SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Number: Ninja Turtles should neck out a victory

Three new films hit the multiplexes this week joined by three wide expansion of films already in limited releases. None are likely to dethrone Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles [TMNT1]. Even with a 55% dropoff in its second weekend, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles would still bank $30 million, which should be enough to hold off the newcomers.

Sylvester Stallone [SSTAL] has added more old stars to the action sequel The Expendables 3 [XPND3]. After a couple of R-rated outings, the third film has gone PG-13 rated in hopes of capturing a younger audience. However, an untimely leak of the finished film on the internet has threatened its box office potential, despite the best efforts of Lionsgate marketing. While the first film debuted at $34.8 million, the second dropped to $28.6 million and the trend is likely to continue. Attacking 3221 theaters, The Expendables 3 may blow up $23 million.

R-rated buddy comedies have performed well this year and Let’s Be Cops [LBCOP] hopes to be latest to succeed. Although the film lacks starpower, the premise is easy enough to explain and sell. The trailers have been funny, and Fox got the word of mouth going with a Wednesday opening that grossed an impressive $5.2 million. Serving 2936 theaters, Let’s Be Cops should be able to arrest $22 million from Friday through Sunday.

One of the original dystopian sci-fi novel for young adults, The Giver [GIVER] finally gets a PG-13 rated adaptation from The Weinstein Co.. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] takes the lead role as a boy who learns the truth about his perfect society. Jeff Bridges [JBRID] and Meryl Streep [MSTRE] star in supporting roles to attract moviegoers who read the 1993 novel when they were younger. Aside from The Hunger Games and Divergent, other YA sci-fi adaptations have mostly missed. The Giver could take in $18 million from 3003 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Magic in the Moonlight [MGCML] expands wide into 964 theaters. Woody Allen fans should contribute about $3 million.

After earning more than $10.5 million in 5 weeks, Boyhood [GROWN] ups its theater count to 711. With rave reviews and award buzz, Boyhood looks to grow another $2 million.

The romantic comedy What If [FWORD] also expands wide into 786 theaters and Daniel Radcliffe [DRADC] could attract $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TMNT1, SSTAL, XPND3, LBCOP, GIVER, BTHWA, JBRID, MSTRE, MGCML, GROWN, FWORD, DRADC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 14, 2014 @ 03:18 PM 2984 views

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Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 11 38.22 (+0.37)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 11 38.22 (+0.37)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 5 136.42 (-0.56)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 10000 103.17 (-0.64)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 15 23.48 (-0.24)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1 164.12 (-1.17)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 5000 23.60 (-0.05)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 29637 372.98 (+0.93)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.01 (+1.04)          Star Trek (TREK4) 10000 22.23 (-0.24)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 75.16 (-0.47)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.01 (+1.04)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 3000 35.80 (-0.03)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.95 (+0.47)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.95 (+0.47)          The Weight (THEWT) 75000 7.01 (+1.04)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 150.76 (-1.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 35000 16.67 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 100000 26.14 (-0.26)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 26.14 (-0.26)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 15.51 (-0.20)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 10153 372.98 (+0.93)          Ethan Hawke (EHAWK) 25000 15.74 (+0.20)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.01 (+1.04)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.59 (+0.02)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1500 52.42 (+0.34)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 100000 253.50 (+1.62)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 8.53 (-3.63)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 140000 372.98 (+0.93)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 133433 164.90 (+0.29)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 100000 243.64 (+0.89)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 100000 243.64 (+0.89)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 495.03 (-0.53)          Helldivers (HELDV) 64480 99.96 (+0.46)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 10000 372.98 (+0.93)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 50000 253.50 (+1.62)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 50000 243.64 (+0.89)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.70 (-0.13)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.94 (-0.19)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 72973 23.48 (-0.24)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.94 (-0.19)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 50000 100.41 (-2.74)