SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Argo beat Taken 2?

Even with high expectations heading into last weekend, Taken 2 [TAKE2] outperformed the competition by a wide margin. As with most highly anticipated sequels, Taken 2 was likely front-loaded by fans and headed for a 50% drop to about $23 million, which may be enough to hold off the slew of newcomers at the box office.

Warner Bros.’ Argo [ARGO] arrives in theaters riding a crescendo of Oscar buzz. Ben Affleck [BAFFL] directs and stars in the film based on the true story of how the CIA rescued six Americans trapped by the 1979 Iranian Revolution. The R-rated thriller has earned overwhelmingly positive reviews, which will bring out the adult moviegoers. Opening in 3232 theaters, Argo could net $20 million.

Kevin James [KJAME] plays a teacher turned MMA fighter in the comedy Here Comes the Boom [HCTBM]. With a PG-rating and formulaic storyline, the film aims to capture a broad audience. However, Here Comes the Boom may be too family-friendly for fans of the fighting sport, which itself could turned off women. Competition for young male moviegoers is also fierce this weekend. Fighting in 3014 theaters, Here Comes the Boom may earn $15 million.

The R-rated horror film Sinister [SINIS] stars Ethan Hawke [EHAWK] as a family man who uncovers some disturbing home videos. The Summit release has generated positive buzz from early reviews, which should attract horror fans. Sinister could scare up $14 million from 2527 locations.

Colin Farrell [CFARR], Woody Harrelson [WHARR] and Christopher Walken [CWALK] star in the R-rated comedy Seven Psychopaths [7PSYC]. Since none of the cast are guaranteed draws, CBS Films has done an admirable marketing job with funny trailers. Opening in just 1512 theaters, Seven Psychopaths could ransom about $7.5 million.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Perks of Being a Wallflower [POBWF] expands nationwide to 762 theaters. Based on a popular young adult novel, the PG-13 rated drama will primarily draw on young women. Perks of Being a Wallflower could dance away with about $3.5 million.

The weekend’s last new release is the sequel based on the Ayn Rand novel, Atlas Shrugged, Part II [ATLA2].  The first film grossed a respectable $4.6 million in limited release. The sequel will open wide in 1012 theaters and could tally $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TAKE2, ARGO, BAFFL, KJAME, HCTBM, SINIS, EHAWK, CFARR, WHARR, CWALK, 7PSYC, POBWF, ATLA2

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 11, 2012 @ 04:15 PM 5861 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Halsey (HALSE) 25000 70.00 (0.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 20000 83.86 (+0.52)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 40000 18.38 (+1.70)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 15555 83.86 (+0.52)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 3.46 (-0.63)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 3.46 (-0.63)          Red One (REDON) 20000 90.03 (+3.51)          Red One (REDON) 20000 90.03 (+3.51)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 50000 20.10 (-0.57)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 55555 20.10 (-0.57)          Motor City (MTRCT) 20000 14.50 (+0.60)          Motor City (MTRCT) 20000 14.50 (+0.60)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Halsey (HALSE) 25000 70.00 (0.00)          You Gotta Believe (YGBLV) 150000 1.59 (+0.01)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 149995 18.38 (+1.70)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 149996 18.38 (+1.70)          Danny Huston (DHUST) 25000 14.86 (-3.13)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 4960 288.81 (+1.62)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 35140 20.10 (-0.57)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 87.38 (+1.34)          Vicky Krieps (VKRIE) 25000 9.98 (-0.05)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 87.38 (+1.34)          Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 25000 31.06 (-6.51)          Trap (TRAP) 4000 55.72 (-0.24)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 25000 57.63 (+0.33)          Stephan James (SJAME) 25000 13.33 (-4.16)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 6000 113.05 (-2.03)          Robert De Niro (RDENI) 25000 23.78 (-14.46)          Alfre Woodard (AWOOD) 25000 51.78 (-15.87)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 61.43 (+0.25)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR.OW) 100000 5.67 (-0.07)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 151.07 (-0.50)          Robert De Niro (RDENI) 25000 23.78 (-14.46)          Between the Temples (BTMPL) 150000 0.94 (-0.06)          Kathy Bates (KBATE) 25000 14.40 (-0.04)          Diane Keaton (DKEAT) 25000 4.76 (-0.59)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 25000 169.23 (+0.50)          Danny Huston (DHUST) 25000 14.86 (-3.13)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 149995 12.59 (+1.04)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 149996 12.59 (+1.04)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 87.38 (+1.34)          Americana aka National Anthem (NATHM) 149999 5.06 (-0.03)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 576 258.24 (+3.15)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 27031 72.35 (+1.36)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 2000 22.20 (-0.04)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 15000 162.47 (+0.75)          Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 50000 22.95 (0.00)