HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Maleficent 2 (MALF2) 5500 89.80 (-0.37)         Russell Crowe (RCROW) 20000 50.20 (-0.26)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 100000 56.53 (-3.09)         Maleficent 2 (MALF2) 5550 89.80 (-0.37)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 264 67.84 (+0.16)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 100000 56.53 (-3.09)         Cruella (CRULA) 9000 53.46 (-0.47)         Sing Street (SNGST) 99666 3.17 (+0.03)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 100000 56.53 (-3.09)         Cruella (CRULA) 9500 53.46 (-0.47)         The Sisters Brothers (TSBRO) 100000 10.54 (-0.99)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 1000 56.53 (-3.09)         Captain America: Civil War (CAPA3) 1 406.68 (-0.60)         Ghost Team (GHSTM) 17497 3.61 (+1.61)         Dark Horse (DHORS) 99003 0.24 (-0.04)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 10000 56.53 (-3.09)         Sean Penn (SPENN) 20000 34.67 (0.00)         The Darkness (6MRDR) 58 11.18 (-0.02)         24 Hours To Live (24HTL) 15000 15.63 (+2.67)         The Wild Life aka Robinson Cruso (CRUSO) 15000 23.70 (+1.45)         X-Men: Apocalypse - Opening Week (XMEN6.OW) 20000 93.13 (+0.46)         Alice Through the Looking Glass (ALCN2) 100000 128.94 (-1.42)         Alice Through the Looking Glass (ALCN2) 100000 128.94 (-1.42)         Sam Worthington (SWORT) 10000 23.86 (+0.03)         Alice Through the Looking Glass (ALCN2) 100000 128.94 (-1.42)         Richard Roxburgh (RROXB) 10000 37.02 (+0.03)         Green Room (GRNRM) 100000 3.26 (-0.06)         Mel Gibson (MGIBS) 12000 32.49 (-0.05)         Gypsy (GYPSY) 100000 6.00 (+0.14)         Ghost Team (GHSTM) 100000 3.61 (+1.61)         High-Rise (HIRIS) 100000 0.28 (0.00)         Ghost Team (GHSTM) 100000 3.61 (+1.61)         High-Rise (HIRIS) 99007 0.28 (0.00)         Rock that Body aka Move that Bod (THBDY) 25000 26.19 (+1.19)         Gypsy (GYPSY) 100000 6.00 (+0.14)         Halloween Returns (HALW3) 100000 3.97 (+1.71)         Ghost Team (GHSTM) 25000 3.61 (+1.61)         The Wild Life aka Robinson Cruso (CRUSO) 100000 23.70 (+1.45)         High-Rise (HIRIS) 100000 0.28 (0.00)         Hillsong - Let Hope Rise (HSLHR) 15000 8.18 (+1.07)         The Wall (TWALL) 1000 16.52 (+0.02)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 25000 56.53 (-3.09)         24 Hours To Live (24HTL) 10000 15.63 (+2.67)         X-Men: Apocalypse H$90 Call Fri- (XMEN6.CA) 20000 3.99 (+0.11)         Halloween Returns (HALW3) 20000 3.97 (+1.71)         Ghost Team (GHSTM) 100000 3.61 (+1.61)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 10000 56.53 (-3.09)         I Am Wrath (IMWRA) 99006 0.01 (0.00)         Last Days in the Desert (LDITD) 99005 0.17 (-0.01)         Hillsong - Let Hope Rise (HSLHR) 100000 8.18 (+1.07)