Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees are now trading.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: American Sniper aims for the record



A crowded holiday weekend at the box office is shaping up to be a potential record breaker. Warner Bros. wisely chose this weekend to expand American Sniper [AMSNP] as the R-rated drama secured six Oscar nominations including Best Picture and Best Actor for Bradley Cooper [BCOOP]. Clint Eastwood [CEAST] directed the R-rated war drama about the real-life soldier Chris Kyle, a tragic story that appeals to both liberals and conservatives. Last year, another movie about U.S. military heroics Lone Survivor debuted to $37.8 million over a 3-day weekend.  Advance ticket sales are already pointing to a bigger opening than Taken 3’s $39 million. Expanding into 3555 theaters, American Sniper may well set a new MLK weekend record with $49 million through Monday.

After ruling MLK weekend last year with a record $48.6 million for Ride Along, Kevin Hart [KHART] is back with another R-rated comedy, The Wedding Ringer [WEDRN]. While the Sony release has an original premise, the high-concept may be too outlandish even for a movie. Co-star Josh Gad [JGAD] may help broaden the audience, but he is not as popular as Ice Cube. The Wedding Ringer could walk away with $26 million from 3003 locations.

Taken 3 [TAKE3] still had plenty of fans. The action sequel could score another $22 million over the 4-day weekend.

The Weinstein Co. targets family moviegoers with Paddington [PADTN]. While immensely popular in its native England, the talking bear is not as familiar in America and could be too British for some parents. Opening in 3303 theaters, Paddington may stuff $19 million through the holiday weekend.

Chris Hemsworth toplines Blackhat [CYBER], a timely thriller about cyber-terrorism. However, the R-rated film has earned director Michael Mann [MMANN] some of his worst reviews. Universal has provided a minimal marketing campaign. Hacking into 2567 theaters, Blackhat could uncover $12 million over the long weekend.

After a weaker than expected expansion, Selma [SELMA] secured only two Oscar nominations, for Best Picture and Best Song. The MLK holiday weekend should help boost attendance for a film about Martin Luther King Jr..  Selma could gather another $11 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, BCOOP, CEAST, KHART, WEDRN, JGAD, TAKE3, PADTN, CYBER, MMANN, SELMA

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 15, 2015 @ 04:10 PM        1955 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Call of Duty (CODUT) 100000 28.73 (-0.19)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 87.45 (+0.01)         Ismael's Ghosts (ISHMG) 99999 0.99 (-0.01)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 50000 87.45 (+0.01)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 87.45 (+0.01)         Call of Duty (CODUT) 100000 28.73 (-0.19)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 1 4.52 (-0.04)         Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Fa (DWHWG) 100000 4.36 (+0.19)         A Rainy Day in New York aka Unti (ARDNY) 100000 3.77 (+0.28)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 99000 10.88 (+0.35)         Finding Your Feet (FYRFT) 99999 1.61 (-0.02)         Lobo (LOBO) 100000 26.18 (+0.40)         The Mule (TMULE) 100000 19.62 (+0.35)         Love After Love (LVALV) 99999 2.00 (-0.03)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 87.45 (+0.01)         Flower (FLWER) 100000 1.99 (-0.07)         Five Nights at Freddy's (5NAFD) 100000 19.69 (-0.15)         Samson (SAMSN) 100000 6.64 (+0.15)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 1 4.52 (-0.04)         The Endless (TENDL) 99999 1.50 (-0.01)         Five Nights at Freddy's (5NAFD) 99999 19.69 (-0.15)         The Death of Stalin (TDOST) 100000 1.22 (-0.06)         The Death of Stalin (TDOST) 100000 1.22 (-0.06)         Papillon (PAPIL) 40000 4.91 (-0.07)         Samson (SAMSN) 100000 6.64 (+0.15)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 100000 10.88 (+0.35)         The Trap (THTRP) 100000 3.69 (+0.12)         I Kill Giants (IKILG) 99999 1.81 (-0.02)         Call of Duty (CODUT) 100000 28.73 (-0.19)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 100000 10.88 (+0.35)         Papillon (PAPIL) 40000 4.91 (-0.07)         Lobo (LOBO) 100000 26.18 (+0.40)         A Rainy Day in New York aka Unti (ARDNY) 100000 3.77 (+0.28)         Lobo (LOBO) 100000 26.18 (+0.40)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 98000 10.88 (+0.35)         Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Fa (DWHWG) 100000 4.36 (+0.19)         Sweet Country (SWTCN) 99999 0.95 (-0.02)         Official Secrets (OFSEC) 1 12.32 (+0.25)         Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Fa (DWHWG) 100000 4.36 (+0.19)         Wrong Answer (WRANS) 1 17.34 (+0.35)         Wrong Answer (WRANS) 99999 17.34 (+0.35)         Journey's End (JRNEN) 99999 1.26 (-0.03)         The Last Movie Star aka Dog Year (DGYRS) 27 1.36 (0.00)         The Mule (TMULE) 1 19.62 (+0.35)         A Rainy Day in New York aka Unti (ARDNY) 99999 3.77 (+0.28)         Serenity (SRNTY) 100000 27.38 (+0.33)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 99999 4.52 (-0.04)         Furlough (FURLO) 99999 1.86 (-0.02)         San Andreas 2 (SAND2) 99999 43.93 (+0.13)         Serenity (SRNTY) 100000 27.38 (+0.33)