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Whisper Numbers: Weekend is on like Donkey Kong



Will nostalgia for 1980s classic videogames overcome nausea for Adam Sandler [ASAND] as Pixels [PIXEL] opens this weekend? The PG-13 rated sci-fi film presents an original premise of an alien invasion by the likes of Pac-Man, Donkey Kong and Centipede.  Gaming geeks are called upon to save the world. Unfortunately, the cast is led by the divisive and fading Sandler, with whom Sony has already severed future film ventures. Reviews have been among the worse of the year, but those will not matter to its target audience of young males. Loading up on 3723 theaters, Pixels could score $35 million.

Ant-Man [ANTMN] secured the lowest opening in Marvel Cinematic Universe since The Incredible Hulk, though it’s a success that the obscure superhero even made it on screen. Ant-Man is likely to shrink 50% in its second weekend to $28 million.

Fox targets teenagers with the adaptation of the John Green novel Paper Towns [PRTWN] starring Nat Wolff [NWOLF]. The adaptation of Green’s The Fault in Our Stars shocked Hollywood last year with a $48 million debut. The PG-13 rated Paper Towns is a coming-of-age story that lacks the doomed romance angle as well as Shailene Woodley. Although Cara Delevingne [CDELE] is a rising star, Paper Towns is still her first major role. Paper Towns could deliver $26 million from 3031 locations.

Trainwreck [TRWRC] established Amy Schumer [ASCHU] as a new comedic star. With a female target audience, Trainwreck should hold close to 60% for a $17 million sophomore frame.

Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] gets serious and transforms his body once again for his role as a down-on-his-luck boxer in Southpaw [SUPAW]. The Weinstein Co. has marketed the R-rated drama heavily to sports fan beginning with the Mayweather-Pacquiao fight back in May.  Paradoxically, the film has been tracking better with women. Fighting in 2772 theaters, Southpaw could slug out $14 million.

After grossing $2.4 million in 363 theaters in its opening weekend, Mr. Holmes [ASLTM] should be able to earn another $3 million in its expansion to 684 theaters. 

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): ASAND, PIXEL, ANTMN, PRTWN, NWOLF, CDELE, TRWRC, ASCHU, JGYLL, SUPAW, ASLTM

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 23, 2015 @ 03:25 PM        2683 views


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Run the Race (RTRAC) 1 6.10 (+1.17)         Terence Stamp (TSTAM) 20000 18.28 (0.00)         Random Acts of Violence (RACOV) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Iko Uwais (IUWAI) 20000 11.26 (-0.22)         Iko Uwais (IUWAI) 20000 11.26 (-0.22)         The Angry Birds Movie 2 (ANGR2) 100 62.67 (+1.18)         A Quiet Place 2 (AQPL2) 100000 109.16 (+2.78)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 99997 21.80 (-0.69)         I am Mother (IAMOT) 100000 1.33 (+0.02)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 10000 27.42 (+0.23)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 100000 0.97 (-1.03)         A Quiet Place 2 (AQPL2) 9 109.16 (+2.78)         Thomas Haden Church (THCHU) 20000 65.24 (+0.13)         Thomas Haden Church (THCHU) 20000 65.24 (+0.13)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 100 101.74 (+3.42)         How to Train Your Dragon: The Hi (HTYD3) 100000 135.74 (+2.42)         Alita: Battle Angel (ALITA) 100000 81.00 (+1.88)         How to Train Your Dragon: The Hi (HTYD3) 100000 135.74 (+2.42)         Brittany Runs a Marathon (BRUNM) 100000 12.34 (+0.55)         Random Acts of Violence (RACOV) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 20000 48.91 (-0.14)         A9: Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman - (A9DSLE) 10000 4.49 (-0.10)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 (PETS2) 8291 246.17 (-0.62)         Run the Race (RTRAC) 99999 6.10 (+1.17)         Random Acts of Violence (RACOV) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Native Son (NTVSN) 100000 1.57 (-0.10)         How to Train Your Dragon: The Hi (HTYD3) 100000 135.74 (+2.42)         John Turturro (JTURT) 20000 27.92 (-0.08)         Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 20000 54.43 (+1.07)         The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Par (LEGO2) 100000 96.49 (-0.14)         John Turturro (JTURT) 20000 27.92 (-0.08)         Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 20000 54.43 (+1.07)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 190 66.38 (+4.90)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 34.41 (+0.11)         The Kid (TKID) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 2.64 (0.00)         Ammonite (AMONT) 100000 11.05 (+0.05)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 34.41 (+0.11)         Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 20000 93.36 (+1.53)         Monopoly (MONOP) 100000 13.03 (-0.10)         Freida Pinto (FPINT) 20000 49.90 (+0.13)         Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 20000 54.97 (+0.13)         Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 20000 54.97 (+0.13)         Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 100000 36.67 (+0.06)         Hayley Atwell (HATWE) 20000 129.16 (-1.13)         Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 20000 70.33 (+1.01)         Hayley Atwell (HATWE) 20000 129.16 (-1.13)         Captain Marvel H$120 Put (CMARV.PU) 20000 1.99 (-0.19)         Captain Marvel H$120 Put (CMARV.PU) 20000 1.99 (-0.19)         Come Away (CAWAY) 100000 17.66 (-0.25)