ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks for this season's new network TV series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 29.35 (+1.26)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 50000 359.98 (-1.50)         Their Finest Hour And A Half (TFHAH) 100000 5.19 (-0.81)         Dad's Army (DARMY) 100000 3.32 (-0.68)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 49999 359.98 (-1.50)         Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 29.35 (+1.26)         Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 29.35 (+1.26)         Penguins of Madagascar H$50 Put (PMADG.PU) 20000 2.23 (+0.02)         Horrible Bosses 2 H$40 Put Wed-S (HBOS2.PU) 20000 2.21 (+0.02)         Penguins of Madagascar H$50 Put (PMADG.PU) 20000 2.23 (+0.02)         Horrible Bosses 2 H$40 Put Wed-S (HBOS2.PU) 20000 2.21 (+0.02)         Man Up (MANUP) 100000 4.16 (+0.78)         Their Finest Hour And A Half (TFHAH) 40000 5.19 (-0.81)         The Guernsey Literary and Potato (GLPPS) 50000 0.02 (-0.02)         Little Boy (LTBOY) 100000 14.38 (-0.47)         The Stand (STAND) 100000 23.10 (+1.84)         Lion (LION) 25000 16.00 (+0.92)         By Way of Helena (BWOHL) 100000 8.36 (-0.53)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 100000 20.61 (-0.99)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 100000 25.69 (+2.69)         Get It While You Can (GIWYC) 100000 5.97 (-1.41)         Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 133 73.36 (0.00)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 45000 359.98 (-1.50)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 100000 8.42 (-0.06)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 10000 359.98 (-1.50)         Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: (CTHD2) 100000 4.51 (+0.06)         The Intern (INTRN) 100000 35.00 (+0.05)         Sinister 2 (SINI2) 100000 22.45 (+0.05)         Zoolander 2 (ZOOL2) 25000 30.86 (+1.43)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 25000 27.87 (+2.49)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 25000 25.69 (+2.69)         Horrible Bosses 2 H$40 Call Wed- (HBOS2.CA) 19999 2.93 (-0.03)         Joplin aka The Gospel According (GOSPJ) 30197 0.21 (+0.14)         Monsters: Dark Continent (MNST2) 100000 0.13 (-0.02)         Invisible Woman (INVSW) 99999 0.86 (-0.05)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 30000 100.13 (-0.21)         Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 20000 59.09 (+0.40)         Thomas Mann (THOMA) 20000 24.47 (+0.24)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 1 25.69 (+2.69)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 49999 340.47 (+1.96)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 100000 340.47 (+1.96)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 99100 359.98 (-1.50)         Clifford the Big Red Dog (CTBRD) 35000 28.14 (-0.08)         I Walk With the Dead (IWWTD) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 25000 340.47 (+1.96)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 100000 32.25 (+0.15)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 100000 32.25 (+0.15)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 50000 59.39 (-0.20)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 99999 75.90 (-0.20)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 100000 27.87 (+2.49)