HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Me Him Her (MHHER) 202 0.14 (0.00)         The Darkness (6MRDR) 100000 16.03 (+0.34)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 100000 7.10 (+0.32)         The Darkness (6MRDR) 100000 16.03 (+0.34)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 100000 7.10 (+0.32)         Knight of Cups (KNCUP) 99 0.58 (0.00)         Personal Shopper (PSHOP) 100000 3.59 (+0.25)         The Neon Demon (NEOND) 100000 4.14 (+0.17)         Personal Shopper (PSHOP) 100000 3.59 (+0.25)         Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: (CTHD2) 501 0.09 (-0.02)         Christopher Walken (CWALK) 20000 29.86 (+0.40)         The Neon Demon (NEOND) 100000 4.14 (+0.17)         Goodbye Christopher Robin (GBCR) 25000 13.84 (-1.16)         Ghostbusters (GHST3) 25000 87.63 (+3.83)         Blood Meridian (BMERD) 1276 1.24 (-0.05)         Star Wars: Han Solo Anthology (SWAR2) 1000 328.02 (-0.92)         Kursk (KURSK) 100000 8.56 (+1.32)         Shad Moss (BWOW) 17026 33.07 (+0.06)         All Summer Long - A Beach Boys M (BECHB) 54 0.34 (-0.01)         Back in the Day (BITDA) 100000 1.45 (+0.10)         Fathers and Daughters (FTNDT) 1479 0.46 (-0.02)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.CA) 10000 8.04 (+0.19)         Bill Murray (BMURR) 20000 65.93 (+0.28)         Blood Meridian (BMERD) 100000 1.24 (-0.05)         Blood Meridian (BMERD) 100000 1.24 (-0.05)         Phantom Boy (PHTMB) 100000 3.05 (+1.05)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.CA) 2963 8.04 (+0.19)         Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 59 167.96 (0.00)         S.C.O.O.B. aka Scooby-Doo (SCOBY) 5000 34.95 (-0.02)         X-Men: Apocalypse (XMEN6) 4000 222.86 (+0.36)         Alden Ehrenreich (AEHRE) 20000 20.94 (+0.84)         Alden Ehrenreich (AEHRE) 20000 20.94 (+0.84)         The Eagle Huntress (TEGLH) 580 3.08 (+0.69)         Goodbye Christopher Robin (GBCR) 5000 13.84 (-1.16)         Phantom Boy (PHTMB) 100000 3.05 (+1.05)         Phantom Boy (PHTMB) 100000 3.05 (+1.05)         Vanessa Hudgens (VHUDG) 10000 27.24 (-0.12)         The Other Side of the Door (OSOTD) 100000 2.85 (-0.04)         A Foreigner (AFRGN) 100000 9.10 (-0.02)         Intelligent Life (INTLF) 5000 26.43 (-0.98)         The Bounce Back (TBNCB) 100000 1.74 (+0.03)         Puerto Ricans in Paris (PRINP) 100000 2.88 (+0.88)         Geostorm (GEOST) 100000 17.75 (+0.05)         Genius (GENUS) 100000 1.83 (+0.03)         The Circle (CIRCL) 5000 13.65 (-0.01)         Puerto Ricans in Paris (PRINP) 100000 2.88 (+0.88)         Blood Meridian (BMERD) 9000 1.24 (-0.05)         Based on a True Story Fund (TRUE) 10000 61.92 (0.00)         Major Matt Mason (MASON) 2000 0.33 (-0.01)         Console Wars (CONSW) 42 7.60 (-0.06)