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Whisper Numbers: Angry Birds takes aim at Neighbors

This weekend’s box office stakes looks to be a close, three-horse race between the reigning champion Captain America: Civil War [CAPA3] and two fresh challengers. One of which, The Angry Birds Movie [ANGRB] appears most likely to break out and finish in first place. Based on the blockbuster mobile game, the PG-rated animated film has been heavily marketed by Sony and promoted on social media by its talents. The Angry Birds Movie is already a hit internationally and advance ticket sales points to the same domestically. Slinging into 3932 theaters, The Angry Birds Movie could knock down $42 million.

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising [NEIB2] hopes to duplicate the success of Neighbors, which surprised with $49.0 million two years ago. Universal is marketing the R-rated comedy sequel as Parenthood vs Sisterhood, which could turn off some of the young male fans who turned out for Neighbors and its focus on fraternity life. Recent comedy sequels have underperformed. As such, trackings and presales do not indicate the sequel will out-gross the original. Raging in 3384 locations, Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising could chug $40 million.

Despite better reviews, Captain America: Civil War dropped as severely as previous Marvel sequels. If the decay pattern continues, Captain America: Civil War would claim another $38 million.

Ryan Gosling [TGOSL] and Russell Crowe [RCROW] buddy up in the R-rated action comedy The Nice Guys [NICEG]. Like Sony with Money Monster last week, Warner Bros. premiered the film at Cannes to generate press and buzz, which have been overwhelmingly positive.  The Nice Guys could score $15 million from 2865 theaters.

After its better than expected debut, Money Monster [MONYM] faces direct competition from The Nice Guys. Money Monster could hold 55% for a sophomore session of $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CAPA3, ANGRB, NEIB2, RCROW, NICEG, MONYM

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 19, 2016 @ 03:35 PM 2429 views

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The Golden Years Fund (AARP) 20000 20.73 (-0.05)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 1750 41.04 (0.00)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 1750 41.04 (0.00)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 1000 364.67 (+0.76)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 1000 364.67 (+0.76)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 1441 303.61 (+0.25)          Metal Men (METAL) 5000 17.65 (+1.05)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 4000 66.14 (+1.20)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 256.34 (+1.25)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 256.34 (+1.25)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK.OW) 100000 3.84 (-0.05)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 1000 300.29 (-1.12)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 1000 300.29 (-1.12)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR.OW) 100000 5.68 (-0.06)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 1000 408.73 (-1.25)          MaXXXine - Opening Weekend (XTW3.OW) 100000 5.55 (+0.04)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 1000 408.73 (-1.25)          Despicable Me 4 H$80 Call (DESM4.CA) 25000 4.82 (+0.10)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 150000 43.47 (+0.10)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 8.35 (-0.21)          IF $100M Blockbuster Warrant (IMGNF.BW) 25000 9.20 (+0.10)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 8.35 (-0.21)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 8.35 (-0.21)          Motor City (MTRCT) 75000 15.48 (+1.58)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 8.35 (-0.21)          Motor City (MTRCT) 139998 15.48 (+1.58)          Becoming Led Zepplin (BLZEP) 30000 4.66 (+0.59)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 70000 48.60 (-0.17)          Becoming Led Zepplin (BLZEP) 149999 4.66 (+0.59)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 30000 17.31 (+0.42)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 15.48 (+1.58)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 29999 17.31 (+0.42)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 150000 114.05 (-1.03)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 150000 114.05 (-1.03)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 150000 7.41 (-0.13)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 150000 5.00 (-0.01)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 150000 7.41 (-0.13)          The Roses (TROSE) 45000 18.74 (-0.05)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 378 157.99 (-0.22)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 50000 85.86 (-0.08)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 28.63 (-1.37)          GOAT (TGOAT) 25000 28.63 (-1.37)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 150000 5.00 (-0.01)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 10000 43.47 (+0.10)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 16000 43.47 (+0.10)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 15.48 (+1.58)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 15.48 (+1.58)          Heretic (HERTC) 39993 19.81 (-0.36)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 39993 19.95 (-0.72)          IF $100M Blockbuster Warrant (IMGNF.BW) 25000 9.20 (+0.10)