SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Mockinjay soar to new heights?

The pre-Thanksgiving table has been set for the biggest opening weekend of the year. Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] returns to lead The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 [HGAM3], the third chapter in the sci-fi phenomenon. While the first two films centered on the titled life-or-death tournament, Mockingjay finds Katniss fully involved in a revolutionary war. Lionsgate has not showed much footage from the PG-13 rated film, confident that the sequel sells itself, or perhaps because Mockingjay was the least-liked of the book trilogy with its already thin material being stretched into two films. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire debuted a year ago with $158.1 million, the sixth best ever. While advance sales have been brisk, there’s been no press release announcing whether Mockingjay Part 1 is outpacing Catching Fire or even the first The Hunger Games, which opened to $152.5 million March 2012. Unlike its predecessors, Mockingjay Part 1 will not have the benefit of higher-priced IMAX screen. The reviews have been the worst of the three films thus far. While reviews will not matter to die-hard fans, some adults may choose to wait out Part 1 of an obvious attempt to double-dip the fanbase. Taking aim in 4151 theaters, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 may hit $148 million.

Big Hero 6 [BHERO] did not hold as well as Wreck-It Ralph in its second weekend. With The Hunger Games taking away some of the teen audience, Big Hero 6 may settle for another $20 million.

Twenty years of nostalgia likely front-loaded Dumb and Dumber To [DUMB3], and the comedy sequel looks to drop more than 50% to around $17 million.

Holding on to its IMAX screens, Interstellar [NTSTL] could suck in about $17 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JLAWR, HGAM3, BHERO, DUMB3, NTSTL

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 20, 2014 @ 02:34 PM 1788 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


#ViolentNight is trading at a $11.4M Opening Weekend on #HSX. Should you Buy, Sell or Hold?…       Trailer for Bed Rest starring Melissa Barrera, premiering December 7 only on Tubi. #BedRest https://t.co/FWZ0UTtdhR       #Close will open in theaters on January 27th https://t.co/YpqJgg7MZW       #Plane will arrive two weeks earlier on January 13th https://t.co/nhnAU9bVyw       Trailer for Return to Seoul, in theaters on February 17th #ReturntoSeoul https://t.co/O1gVfTOeO8       First trailer for Cocaine Bear inspired by a true story #CocaineBear https://t.co/lzvpt6Ecj0       New trailer for The Super Mario Bros. Movie #SuperMarioBrosMovie https://t.co/6UaVzfwCAL       Opening This Week: #ViolentNight #SpoilerAlert #TheQuintessentialQuintuplets https://t.co/sEaN5s6L5V       #TheBlackening gets June 16th release date https://t.co/NLQnhEYLFC       First trailer for When You Finish Saving the World written and directed by Jesse Eisenberg https://t.co/3NpVnY3uMI      
Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 1 506.76 (-1.00)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSH) 150000 40.57 (-1.55)         Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 9000 506.76 (-1.00)         The Thicket (THCKT) 150000 0.02 (-0.02)         The Thicket (THCKT) 150000 0.02 (-0.02)         The Critic aka Kill the Light (KLTLT) 50000 2.22 (-0.02)         Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 80000 30.73 (-0.27)         Left Behind: Rise of the Antichr (LFTB2) 30000 4.20 (+0.06)         Shazam! Fury of the Gods (SHAZ2) 1000 154.33 (+0.56)         I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 90000 66.17 (+0.24)         Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 90000 17.67 (+0.57)         Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 1200 17.67 (+0.57)         I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 20000 66.17 (+0.24)         Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 5000 132.12 (+0.67)         Ghostbusters 5 (GHST5) 149999 75.26 (-0.44)         Cocaine Bear (COCAB) 3000 28.38 (+1.85)         Karate Kid (KKID2) 55000 72.15 (+0.09)         Suzume no Tojimari aka Untitled (SUZUM) 150000 5.82 (+0.48)         Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 122012 30.73 (-0.27)         Blue Beetle (BLUBT) 150000 80.45 (-0.93)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSH) 150000 40.57 (-1.55)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 10000 68.95 (-0.10)         Cocaine Bear (COCAB) 150000 28.38 (+1.85)         Cocaine Bear (COCAB) 104087 28.38 (+1.85)         M3GAN (M3GAN) 100000 44.06 (+0.30)         Twisters aka Twister 2 (TWIS2) 44509 67.72 (+0.01)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSH) 150000 40.57 (-1.55)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSH) 150000 40.57 (-1.55)         Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 30000 9.72 (-0.04)         Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 150000 17.67 (+0.57)         How Do You Live? (HDYL) 150000 6.48 (+0.65)         Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 150000 17.67 (+0.57)         How Do You Live? (HDYL) 150000 6.48 (+0.65)         Garfield (GRFLD) 10000 39.46 (+0.01)         Green Lantern Corps (GLAN2) 35000 4.65 (-0.04)         Ghostbusters 5 (GHST5) 20000 75.26 (-0.44)         The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 60000 1.61 (0.00)         Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 30000 24.03 (+0.01)         Fast X aka Fast & Furious 10 (FASTX) 30000 165.95 (-0.17)         Elio (ELIO) 15000 78.26 (+0.01)         Dumb Money (DUMBM) 30000 24.21 (+0.05)         ABC: Will Trent (WTRENT) 25000 9.89 (+0.08)         Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 30000 203.05 (-0.67)         Avatar: The Way of the Water - O (AVAT2.OW) 47051 160.79 (+0.79)         Avatar: The Way of the Water H$1 (AVAT2.CA) 25000 2.65 (+0.65)         The Dating Game (DATGM) 60000 20.21 (-0.10)         Black Adam $155M Blockbuster War (BADAM.BW) 25000 10.05 (+0.06)         Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 500 174.35 (+1.78)         Elio (ELIO) 4439 78.26 (+0.01)         Cocaine Bear (COCAB) 25000 28.38 (+1.85)