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Whisper Numbers: How low will Solo’s second run go?

A trio of new films reach shore during the post-Memorial weekend, but none will challenge Solo: A Star Wars Story [SWAR2] for the top spot. With poor buzz and mixed reviews, Solo is unlikely to have the legs of the Star Wars films that opened in December. Over the last 2 years after Memorial Day weekend, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales and X-Men: Apocalypse both dropped 65%. Solo: A Star Wars Story will likely meet a similar fate and fall to $29.5 million.

Heading into its third weekend, Deadpool 2 [DEAD2] looks to gross another $20 million to cross the $250 million mark.

Shailene Woodley [SWOOD] and Sam Claflin [SCLAF] star in the survival drama Adrift [ADRFT] based on a true story. STX targets female moviegoers that opened Me Before You starring Claflin to $18.7 million on the same weekend two years ago. Landing in 3015 theaters, Adrift could wash up $13 million.

Johnny Knoxville [JKNOX] opens an amusement park with dangerous rides called Action Point [ACTNP]. His last Jackass film Bad Grandpa opened with $32.0 million in 2013. Paramount is hoping for similar success, but unfortunately, the R-rated comedy has not generate much buzz. Debuting in just 2032 theaters, Action Point may tally $10 million.

The R-rated sci-fi Upgrade [STEM] stars Logan Marshall-Green [LMARS] as a man implanted with a chip which then goes haywire. Blumhouse has a knack for connecting its film with its target audience. With positive reviews, Upgrade could download $4 million from 1457 theaters.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): SWAR2, DEAD2, SWOOD, SCLAF, ADRFT, JKNOX, ACTNP, STEM, LMARS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 31, 2018 @ 03:09 PM 834 views

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Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 30022 40.00 (0.00)         The Black Phone (BPHON) 45000 63.12 (+2.16)         Cleopatra - Paramount (CEOPT) 25000 31.54 (-1.18)         Book Club 2 - The Next Chapter (BKCL2) 25000 25.32 (+2.33)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Pussy Island (PUSYL) 150000 17.59 (+0.93)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 40.00 (0.00)         Elvis (ELVIS) 50000 95.63 (-2.34)         The Black Phone (BPHON) 1 63.12 (+2.16)         Top Gun: Maverick $470M Blockbus (TOPG2.BW) 25000 13.97 (+1.62)         The Black Phone (BPHON) 1 63.12 (+2.16)         80 For Brady (80FBR) 150000 18.54 (+0.97)         Book Club 2 - The Next Chapter (BKCL2) 1 25.32 (+2.33)         Book Club 2 - The Next Chapter (BKCL2) 150000 25.32 (+2.33)         Thor: Love and Thunder H$135 Cal (THOR4.CA) 25000 4.60 (+0.40)         Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 31.61 (+3.05)         Return to Seoul aka All the Peop (RTSEO) 150000 1.77 (-0.23)         Return to Seoul aka All the Peop (RTSEO) 150000 1.77 (-0.23)         Elvis (ELVIS) 50000 95.63 (-2.34)         Next Goal Wins (NGWIN) 150000 9.08 (+1.92)         Next Goal Wins (NGWIN) 150000 9.08 (+1.92)         Return to Seoul aka All the Peop (RTSEO) 150000 1.77 (-0.23)         Left Behind: Rise of the Antichr (LFTB2) 150000 5.82 (-0.18)         Thor: Love and Thunder H$135 Put (THOR4.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.05)         Thor: Love and Thunder H$135 Cal (THOR4.CA) 25000 4.60 (+0.40)         Thor: Love and Thunder - Opening (THOR4.OW) 100000 140.03 (+1.95)         Vesper (VESPR) 150000 1.84 (-0.07)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 40.00 (0.00)         Breathe (BRETE) 150000 9.94 (-0.38)         Brightwater (BRTWT) 150000 3.73 (-0.20)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 40.00 (0.00)         Lightyear (LITYR) 5000 152.43 (-6.64)         Lightyear (LITYR) 5000 152.43 (-6.64)         Elemental (ELMNT) 150000 128.67 (-0.29)         Wicked (WICKD) 150000 76.41 (+0.03)         My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 (MBFG3) 150000 33.22 (-0.32)         Marcel the Shell With Shoes On (MSWSO) 149999 4.02 (+0.17)         White Bird: A Wonder Story (WHBRD) 150000 28.99 (-0.29)         EL Muerto (MUERT) 150000 46.84 (+0.46)         HALLELUJAH: Leonard Cohen, A Jou (HLCJS) 150000 1.57 (+0.04)         Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 150000 119.61 (+0.70)         Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 109.74 (+1.88)         Book Club 2 - The Next Chapter (BKCL2) 150000 25.32 (+2.33)         Tom Hanks (THANK) 5000 98.88 (-0.20)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 40.00 (0.00)         Richard Roxburgh (RROXB) 5000 35.34 (+0.22)         Elvis (ELVIS) 6666 95.63 (-2.34)         Luke Bracey (LBRAC) 5000 51.54 (-0.20)         Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 106.99 (-1.00)         Jon Hamm (JHAMM) 25000 54.70 (-0.59)