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Whisper Numbers: Spider-Man to electrify the box office

12 years after Spider-Man became the first film to break $100 million, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 [SPID5] returns to the same weekend with the same aspiration. However, much has changed in between not just for Spidey, but in the now crowded superhero genre. Sony rebooted the franchise with 2012’s The Amazing Spider-Man as Andrew Garfield [AGARF] and director Marc Webb [MWEBB] took over for Tobey Maguire and Sam Raimi. The film was generally well-received, but still grossed the least out of the four Spider-Man films. Now the PG-13 rated sequel has loaded up on villains. While Electro and Rhino are new to the film series, the Osborns' Green Goblin(s) have already been done in the first trilogy. Fans that felt another origin story was unnecessary will surely feel the same about another rehash for its sequel. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 opened internationally two weeks ago, and the reviews have been mixed. While trackings point to a $95 million plus opening, advance tickets sales do not indicate the same level of interest as Captain America: The Winter Soldier, which opened to $95 million just a month ago. Franchise fatigue may set for older fans, and the family audience may not pick up all the slack. Swinging into 4324 theaters, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 may capture $90 million.

The comedy The Other Woman [OTHRW] connected with its older female demographic, the quadrant least likely to be interested in the webcrawler. The Other Woman may decline 40% in its second weekend and collect $15 million.

With its distinct audience, Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] should be unaffected by the webslinger. The faith-based drama should hold on to third place at $9 million.

Fourth place figures to be a battle between Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] and Rio 2 [RIO2] with both around $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): SPID5, AGARF, MWEBB, OTHRW, HVNFR, CAPA2, RIO2

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 1, 2014 @ 02:08 PM 3939 views

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Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 129.75 (-3.54)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 127.07 (+0.26)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 52.47 (-0.52)          Young Washington (YWASH) 30000 30.25 (+0.89)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 20000 67.19 (+0.18)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 89000 5.91 (+0.03)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 81064 418.06 (+2.21)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100000 13.26 (-0.21)          Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.43 (+0.98)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 22 5.94 (0.00)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 17 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 21 6.69 (+0.11)          Control (COTRL) 14 6.01 (+0.45)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 62.18 (-1.29)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1 230.52 (-0.66)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 138.73 (-4.07)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.69 (+0.11)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 13.81 (+0.38)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.01 (+0.45)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.94 (0.00)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 55.04 (-1.16)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 12.24 (+0.49)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 25000 122.52 (+1.86)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 230.52 (-0.66)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 408.29 (+0.52)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 50000 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.89 (-1.77)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 109.79 (-0.61)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 109.79 (-0.61)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 10000 5.20 (-0.17)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.20 (-0.17)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 50000 243.48 (+0.29)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 23.73 (+1.35)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 53.87 (-1.17)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 53.87 (-1.17)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 10000 22.22 (-0.69)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.76 (+0.09)