SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to prosper

Paramount has trailed the other Hollywood studios at the 2016 box office, but hopes to reverse its fortunes with Star Trek Beyond [TREK3], the third film in the rebooted timeline of the 50-year-old Sci-Fi series. Although 2013’s Star Trek Into Darkness opened to $70.2 million, the sequel was lambasted by most trek fans. Justin Lin [JLIN] took over as director and steered Star Trek back to its original mission of exploring deep space. Beyond has earned positive reviews, but audience are likely to be cautious after Into Darkness. Anton Yelchin’s untimely death and Sulu’s reveal as gay have kept the PG-13 rated film in the buzz of conversation. Warping into 3928 theaters, Star Trek Beyond could beam home $56 million.

Fox hopes families continue to flock to animated films with Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5], the fifth in their PG-rated series. However, it’s been 4 years since the previous installment Continental Drift opened to $46.6 million and closed with a franchise-low total of $161 million. Sending Scrat to space on an UFO is unlikely to bring back a portion of its audience. Ice Age: Collision Course may hit $36 million from 3992 locations.

Even with the added competition, The Secret Life of Pets [PETS] should hold strong with about $28 million for its third weekend.

After a solid debut and a Cinemascore of B+, Ghostbusters [GHST3] should enjoy good word of mouth.  Ghostbusters is likely to lose 50% from its debut to $23 million.

New Line follows up The Conjuring 2 with the James Wan-produced Lights Out [LITSO]. Teresa Palmer [TPALM] stars in the PG-13 rated horror based on a hit viral video. Lights Out has an easy-to-sell premise and its trailers are genuinely creepy. Reviews are also glowing, which is rare for a horror film. Showing in 2818 theaters, Lights Out could illuminate $18 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TREK3, JLIN, ICEA5, PETS, GHST3, LITSO, TPALM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Wednesday, July 20, 2016 @ 04:56 PM 1844 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


#CryMacho toughen up an estimated $1.6M on Friday https://t.co/mp6oyNzwQe       #Copshop locked up $950K on Friday including Thursday previews https://t.co/FRtF8lYrf0       TVStocks for new #CBS series #CSIVegas and #Ghosts are now trading on #HSX https://t.co/MKSk65bhJa       Teaser for Paranormal Activity: Next of Kin, on Paramount+ October 29 https://t.co/qrqVL0a1zP       Sabrina Wu joins Untitled Adele Lim Comedy       #Violet starring Olivia Munn gets November 5th release fate https://t.co/rllU4wk3t0       Red Notice will hit theaters November 5th, one week before Netflix #RedNotice https://t.co/iY9zTw5cKO       The Rescue will open in theaters on October 8th #NatGeo #TheRescue https://t.co/N1g9ABItcu       New trailer for A Boy Called Christmas, on Netflix November 21st #ABoyCalledChristmas https://t.co/mZlWGf63DR       Hala Finley joins Hypnotic opposite Ben Affleck      
Cha Cha Real Smooth (CCRS) 150000 5.60 (+0.72)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 100 276.00 (+0.35)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 100 31.02 (+1.02)         The Matrix Resurrections (MTRX4) 500 118.02 (-0.11)         Suddenly (SUDEN) 150000 15.82 (-0.10)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 35000 31.02 (+1.02)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 150000 31.02 (+1.02)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 150000 31.02 (+1.02)         Cry Macho (CRYMC) 150000 14.94 (-0.07)         The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 669 57.15 (-0.01)         Sundown (SNDWN) 150000 1.59 (-0.31)         The British Fund (BRITS) 858 65.14 (-0.02)         Raja Gosnell (RGOSN) 95 76.74 (0.00)         Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 213 108.32 (0.00)         Frances McDormand (FMCDO) 23 41.80 (-0.33)         About My Father (ABMFT) 150000 14.00 (-0.08)         Blue Bayou (BLUBU) 1 3.50 (+0.84)         Blue Bayou (BLUBU) 30000 3.50 (+0.84)         Cha Cha Real Smooth (CCRS) 1 5.60 (+0.72)         Cha Cha Real Smooth (CCRS) 30000 5.60 (+0.72)         Becoming Cousteau (BCOUS) 30000 1.64 (-0.22)         Cha Cha Real Smooth (CCRS) 30000 5.60 (+0.72)         Blue Bayou (BLUBU) 30000 3.50 (+0.84)         George Foreman biopic (GFORE) 1200 23.38 (+0.65)         George Foreman biopic (GFORE) 4000 23.38 (+0.65)         Prisoner's Daughter (PRSND) 30000 6.11 (-0.58)         Becoming Cousteau (BCOUS) 30000 1.64 (-0.22)         Sundown (SNDWN) 30000 1.59 (-0.31)         Prisoner's Daughter (PRSND) 125000 6.11 (-0.58)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 100000 31.02 (+1.02)         Blue Bayou (BLUBU) 150000 3.50 (+0.84)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 1 189.61 (-0.22)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 1 189.61 (-0.22)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 150000 31.02 (+1.02)         Bad Luck Banging or Loony Porn (BLBLP) 150000 0.75 (+0.01)         Prisoner's Daughter (PRSND) 150000 6.11 (-0.58)         Sundown (SNDWN) 150000 1.59 (-0.31)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 50000 31.02 (+1.02)         The Fixer (FIXER) 400 13.50 (+0.29)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 150000 31.02 (+1.02)         Blue Bayou (BLUBU) 150000 3.50 (+0.84)         House Party (HPRTY) 150000 5.84 (+0.03)         Becoming Cousteau (BCOUS) 150000 1.64 (-0.22)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 5631 31.02 (+1.02)         Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 3805 46.39 (-0.13)         Sundown (SNDWN) 30000 1.59 (-0.31)         Prisoner's Daughter (PRSND) 30000 6.11 (-0.58)         Cha Cha Real Smooth (CCRS) 30000 5.60 (+0.72)         Blue Bayou (BLUBU) 30000 3.50 (+0.84)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSP) 50000 31.02 (+1.02)