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Whisper Number: Ninja Turtles should neck out a victory

Three new films hit the multiplexes this week joined by three wide expansion of films already in limited releases. None are likely to dethrone Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles [TMNT1]. Even with a 55% dropoff in its second weekend, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles would still bank $30 million, which should be enough to hold off the newcomers.

Sylvester Stallone [SSTAL] has added more old stars to the action sequel The Expendables 3 [XPND3]. After a couple of R-rated outings, the third film has gone PG-13 rated in hopes of capturing a younger audience. However, an untimely leak of the finished film on the internet has threatened its box office potential, despite the best efforts of Lionsgate marketing. While the first film debuted at $34.8 million, the second dropped to $28.6 million and the trend is likely to continue. Attacking 3221 theaters, The Expendables 3 may blow up $23 million.

R-rated buddy comedies have performed well this year and Let’s Be Cops [LBCOP] hopes to be latest to succeed. Although the film lacks starpower, the premise is easy enough to explain and sell. The trailers have been funny, and Fox got the word of mouth going with a Wednesday opening that grossed an impressive $5.2 million. Serving 2936 theaters, Let’s Be Cops should be able to arrest $22 million from Friday through Sunday.

One of the original dystopian sci-fi novel for young adults, The Giver [GIVER] finally gets a PG-13 rated adaptation from The Weinstein Co.. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] takes the lead role as a boy who learns the truth about his perfect society. Jeff Bridges [JBRID] and Meryl Streep [MSTRE] star in supporting roles to attract moviegoers who read the 1993 novel when they were younger. Aside from The Hunger Games and Divergent, other YA sci-fi adaptations have mostly missed. The Giver could take in $18 million from 3003 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Magic in the Moonlight [MGCML] expands wide into 964 theaters. Woody Allen fans should contribute about $3 million.

After earning more than $10.5 million in 5 weeks, Boyhood [GROWN] ups its theater count to 711. With rave reviews and award buzz, Boyhood looks to grow another $2 million.

The romantic comedy What If [FWORD] also expands wide into 786 theaters and Daniel Radcliffe [DRADC] could attract $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TMNT1, SSTAL, XPND3, LBCOP, GIVER, BTHWA, JBRID, MSTRE, MGCML, GROWN, FWORD, DRADC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 14, 2014 @ 03:18 PM 3173 views

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Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.83 (+0.53)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.83 (+0.53)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 11111 2.36 (-0.04)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3000 32.16 (0.00)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 7 2.36 (-0.04)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.73 (+0.22)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 125000 13.22 (+0.63)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.73 (+0.22)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 44.93 (+0.14)          Dennis (DENIS) 150000 5.14 (+0.22)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 13.86 (+0.74)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 6659 14.77 (-0.85)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 777 13.86 (+0.74)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.82 (-0.29)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.19 (-0.03)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 767 47.46 (+0.77)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 100000 14.77 (-0.85)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 700 2.45 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 40 184.55 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 24.27 (+0.10)          Tony (TONY) 149999 17.36 (+0.11)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 68 32.16 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 89.26 (-0.42)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 89.26 (-0.42)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 65 50.77 (0.00)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 125 8.04 (0.00)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 2000 0.29 (0.00)          Bingbing Fan (FBING) 35 94.82 (0.00)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.85 (-0.08)          Sophie Thatcher (STHAT) 65 21.24 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1000 238.17 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 25 238.17 (0.00)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 4.60 (+0.29)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (UEFDD) 4 68.97 (+0.01)          Naughty (NAUTY) 11 34.86 (+0.30)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 4 38.59 (-0.10)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 99 14.77 (-0.85)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 14 8.49 (+0.10)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.11 (+0.03)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 30000 89.26 (-0.42)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 50000 89.26 (-0.42)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 20000 89.26 (-0.42)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 14 8.49 (+0.10)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 20000 18.67 (+0.01)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 5 14.99 (+0.48)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 10000 28.66 (-0.01)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 40 14.99 (+0.48)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 5000 3.12 (+0.05)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 3.12 (+0.05)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 10000 3.12 (+0.05)