ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks for this season's new network TV series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Three Generations (3GENS) 100000 5.67 (-0.33)         The Theory of Everything (TOEVT) 100000 12.70 (+0.24)         Foxcatcher (FOXCT) 100000 13.61 (+0.40)         Unfinished Business (BSTRP) 100000 31.27 (+0.64)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 100000 25.87 (+0.87)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 99700 22.68 (-0.85)         The Stand (STAND) 15000 30.19 (+0.51)         Predestination (PDSTN) 100000 4.63 (-0.14)         Moana (MOANA) 25000 69.99 (+0.28)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 84766 25.87 (+0.87)         Hologram for the King (HGFTK) 100000 6.98 (+0.27)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 25000 50.56 (+0.71)         The Trap (TTRAP) 100000 20.27 (+0.78)         In the Garden of Beasts (ITGOB) 100000 5.46 (+0.27)         Man Up (MANUP) 100000 3.63 (+0.35)         The Snowden Files (SNWDN) 40000 26.36 (+0.85)         Foxcatcher (FOXCT) 100000 13.61 (+0.40)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 75000 33.20 (+1.37)         Unfinished Business (BSTRP) 100000 31.27 (+0.64)         The Yellow Birds (YELOB) 100000 7.92 (+0.46)         The Yellow Birds (YELOB) 100000 7.92 (+0.46)         Paranormal Activity: The Ghost D (PNAC5) 100000 23.66 (+0.61)         Three Generations (3GENS) 100000 5.67 (-0.33)         A Perfect Day (APDAY) 100000 6.07 (+0.56)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 100000 25.87 (+0.87)         Man Up (MANUP) 100000 3.63 (+0.35)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 100000 25.87 (+0.87)         The Pyramid - Opening Weekend (PYRMD.OW) 100000 2.39 (-0.12)         Three Generations (3GENS) 100000 5.67 (-0.33)         The Pyramid - Opening Weekend (PYRMD.OW) 25000 2.39 (-0.12)         The Trap (TTRAP) 100000 20.27 (+0.78)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 100000 25.87 (+0.87)         The Snowden Files (SNWDN) 100000 26.36 (+0.85)         Strange Magic (STMGC) 100000 45.48 (-0.52)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 100000 33.20 (+1.37)         Predestination (PDSTN) 30000 4.63 (-0.14)         Strange Magic (STMGC) 100000 45.48 (-0.52)         While We're Young (WWERY) 100000 2.71 (-0.08)         Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 100000 93.27 (+1.29)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 100000 85.14 (+0.62)         A Perfect Day (APDAY) 100000 6.07 (+0.56)         Foxcatcher (FOXCT) 40000 13.61 (+0.40)         Trolls (TROLL) 50000 28.14 (+0.10)         Manson Girls (MANSG) 100000 0.93 (+0.19)         Ben-Hur (BNHUR) 100000 43.92 (+0.82)         Ben-Hur (BNHUR) 15000 43.92 (+0.82)         Manson Girls (MANSG) 100000 0.93 (+0.19)         The Trap (TTRAP) 100000 20.27 (+0.78)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 10182 85.14 (+0.62)         Ben-Hur (BNHUR) 15000 43.92 (+0.82)