HSX Forums: Movies Board






I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}

Posted by: Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53 in response to Antibody's post Official Adjusts

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie (ABFAB) 100000 5.10 (+1.97)         Austin Powers 4 (AUST4) 1000 3.09 (-0.02)         Pigeon Impossible (PIGEN) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         StarBonds Fund (BONDS) 1295 30.69 (+0.14)         Category 5 (CATG5) 100000 18.54 (+3.54)         Snowden (SNWDN) 500 17.09 (-0.47)         The Romance Fund (LOVE) 10000 67.58 (+0.13)         Beauty and the Beast (BTATB) 2500 194.03 (-0.09)         Category 5 (CATG5) 99000 18.54 (+3.54)         Category 5 (CATG5) 99997 18.54 (+3.54)         Pigeon Impossible (PIGEN) 1 40.00 (0.00)         Ghostbusters (GHST3) 100000 114.27 (-3.73)         Terminator 2 (TERM6) 100000 16.00 (+3.10)         Supercon (SPRCN) 100000 5.57 (+1.57)         Christine (CHRSN) 100000 1.47 (+0.06)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 1000 100.72 (-1.45)         Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie (ABFAB) 100000 5.10 (+1.97)         Blair Witch aka The Woods (WOODS) 100000 40.45 (+11.75)         The Dressmaker (DRSMK) 100000 1.24 (-0.05)         Supercon (SPRCN) 100000 5.57 (+1.57)         Amityville: The Awakening (AMTVL) 1000 12.43 (+1.25)         The Chronicles of Riddick: Furia (RIDC3) 10 13.77 (+0.04)         Pigeon Impossible (PIGEN) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Supercon (SPRCN) 100000 5.57 (+1.57)         Supercon (SPRCN) 1000 5.57 (+1.57)         Kong: Skull Island (SKULN) 100000 104.42 (+6.61)         Blair Witch aka The Woods (WOODS) 14773 40.45 (+11.75)         The Divergent Series: Ascendant (DVRG4) 81173 20.31 (+2.29)         A Tale of Love and Darkness (TLVND) 100000 0.39 (+0.02)         Terminator 2 (TERM6) 100000 16.00 (+3.10)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 100000 116.21 (+1.06)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (SW16) 10000 404.49 (-1.11)         Terminator 2 (TERM6) 100000 16.00 (+3.10)         Category 5 (CATG5) 100000 18.54 (+3.54)         The Legend of Tarzan $110M Block (TARZN.BW) 20000 6.12 (+0.58)         Bella Heathcote (BHEAT) 20000 29.01 (+0.72)         Hands of Stone (HNDST) 100000 16.85 (+0.21)         Bella Heathcote (BHEAT) 20000 29.01 (+0.72)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 100000 63.91 (-1.57)         The Chronicles of Riddick: Furia (RIDC3) 1 13.77 (+0.04)         The Divergent Series: Ascendant (DVRG4) 1000 20.31 (+2.29)         Independence Day: Resurgence $10 (IDAY2.BW) 20000 5.96 (+0.23)         The Chronicles of Riddick: Furia (RIDC3) 1 13.77 (+0.04)         Bad Moms - Opening Weekend (BMOMS.OW) 100000 26.16 (+0.39)         Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 100 100.71 (0.00)         Stargate (SGATE) 100 37.50 (+0.14)         Godzilla 2 (GODZ2) 5678 85.38 (+1.36)         Stargate (SGATE) 1 37.50 (+0.14)         MIB 23 aka 23 Jump Street - Men (21JS3) 1 47.25 (-0.01)         The Divergent Series: Ascendant (DVRG4) 99999 20.31 (+2.29)