SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Memorial Weekend about to get Fast & Furious



Two blockbuster franchise sequels will duel this weekend in what could be one of the biggest Memorial Day weekends ever.  First to cross the finish line should be Fast & Furious 6 [FAST6], which caps off the second trilogy in Universal’s underground racing series. The fourth film 2009’s Fast & Furious reunited Vin Diesel [VDIES], Paul Walker [PWALK] and the cast from the original The Fast and The Furious to set an opening weekend record for April at $71 million. That was topped two years later by the next sequel Fast Five, which added Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] as a lawman and debuted at $86.2 million. The lawman returns to recruit the Fast & Furious crew for a mission in Europe. With a production budget that’s now nine figures, the vehicular action mayhem has been revved across the redline by director Justin Lin [JLIN]. Since the debut of its Super Bowl trailer, Fast & Furious has generated enormous buzz. The PG-13 rated film is highly anticipated by the young, urban target audience that will rush out opening weekend.  Drifting into 3658 theater, Fast & Furious should fuel up around $105 million over the 4-day weekend.

The biggest R-rated comedy trilogy concludes with The Hangover Part III [HNOV3]. The Hangover made a massive $277.3 million, which is still the third best ever for any R-rated film. The goodwill from that film led The Hangover Part II to open 2011’s Memorial Day weekend with $135 million over its first five days. Unfortunately, moviegoers did not enjoy the repetitive sequel set in Thailand. Part III returns the Wolfpack back to Vegas, but will burnt fans follow suit?  The reviews have been even worse this time,  which are unlikely to bring back the older adults. Wednesday’s midnight gross of $3.1 million is severely down from Part II’s $10.4 million midnight gross, so Part III's Thursday gross is likely to be only a third of Part II’s $31.4 million Thursday. Drinking in 3555 theaters, The Hangover Part III may wake up with $60 million from Friday to Monday.

The third new wide release for the weekend is the animated Epic [EPIC] from Blue Sky Studios. Fox targets the family audience with a PG-rated tale about a girl who gets shrunk into a world of miniature forest people. While the story lacks originality, Epic lacks any competition in the marketplace since The Croods opened to $43.6 million in March. However, animated adventures don't do as well as comedies, while teens and adults without kids have other choices. Zooming into 3882 theaters, Epic could capture $39 million during the extended holiday weekend.

Star Trek Into Darkness [TREK2] ended up performing about the same as the previous installment Star Trek. Although the sequel has held up well during the week, the weekend will present tough competition from Fast & Furious 6 and The Hangover Part III. Star Trek Into Darkness may beam up around $44 million over the long Memorial Day weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): FAST6, VDIES, PWALK, TROCK, JLIN, HNOV3, EPIC, TREK2

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 23, 2013 @ 04:21 PM        2346 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

On Chesil Beach (CHESL) 100000 0.88 (+0.10)         The Little Stranger (TLSTR) 25000 14.84 (+1.70)         The Sisters Brothers (TSBRO) 100000 9.61 (+7.94)         The Little Stranger (TLSTR) 100000 14.84 (+1.70)         Booksmart (BKSMR) 100000 14.97 (+1.96)         Deadpool 2 (DEAD2) 100000 309.08 (-1.15)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 25000 20.72 (+2.04)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 100000 20.72 (+2.04)         Honey in the Head (HNYHD) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Animal Crackers (ANMLC) 99999 14.53 (+2.29)         Kitty Pryde (KITYP) 25000 53.92 (-4.27)         Solo: A Star Wars Story H$175 Ca (SWAR2.CA) 20000 1.80 (-0.38)         American Chaos (AMCHO) 100000 1.50 (-0.39)         Solo: A Star Wars Story H$175 Ca (SWAR2.CA) 20000 1.80 (-0.38)         Solo: A Star Wars Story - Openin (SWAR2.OW) 100000 154.77 (-3.19)         Solo: A Star Wars Story - Openin (SWAR2.OW) 100000 154.77 (-3.19)         Doctor Sleep (DRSLP) 100000 33.80 (+1.93)         Solo: A Star Wars Story H$175 Pu (SWAR2.PU) 20000 4.80 (+0.53)         Ocean's 8 H$40 Call (OCEN4.CA) 20000 2.78 (+0.78)         Ocean's 8 - Opening Weekend (OCEN4.OW) 10000 41.17 (+1.17)         Solo: A Star Wars Story H$175 Pu (SWAR2.PU) 20000 4.80 (+0.53)         Hotel Artemis - Opening Weekend (ARTMS.OW) 10000 8.56 (-1.44)         Hotel Artemis H$10 Put (ARTMS.PU) 20000 2.06 (+0.06)         Hotel Artemis H$10 Call (ARTMS.CA) 20000 2.18 (+0.18)         Kitty Pryde (KITYP) 100000 53.92 (-4.27)         Hereditary H$15 Put (HERDT.PU) 20000 2.37 (+0.37)         Hereditary H$15 Call (HERDT.CA) 20000 1.67 (-0.33)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 100000 592.90 (-5.19)         Hereditary - Opening Weekend (HERDT.OW) 10000 14.29 (-0.71)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 100000 592.90 (-5.19)         Avengers: Infinity War $600M Blo (AVNG3.BW) 20000 9.30 (+1.25)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 336.59 (-5.95)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 336.59 (-5.95)         Transformers 7 (TFRM7) 100000 56.84 (-2.39)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 99999 8.71 (+0.71)         Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 99999 37.16 (+0.01)         Suicide Squad 2 (SUIC2) 99999 101.88 (+1.26)         A Simple Favor (ASFAV) 99999 28.73 (+0.86)         The Current War (CURNT) 99999 12.71 (+0.02)         Snow Ponies (SPONI) 99999 15.20 (-0.17)         Kitty Pryde (KITYP) 100000 53.92 (-4.27)         The Joker (JOKER) 99999 52.47 (-0.36)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 100000 100.43 (-3.12)         The Kitchen (TKTCH) 100000 36.08 (+0.13)         Honey in the Head (HNYHD) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Green Lantern Corps (GLAN2) 99999 58.29 (-0.60)         The Marsh King’s Daughter (TMKDT) 99999 13.47 (-0.10)         Solo: A Star Wars Story H$175 Ca (SWAR2.CA) 20000 1.80 (-0.38)         6 Underground (6UNDG) 99999 11.36 (-0.36)         The Parts You Lose (TPYLS) 1 11.11 (+0.03)