HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Pitch Perfect 3 (PTCP3) 50000 98.61 (-0.20)         The Raid (RAID1) 10000 0.04 (0.00)         God's Not Dead 2 (GODN2) 15000 26.86 (+3.44)         Cobra: The Space Pirate (COBRA) 10000 0.04 (-0.01)         Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: (CTHD2) 100000 2.35 (-0.02)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 25000 256.11 (-0.76)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 2 46.13 (+0.18)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 999 305.10 (-1.00)         William Tell 3D (WTELL) 10000 0.03 (-0.06)         Deadpool (DEADP) 234 148.28 (-2.33)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 99999 127.18 (-0.38)         Deadpool H$60 Call Fri-Mon (DEADP.CA) 43 4.87 (+0.11)         Moana (MOANA) 4000 90.26 (-0.53)         Deadpool (DEADP) 234 148.28 (-2.33)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 4000 127.18 (-0.38)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 100000 147.42 (-0.62)         Viggo Mortensen (VMORT) 8000 5.09 (-0.06)         The Bounce Back (TBNCB) 100000 3.19 (-0.91)         Deadpool (DEADP) 500 148.28 (-2.33)         Christian Bale (CBALE) 800 99.08 (-0.39)         Catfight (CATFT) 100000 6.67 (+1.64)         Dungeons & Dragons (DNDGN) 100000 23.14 (-0.13)         The Machine (TMCHN) 50000 0.67 (-0.06)         Daddy's Home $125M Blockbuster W (DHOME.BW) 10189 13.25 (-0.02)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 50000 25.32 (+2.70)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 5.54 (+1.61)         The Machine (TMCHN) 50000 0.67 (-0.06)         Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead M (PIRT5) 10000 117.52 (-0.74)         The Machine (TMCHN) 50000 0.67 (-0.06)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 62645 12.38 (+1.21)         The Machine (TMCHN) 50000 0.67 (-0.06)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 100000 27.04 (+0.73)         Collateral Beauty (COLBT) 95000 28.09 (+0.28)         Dungeons & Dragons (DNDGN) 99997 23.14 (-0.13)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 486 28.48 (-0.64)         Deadpool (DEADP) 5000 148.28 (-2.33)         Deadpool H$60 Call Fri-Mon (DEADP.CA) 43 4.87 (+0.11)         Benjamin Bratt (BBRAT) 20000 97.32 (0.00)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 3000 86.72 (-0.40)         Pitch Perfect 3 (PTCP3) 2000 98.61 (-0.20)         Central Intelligence (CINTL) 10000 52.93 (-0.26)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 5.54 (+1.61)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 100000 27.04 (+0.73)         478 (478) 50000 1.30 (-1.51)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 3000 178.05 (-0.25)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 5.54 (+1.61)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 5.54 (+1.61)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 2500 413.88 (-0.24)         478 (478) 50000 1.30 (-1.51)         Deadpool H$60 Call Fri-Mon (DEADP.CA) 44 4.87 (+0.11)