theron (CTHER) 1000 52.10 (+0.26)         The European Fund (EURO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         After Earth H$45 Put (1THAE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 50 138.43 (-16.80)         Iron Man 3 (IRNM3) 10000 398.97 (-3.28)         The Salvation (SALVT) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         The European Fund (EURO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Epic (EPIC) 100000 82.35 (-1.55)