ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks of the new, mid-season network series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}

Posted by: elchan (a.k.a elchan2012) on Jul 01, 11:14 in response to dioneta's post You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and...

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Second Best Exotic Marigold (BEMH2) 50000 25.69 (+1.23)         Victoria Justice (VJUST) 20000 2.10 (+0.11)         Captain Underpants (CUNDP) 1000 26.27 (+2.69)         Unfinished Business - Opening We (BSTRP.OW) 100000 12.89 (-0.31)         If You Don't, I Will (IYDIW) 9000 0.01 (-0.03)         Bridge of Spies (CLDWR) 100000 70.94 (+0.80)         The Second Best Exotic Marigold (BEMH2) 50000 25.69 (+1.23)         Mr. Holmes (ASLTM) 1 7.00 (+2.54)         The Second Best Exotic Marigold (BEMH2) 50000 25.69 (+1.23)         Cinderella H$65 Call (CINDE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Merchants of Doubt (MODBT) 100000 0.10 (-0.05)         Run All Night H$15 Put (ALNIT.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Independence Day 2 (IDAY2) 100000 103.11 (+4.17)         Selfless (SLFLS) 100000 22.36 (+1.80)         The Road Within (TRDWN) 1 2.01 (-0.04)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 1 5.57 (+2.93)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 100000 5.57 (+2.93)         The Spectacular Spider-Man (SPID6) 20711 90.28 (+1.34)         Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justi (SUPE2) 50 298.12 (-0.01)         Selfless (SLFLS) 100000 22.36 (+1.80)         Selfless (SLFLS) 100000 22.36 (+1.80)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 50000 5.57 (+2.93)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 1 5.57 (+2.93)         X/Y (XY) 100000 0.11 (-0.01)         Mr. Holmes (ASLTM) 100000 7.00 (+2.54)         Mr. Holmes (ASLTM) 100000 7.00 (+2.54)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 50000 5.57 (+2.93)         Run All Night H$15 Call (ALNIT.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Africa (AFRCA) 9000 29.10 (+6.48)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 50000 5.57 (+2.93)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 50000 5.57 (+2.93)         7500 (FLT75) 100000 0.07 (-0.03)         Run All Night - Opening Weekend (ALNIT.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         The Stand (STAND) 1000 18.15 (+0.15)         Godzilla 2 (GODZ2) 40000 102.61 (-3.63)         Unfinished Business (BSTRP) 100000 29.66 (-1.09)         The Spectacular Spider-Man (SPID6) 70674 90.28 (+1.34)         Bridget Jones's Baby (BJON3) 100000 0.01 (-0.03)         Africa (AFRCA) 50000 29.10 (+6.48)         Bridget Jones's Baby (BJON3) 100000 0.01 (-0.03)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 100000 5.57 (+2.93)         Cinderella H$65 Put (CINDE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 100000 34.17 (+0.41)         The Second Best Exotic Marigold (BEMH2) 2500 25.69 (+1.23)         Two Men in Town (2MTWN) 100000 0.43 (-0.02)         Africa (AFRCA) 50000 29.10 (+6.48)         Chappie (CHAPI) 100000 63.96 (-3.09)         The Girl Who Played With Fire (TGRL2) 1000 12.52 (+0.46)         Africa (AFRCA) 50000 29.10 (+6.48)         The Road Within (TRDWN) 50000 2.01 (-0.04)