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Whisper Numbers: The Twilight Saga set to Eclipse the box office.

Two new films with built-in audiences open mid-week as the box office head into the Independence Day holiday weekend.  The phenomenon The Twilight Saga returns with its third entry Eclipse [TWLI3].   The sequel has already set a new midnight record at $30+ million on its way to a first day total of $68.5 million, which also becomes a box office record for Wednesday.  There was no doubt the vampire vs. werewolf romance would be highly anticipated by “Twihards”.  The question now is whether Eclipse will turn out to be front-loaded.  Summit has given Eclipse the widest release ever at 4416 theaters.  Good word of mouth should drive additional business over the holiday weekend.  Team Edward and Team Jacob together are poised to haul in $95 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $185 million.

Even though Toy Story 3 [TOYS3] will give up the box office crown after two weeks, the Pixar animated sequel should remain the number one option for a broad segment of moviegoers.  The holiday weekend gives them a chance to check out the beloved characters for the last time on screen.  Toy Story 3 looks to bank another $40 million.

M. Night Shylamalan [MNSHY] has adapted the anime series “Avatar: The Last Airbender” into the live-action The Last Airbender [BENDR].  The PG-rated fantasy is riding in on a wave of bad publicity from casting White actors in Asian roles to the late conversion to 3D.  The film is likely to only appeal to families with young children as the terrible reviews may even turn off the hardcore fans.  Swooping into 3169 theaters, The Last Airbender could gather $32 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $42 million.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] and gang have not grown up and moviegoers love them for it.  Grown Ups [GRWUP] should bring families together over the holiday weekend to display around $24 million worth of box office fireworks.

The mild opening of Knight and Day [KNDAY] demonstrated moviegoers are over Tom Cruise [TCRUI].  The action romance may settle for $12 million over the 4-day weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI3, TOYS3, MNSHY, BENDR, ASAND, GRWUP, KNDAY, TCRUI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 1, 2010 @ 02:19 PM 3407 views

Recent Comments

b4bad
Friday, July 2 at 07:33 AM Pacific
Thursday estimates put it to $16M ... source : http://www.deadline.com/2010/07/thursday-box-office-eclipse-25m-the-last-airbender-16m-toy-story-3-8m/



Madden (MADEN) 150000 28.32 (+2.40)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.67 (+0.34)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.67 (+0.34)          The Crow (TCROW) 20000 23.41 (0.00)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 21.40 (+0.40)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 21.40 (+0.40)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.82 (+0.39)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.82 (+0.39)          Reagan (REAGN) 150000 3.92 (-0.02)          Play Dirty (PLDRT) 50000 24.85 (-0.06)          CBS: Tracker (TRACKR) 150 13.89 (+0.08)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 20000 23.56 (-0.02)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 40.24 (+1.14)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 3 21.67 (+0.34)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 3 21.67 (+0.34)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 22 8.85 (-0.05)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.76 (-0.25)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 78.30 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 9 285.46 (+0.25)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 3 30.29 (-0.06)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 3 30.29 (-0.06)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 3 268.04 (-0.09)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 3 268.04 (-0.09)          Elio (ELIO) 3 116.13 (-0.11)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 2 230.17 (+0.33)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 20000 29.58 (-0.01)          Elio (ELIO) 3 116.13 (-0.11)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 50 9.34 (+0.01)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 3 9.61 (-0.25)          The Watchers (WATCS) 20000 37.26 (-0.05)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 3 9.61 (-0.25)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 3 1.64 (-0.17)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 3 1.64 (-0.17)          Trap House (TRAPH) 2 22.07 (-0.47)          Trap House (TRAPH) 2 22.07 (-0.47)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 150000 9.61 (-0.25)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 50000 25.60 (-0.03)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 150000 9.61 (-0.25)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 3 21.67 (+0.34)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 3 21.67 (+0.34)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.07 (-0.47)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 3 21.40 (+0.40)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 3 21.40 (+0.40)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.07 (-0.47)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 3 8.19 (+0.78)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 3 8.19 (+0.78)          Madden (MADEN) 1 28.32 (+2.40)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 21.98 (-0.66)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 249 145.30 (-0.33)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 21.98 (-0.66)