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Whisper Numbers: Can Argo beat Taken 2?

Even with high expectations heading into last weekend, Taken 2 [TAKE2] outperformed the competition by a wide margin. As with most highly anticipated sequels, Taken 2 was likely front-loaded by fans and headed for a 50% drop to about $23 million, which may be enough to hold off the slew of newcomers at the box office.

Warner Bros.’ Argo [ARGO] arrives in theaters riding a crescendo of Oscar buzz. Ben Affleck [BAFFL] directs and stars in the film based on the true story of how the CIA rescued six Americans trapped by the 1979 Iranian Revolution. The R-rated thriller has earned overwhelmingly positive reviews, which will bring out the adult moviegoers. Opening in 3232 theaters, Argo could net $20 million.

Kevin James [KJAME] plays a teacher turned MMA fighter in the comedy Here Comes the Boom [HCTBM]. With a PG-rating and formulaic storyline, the film aims to capture a broad audience. However, Here Comes the Boom may be too family-friendly for fans of the fighting sport, which itself could turned off women. Competition for young male moviegoers is also fierce this weekend. Fighting in 3014 theaters, Here Comes the Boom may earn $15 million.

The R-rated horror film Sinister [SINIS] stars Ethan Hawke [EHAWK] as a family man who uncovers some disturbing home videos. The Summit release has generated positive buzz from early reviews, which should attract horror fans. Sinister could scare up $14 million from 2527 locations.

Colin Farrell [CFARR], Woody Harrelson [WHARR] and Christopher Walken [CWALK] star in the R-rated comedy Seven Psychopaths [7PSYC]. Since none of the cast are guaranteed draws, CBS Films has done an admirable marketing job with funny trailers. Opening in just 1512 theaters, Seven Psychopaths could ransom about $7.5 million.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Perks of Being a Wallflower [POBWF] expands nationwide to 762 theaters. Based on a popular young adult novel, the PG-13 rated drama will primarily draw on young women. Perks of Being a Wallflower could dance away with about $3.5 million.

The weekend’s last new release is the sequel based on the Ayn Rand novel, Atlas Shrugged, Part II [ATLA2].  The first film grossed a respectable $4.6 million in limited release. The sequel will open wide in 1012 theaters and could tally $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TAKE2, ARGO, BAFFL, KJAME, HCTBM, SINIS, EHAWK, CFARR, WHARR, CWALK, 7PSYC, POBWF, ATLA2

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 11, 2012 @ 04:15 PM 6518 views

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Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 3.74 (+0.15)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.25 (+0.60)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.20 (-0.17)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 6.78 (-0.48)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 10533 6.21 (0.00)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.20 (-0.17)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 8.54 (-0.06)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 3.74 (+0.15)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1000 2.86 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 500 98.58 (-0.41)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 1000 24.35 (-0.06)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 10000 20.30 (+0.06)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 150000 112.20 (-0.05)          Henry Cavill (HCAVI) 5000 110.51 (+0.06)          Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 25000 50.82 (+0.16)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 30.86 (+0.25)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 5000 52.71 (+0.03)          Simon Pegg (SPEGG) 5000 141.77 (+0.06)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 5000 135.79 (+0.06)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 5000 99.98 (-0.27)          Felicity Jones (FJONE) 5000 12.19 (-0.08)          Kate Bosworth (KBOSW) 5000 5.69 (+0.01)          Gabriel Byrne (GBYRN) 5000 14.24 (+0.02)          Turpentine (TURPN) 10000 6.78 (-0.48)          The Smack (SMACK) 1 0.01 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 12500 6.85 (-0.04)          Being Mortal (BMRTL) 20000 0.10 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 15000 14.29 (+0.04)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 82500 7.74 (-0.02)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 20000 3.74 (+0.15)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 10000 13.93 (+0.06)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 16.08 (+0.92)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 60000 3.31 (+0.01)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 15000 1.42 (0.00)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 100000 52.32 (-0.10)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 50000 1.28 (0.00)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 50000 4.71 (+0.15)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.25 (+0.60)          Breeder (BREDR) 60000 1.86 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 20.65 (+0.83)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10000 2.27 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 20.65 (+0.83)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 50000 20.30 (+0.06)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.85 (-0.04)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 50000 3.74 (+0.15)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 6.78 (-0.48)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 6.78 (-0.48)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.85 (+0.19)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.85 (+0.19)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.20 (-0.17)