ANNOUNCEMENT: Trading has resumed. Thanks for your patience and sorry for the inconvenience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}

Posted by: elchan (a.k.a elchan2012) on Jul 01, 11:14 in response to dioneta's post You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and...

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
John Cena (JCENA) 20000 12.94 (+0.09)         As Seen on TV Fund: Season 5 (SEETV) 2649 41.67 (+0.47)         Aloha - Opening Weekend (ALOHA.OW) 1000 11.98 (-0.44)         Fast & Furious 8 (FAST8) 1 196.58 (+1.12)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 1 174.98 (+0.77)         Stellan Skarsgard (SSKAR) 20000 87.84 (-2.94)         Linda Cardellini (LCARD) 4999 44.84 (-5.47)         Tumbledown (TMBLD) 100000 1.49 (+1.41)         Ben Kingsley (BKING) 20000 54.75 (-0.30)         Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 20000 100.16 (-5.04)         Jonny Quest (JQUES) 1964 10.09 (-0.66)         It (IT1) 90 21.34 (+3.93)         Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 20000 105.32 (-2.58)         It (IT1) 80 21.34 (+3.93)         Michael Fassbender (MFASS) 20000 68.80 (0.00)         Stellan Skarsgard (SSKAR) 20000 87.84 (-2.94)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 100000 30.27 (+5.27)         San Andreas (SANDR) 35158 106.74 (+6.74)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 75000 30.27 (+5.27)         Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 20000 59.95 (-0.54)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Tink (TINK) 75000 19.98 (+2.32)         Slow West (SLOWS) 100000 0.22 (+0.05)         Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 20000 105.32 (-2.58)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 20000 192.49 (-0.58)         Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 1 100.16 (-5.04)         Microbe et Gasoil (MCGAS) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 20000 61.65 (+0.85)         Idris Elba (IELBA) 20000 103.62 (-1.95)         Avengers: Infinity War Part I (AVNG3) 1 399.44 (+1.45)         Jonny Quest (JQUES) 14761 10.09 (-0.66)         Black Hole (BLKHO) 100000 0.05 (+0.04)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 89.49 (-48.24)         Grandma (GRNMA) 100000 1.65 (+0.03)         Tomorrowland (1952) 100000 89.64 (-4.16)         Jon Hamm (JHAMM) 20000 73.24 (+0.40)         Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 5000 100.16 (-5.04)         San Andreas (SANDR) 25000 106.74 (+6.74)         Avengers: Age of Ultron $450M Bl (AVNG2.BW) 1 9.65 (-0.18)         Chocolate City (CHOCT) 100000 0.26 (-0.74)         Tink (TINK) 100000 19.98 (+2.32)         Tumbledown (TMBLD) 100000 1.49 (+1.41)         Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 20000 24.26 (+0.32)         Chocolate City (CHOCT) 20000 0.26 (-0.74)         Andy Serkis (ASERK) 5000 154.60 (-2.62)         Independence Day 2 (IDAY2) 1 122.49 (+1.98)         Jean Dujardin (JDUJA) 20000 45.66 (-0.03)         Avengers: Infinity War Part I (AVNG3) 3 399.44 (+1.45)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 50000 30.27 (+5.27)