HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Personally, I still don't know what to think about Gatsby.

Posted by: RogerMore (a.k.a CaineFund) on May 12, 21:28 in response to ChoiceFund (stevie1der328)'s post I wanted to try a little analysis on GATSB based on what...

The work I'm doing on HSXsanity has taught me that averages across all movies (like the 10% rule) are useful sometimes, but frequently wrong for specific movies and need to be put in context. (The lower potential for weekday BO is a good example of this)  But you really need to find like movies and compare performance. 

But there simply are no good comparisons for GATSB.

The audience is a weird mix of Leo fans, Baz Luhrmann fans, 1920s/Gatsby fans, people interested in the soundtrack and people interested in the style of the film.  There are few movies like it.  BOM is usually pretty good at identifying similar movies, but they're comparing it to Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Magic Mike, Dark Shadows, Hugo, J Edgar, Bridesmaids, Wall Street 2, etc... None of these movies are anything like GATSB.  If these are the best comparisons that BOM can suggest, there are no good comparisons.

The B+ Cinemascore is not a good sign, but OTOH the audience is varied and is looking for different things.  I'm thinking fans of the book probably gave it a C, while people drawn in by the ads probably gave it an A+ (I'm guessing this because a theme of the book is about how living a life of excess doesn't make you happy. But the film is marketed as "Excess! It's great, and so stylish! Enjoy life!")

It reminds me a little of MAMIA, which also got a B+ Cinemascore, and had great word of mouth.  Clearly enough of the audience thought it was A+, even though others (probably the poor souls who were dragged along to see it) didn't.

The drop on Saturday is a clear indicator of front-loading though.

Anyway, for Gatsby I'll adopt a wait-and-see approach until we get some more dats, but while I'm waiting and seeing, I'll be playing the players.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 5 16.00 (+0.08)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 4 5.26 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5 422.07 (+2.04)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 11.84 (+0.22)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 9 159.57 (+1.03)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 11.84 (+0.22)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 9 159.57 (+1.03)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 11.84 (+0.22)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 66 3.19 (-0.07)          Lucy Liu (LLIU) 25000 53.39 (+0.33)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 2000 8.60 (-1.10)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 18.94 (+0.09)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150 8.60 (-1.10)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.60 (-1.10)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.64 (+0.71)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.64 (+0.71)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 118.10 (-1.33)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 224.04 (-2.81)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 8.60 (-1.10)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 11001 1.00 (0.00)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 25000 134.32 (+0.66)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 8888 8.00 (0.00)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 8.60 (-1.10)          Stanley Tucci (STUCC) 25000 31.89 (+0.12)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 3000 4.28 (+0.11)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 1000 11.69 (-1.47)          Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 13.95 (-0.11)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 5000 8.60 (-1.10)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 124175 265.25 (+1.50)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 38788 8.00 (0.00)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.04 (-2.81)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.64 (+0.71)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.64 (+0.71)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 71890 78.90 (-0.42)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.04 (-2.81)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.60 (-1.10)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.60 (-1.10)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 74000 78.90 (-0.42)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 85000 11.69 (-1.47)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 122956 224.04 (-2.81)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 11.69 (-1.47)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149999 422.07 (+2.04)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 20.76 (+0.08)