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Whisper Numbers: Avatar goes for eight in a row.

Two new contenders will enter the multiplex against the all-time box office champion Avatar [HWAVA].  However, neither looks to have the buzz to prevail over the nine times Oscar-nominated sci-fi epic.  Even with the Super Bowl on Sunday, Avatar probably won’t decline more than 20% to around $25 million, which should be enough to win for the eighth consecutive weekend.

The romance Dear John [DEARJ] has the best chance to dethrone Avatar this week.  The tearjerker is aimed at young women, the demographic most uninterested in football’s biggest weekend.  Rising stars Amanada Seyfried [ASEYF] and Channing Tatum [CTATU] play a couple in a long-distance relationship based on the novel by Nicholas Sparks.  With a built-in fanbase, the PG-13 rated drama could gain upwards of $18 million from 2969 locations. 

Last Super Bowl weekend, director Pierre Morel [PMORE] scored a breakout hit with Taken. Lionsgate hopes to replicate that success with his new film From Paris with Love [FPWLV]. However, the marketing has yet to find an unique hook other than the usual action set pieces and the starpower of John Travolta [JTRAV] and Jonathan Rhys Meyers [JRMEY]. Opening in 2722 theaters, From Paris with Love could take home $15 million.

The R-rated thriller Edge of Darkness [EDRKN] should finish fourth with around $9 million for its sophomore frame, while the romantic comedy When in Rome [WROME] gets a second date of about $7 million.

Crazy Heart [CRZHT] expands into 819 theaters for a wide release on the strength of its double nominations for stars Jeff Bridges [JBRID] and Maggie Gyllenhaal [MGYLL].   The Fox Searchlight drama could tug out $5 million from older moviegoers. 

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): HWAVA, DEARJ, ASEYF, CTATU, PMORE, FPWLV, JTRAV, JRMEY, EDRKN, WROME, CRZHT, JBRID, MGYLL

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 4, 2010 @ 05:06 PM 3438 views

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Monster High (MONHI) 1 30.78 (0.00)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 9.75 (+0.40)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 112 5.99 (+0.06)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 60.96 (+0.96)          Superman (SUPRM) 10000 284.39 (-1.50)          Superman (SUPRM) 39365 284.39 (-1.50)          Tony (TONY) 25000 16.98 (+0.01)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.24 (+0.45)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.24 (+0.45)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 25000 9.32 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 1 215.55 (-0.16)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 236.08 (+0.66)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 157.23 (+0.44)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 5241 523.90 (+0.02)          Superman (SUPRM) 150000 284.39 (-1.50)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 60.96 (+0.96)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 150000 297.05 (-1.00)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.24 (+0.45)          Fixed (FIXED) 50000 1.62 (0.00)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 18.12 (-0.48)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.24 (+0.45)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 25.10 (+0.06)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 25.05 (-0.04)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 35000 48.16 (-0.28)          Passenger (PSNGR) 50000 17.27 (+0.84)          Incidents Around the House aka U (IATHS) 50000 24.59 (0.00)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.24 (+0.45)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.24 (+0.45)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 18.12 (-0.48)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 18.12 (-0.48)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 1 5.99 (+0.06)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 60.96 (+0.96)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 32.94 (-0.10)          Unidentified (UNIDF) 150000 1.54 (+0.02)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 150000 33.56 (-0.13)          Marlee Matlin: Not Alone Anymore (MMNAA) 150000 0.48 (+0.02)          F1 The Movie (FORM1) 150000 153.50 (-0.33)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 150000 29.03 (-0.03)          Freakier Friday (FREK2) 150000 112.34 (+0.33)          Superman (SUPRM) 150000 284.39 (-1.50)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 60.96 (+0.96)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 62.53 (-1.33)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 62.53 (-1.33)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 60.96 (+0.96)          My Mother's Wedding (MMWED) 82500 0.61 (-0.01)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 25.86 (+0.20)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 113274 124.52 (+0.63)          Mission: Impossible - The Final (MISS8.BW) 25000 13.28 (+0.07)          Lilo & Stitch $370M Blockbuster (LILST.BW) 25000 15.08 (+0.07)          How to Train Your Dragon $225M B (HTTYD.BW) 25000 8.93 (+0.03)