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Whisper Numbers: The Twilight Saga set to Eclipse the box office.

Two new films with built-in audiences open mid-week as the box office head into the Independence Day holiday weekend.  The phenomenon The Twilight Saga returns with its third entry Eclipse [TWLI3].   The sequel has already set a new midnight record at $30+ million on its way to a first day total of $68.5 million, which also becomes a box office record for Wednesday.  There was no doubt the vampire vs. werewolf romance would be highly anticipated by “Twihards”.  The question now is whether Eclipse will turn out to be front-loaded.  Summit has given Eclipse the widest release ever at 4416 theaters.  Good word of mouth should drive additional business over the holiday weekend.  Team Edward and Team Jacob together are poised to haul in $95 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $185 million.

Even though Toy Story 3 [TOYS3] will give up the box office crown after two weeks, the Pixar animated sequel should remain the number one option for a broad segment of moviegoers.  The holiday weekend gives them a chance to check out the beloved characters for the last time on screen.  Toy Story 3 looks to bank another $40 million.

M. Night Shylamalan [MNSHY] has adapted the anime series “Avatar: The Last Airbender” into the live-action The Last Airbender [BENDR].  The PG-rated fantasy is riding in on a wave of bad publicity from casting White actors in Asian roles to the late conversion to 3D.  The film is likely to only appeal to families with young children as the terrible reviews may even turn off the hardcore fans.  Swooping into 3169 theaters, The Last Airbender could gather $32 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $42 million.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] and gang have not grown up and moviegoers love them for it.  Grown Ups [GRWUP] should bring families together over the holiday weekend to display around $24 million worth of box office fireworks.

The mild opening of Knight and Day [KNDAY] demonstrated moviegoers are over Tom Cruise [TCRUI].  The action romance may settle for $12 million over the 4-day weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI3, TOYS3, MNSHY, BENDR, ASAND, GRWUP, KNDAY, TCRUI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 1, 2010 @ 02:19 PM 3778 views

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b4bad
Friday, July 2 at 07:33 AM Pacific
Thursday estimates put it to $16M ... source : http://www.deadline.com/2010/07/thursday-box-office-eclipse-25m-the-last-airbender-16m-toy-story-3-8m/



Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 5.01 (+1.02)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 5.01 (+1.02)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 1000 9.07 (0.00)          High Side (HISID) 6000 26.79 (-0.16)          The Catch (TCATC) 149999 51.17 (+1.17)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 126243 488.21 (-0.29)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 40000 11.58 (-0.02)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 113340 544.35 (-0.63)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 113340 544.35 (-0.63)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 1000 149.29 (+0.01)          Michael (MJACK) 145000 242.37 (+9.74)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 25.72 (+0.03)          Hokum (HOKUM) 500 15.76 (-0.88)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 2000 206.28 (-10.68)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          High Side (HISID) 4000 26.79 (-0.16)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          Timothee Chalamet (TCHAL) 1200 135.21 (+0.02)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 10000 17.71 (+0.01)          Motor City (MTRCT) 149999 7.84 (+0.03)          Timothee Chalamet (TCHAL) 300 135.21 (+0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 149999 7.84 (+0.03)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 149999 7.23 (-0.14)          The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 150000 1.58 (-0.06)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 149999 7.23 (-0.14)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 149999 2.96 (+0.04)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 30000 17.71 (+0.01)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 149999 2.96 (+0.04)          Ethan Coen (COEN) 1000 48.63 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 40000 13.87 (-0.09)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.89 (-0.08)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 11.70 (-1.33)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 1 0.29 (-0.02)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 10000 33.93 (-0.10)          Omaha (OMAHA) 1 0.09 (+0.05)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 8.53 (-0.05)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 8.53 (-0.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.28 (-10.68)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.28 (-10.68)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 10000 33.93 (-0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 90.31 (+0.93)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 74.01 (-0.02)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 1 2.17 (+0.27)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.28 (-10.68)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 149999 206.28 (-10.68)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 1 1.44 (+0.04)