SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Number: Ninja Turtles should neck out a victory

Three new films hit the multiplexes this week joined by three wide expansion of films already in limited releases. None are likely to dethrone Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles [TMNT1]. Even with a 55% dropoff in its second weekend, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles would still bank $30 million, which should be enough to hold off the newcomers.

Sylvester Stallone [SSTAL] has added more old stars to the action sequel The Expendables 3 [XPND3]. After a couple of R-rated outings, the third film has gone PG-13 rated in hopes of capturing a younger audience. However, an untimely leak of the finished film on the internet has threatened its box office potential, despite the best efforts of Lionsgate marketing. While the first film debuted at $34.8 million, the second dropped to $28.6 million and the trend is likely to continue. Attacking 3221 theaters, The Expendables 3 may blow up $23 million.

R-rated buddy comedies have performed well this year and Let’s Be Cops [LBCOP] hopes to be latest to succeed. Although the film lacks starpower, the premise is easy enough to explain and sell. The trailers have been funny, and Fox got the word of mouth going with a Wednesday opening that grossed an impressive $5.2 million. Serving 2936 theaters, Let’s Be Cops should be able to arrest $22 million from Friday through Sunday.

One of the original dystopian sci-fi novel for young adults, The Giver [GIVER] finally gets a PG-13 rated adaptation from The Weinstein Co.. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] takes the lead role as a boy who learns the truth about his perfect society. Jeff Bridges [JBRID] and Meryl Streep [MSTRE] star in supporting roles to attract moviegoers who read the 1993 novel when they were younger. Aside from The Hunger Games and Divergent, other YA sci-fi adaptations have mostly missed. The Giver could take in $18 million from 3003 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Magic in the Moonlight [MGCML] expands wide into 964 theaters. Woody Allen fans should contribute about $3 million.

After earning more than $10.5 million in 5 weeks, Boyhood [GROWN] ups its theater count to 711. With rave reviews and award buzz, Boyhood looks to grow another $2 million.

The romantic comedy What If [FWORD] also expands wide into 786 theaters and Daniel Radcliffe [DRADC] could attract $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TMNT1, SSTAL, XPND3, LBCOP, GIVER, BTHWA, JBRID, MSTRE, MGCML, GROWN, FWORD, DRADC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 14, 2014 @ 03:18 PM 2890 views

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Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 20.00 (-0.07)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 81554 10.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 100 307.18 (-1.07)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 5 307.18 (-1.07)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 107.45 (+5.58)          Eternity (ETERN) 15 10.89 (-0.08)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 2000 30.41 (+0.43)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 120 1.47 (-0.14)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 17.24 (+5.96)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 150000 9.96 (-2.19)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 100 360.25 (-1.67)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 5 360.25 (-1.67)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 25000 56.96 (+0.16)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 8480 59.00 (+1.92)          Jason Bateman (JBATE) 25000 67.80 (+1.00)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.67 (+2.67)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 31.43 (+0.12)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 34000 107.45 (+5.58)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 25000 80.77 (-0.25)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.87 (-0.13)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.87 (-0.13)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 22.07 (-2.13)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 73.39 (+0.50)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.67 (+2.67)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 25.39 (+0.39)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 25.39 (+0.39)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.77 (+0.77)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 79.78 (-3.56)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 5.59 (+3.67)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 5.59 (+3.67)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 79.78 (-3.56)          Chris Hemsworth (CHEMS) 1000 82.53 (+0.01)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 150000 9.96 (-2.19)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 150000 9.96 (-2.19)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.94 (-1.81)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.94 (-1.81)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 104000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 79.78 (-3.56)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 79.78 (-3.56)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 25.39 (+0.39)          GOAT (TGOAT) 50000 54.03 (+0.17)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.94 (-1.81)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 127000 16.94 (-1.81)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.94 (-1.81)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 150000 9.96 (-2.19)