ANNOUNCEMENT: We're currently implementing a solution for the login issue. Thank you for your patience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 100000 11.62 (-0.94)         Zooey Deschanel (ZDESC) 20000 22.55 (+0.08)         The Gone World (GONEW) 100000 25.42 (-0.17)         Lady Bird (LADYB) 15000 9.16 (+2.91)         Jacob Latimore (JLATI) 20000 60.38 (-0.13)         Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 20000 61.98 (-0.13)         Office Christmas Party (OFCPT) 1111 79.79 (0.00)         Chris Messina (CMESS) 20000 4.85 (+0.08)         Into the Inferno (NTNFR) 100 0.22 (+0.01)         Sweet Virginia (SWTVA) 100000 3.46 (-0.05)         Kristin Scott Thomas (KSTHO) 20000 3.07 (+0.04)         Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculi (PRGRN) 100000 69.68 (+2.03)         Closet Monster (CLOST) 100000 0.63 (+0.02)         Catfight (CATFT) 93 0.93 (+0.03)         Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculi (PRGRN.CA) 4022 3.05 (+0.13)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 12000 37.87 (-0.23)         Kristin Scott Thomas (KSTHO) 20000 3.07 (+0.04)         Widows (WIDOW) 100000 12.40 (+0.36)         Widows (WIDOW) 100000 12.40 (+0.36)         The Sleeping Shepherd (SLPSH) 95 1.04 (-0.03)         A Star is Born (ASTAR) 4500 21.21 (+0.06)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 900 167.89 (-0.37)         Bad Santa 2 (BSNT2) 2222 37.06 (+0.10)         Where in the World is Carmen San (WWCSD) 96 1.02 (+0.01)         Lady Bird (LADYB) 95000 9.16 (+2.91)         Allied (ALLID) 1000 63.95 (0.00)         Lady Bird (LADYB) 100000 9.16 (+2.91)         The Lost Symbol (LSYMB) 89 1.01 (+0.04)         The Birth of a Nation H$10 Put (TBOAN.PU) 20000 2.16 (+0.16)         The Birth of a Nation - Opening (TBOAN.OW) 2000 10.41 (+0.41)         The Birth of a Nation H$10 Call (TBOAN.CA) 20000 2.30 (+0.30)         Warner Bros. Studio Fund (WBROX) 10000 10.92 (0.00)         Middle School: The Worst Years o (MIDSC.PU) 20000 2.31 (+0.31)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 10000 10.35 (-0.14)         Middle School: The Worst Years o (MIDSC.OW) 2000 9.13 (-0.87)         Euphoria (EUPHO) 1000 3.73 (-0.27)         Middle School: The Worst Years o (MIDSC.CA) 20000 1.94 (-0.06)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 10000 9.74 (0.00)         Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 5 1.00 (0.00)         Paramount Studio Fund (PARAX) 10000 11.71 (-0.11)         The Girl on the Train H$30 Put (GRLOT.PU) 20000 2.14 (+0.14)         George Clooney (GCLOO) 500 50.42 (+0.68)         Lionsgate Studio Fund (LGFX) 10000 10.46 (+0.35)         Moana (MOANA) 1000 164.77 (-0.09)         Fox Studio Fund (FOXX) 10000 10.01 (-0.14)         The Girl on the Train H$30 Put (GRLOT.PU) 20000 2.14 (+0.14)         Fences (FENCE) 1 37.81 (+0.17)         Disney Studio Fund (DISNX) 10000 9.57 (-0.02)         The Girl on the Train - Opening (GRLOT.OW) 2000 31.20 (+1.20)         Keep Watching aka Home Invasion (HMINV) 1 8.24 (-1.45)