ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is working now.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}

Posted by: elchan (a.k.a elchan2012) on Jul 01, 11:14 in response to dioneta's post You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and...

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Nightcrawler (NTCRW) 100000 31.69 (+2.53)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Nightcrawler - Opening Weekend (NTCRW.OW) 100000 12.10 (+0.48)         Nightcrawler (NTCRW) 100000 31.69 (+2.53)         Interstellar H$60 Call (NTSTL.CA) 20000 3.36 (+0.16)         Robert De Niro (RDENI) 20000 26.38 (+0.24)         Teri Polo (TPOLO) 19999 50.93 (-0.13)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Two Days, One Night (2D1NT) 100000 0.13 (0.00)         Rory Culkin (RCULK) 19999 1.84 (-0.03)         Heather Graham (HGRAH) 100 18.41 (0.00)         Brooklyn Bridge (BKBRD) 99999 8.54 (+0.98)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.65 (+1.56)         Nightcrawler H$10 Call (NTCRW.CA) 20000 3.26 (-0.04)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 1 18.69 (-0.60)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 112.19 (-0.85)         $40,000 Man (40MAN) 1584 0.06 (-0.01)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Before I Go To Sleep (BIGTS) 100000 7.69 (-0.34)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Our Brand is Crisis (OBCRS) 9633 31.34 (+6.72)         Lee Pace (LPACE) 20000 231.80 (-0.50)         B.O.O: Bureau of Otherworldly Op (BOOU) 78867 57.85 (+0.03)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 50000 3.05 (-2.50)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 5000 21.10 (-3.90)         Nightcrawler - Opening Weekend (NTCRW.OW) 100000 12.10 (+0.48)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 1000 25.00 (0.00)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.65 (+1.56)         Ellen Burstyn (EBURS) 20000 14.31 (0.00)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 38751 3.05 (-2.50)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 9000 43.97 (+3.23)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.65 (+1.56)         Still Alice (STLAL) 8954 4.81 (-0.18)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Brooklyn Bridge (BKBRD) 90000 8.54 (+0.98)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Captain America: Civil War (CAPA3) 15632 233.90 (+0.17)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 40000 33.38 (+3.58)         Comet (COMET) 45000 1.65 (-0.35)         Tomorrowland (1952) 12563 141.22 (-0.30)         In the Heart of the Sea (HRTSE) 195 40.81 (0.00)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 30000 34.70 (+4.15)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 1 25.00 (0.00)         Goodbye to All That (GBTAT) 45000 1.66 (-0.34)         Before I Disappear (BIDSP) 45000 1.74 (-0.26)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 10000 21.10 (-3.90)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 99999 3.05 (-2.50)