HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I'll take a stab at it...

Posted by: tealfan on May 21, 17:26 in response to zao111's post Any advice for playing summer blockbusters?

Opening Weekend
Keep an eye on the tracking numbers (MTC, BTC, RS) and the estimates/projections that come out Friday night.  Then play accordingly.  But if you already play openers during the year, then you probably already know this stuff.

Delists
Kids movies (especially your Pixars & your animated features) are almost always delists longs.  Understandable since the kids are going to the movies even on weekdays.

StarBonds
Be sure to play the StarBonds for the blockbusters ($100M or more).  Movies that make $250M or more make the math especially easy, since you know the cutoff is at $250M.

Blockbuster Warrants
Don't forget these.  Usually after a blockbuster's 2nd weekend actuals, Antibody decides on the strike price and adds the BW to the Calendar.

Finally, Box Office Mojo is your friend.  It's a treasure trove of box office numbers - past & present.  Good luck!

 





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Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 25000 10.83 (-0.35)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          Gerard Butler (GBUTL) 25000 68.11 (+1.27)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 5.86 (-4.00)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 5.86 (-4.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.29 (+1.62)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.29 (+1.62)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          Will Ferrell (WFERR) 25000 106.54 (-0.57)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 100000 26.69 (-0.10)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 2.52 (+0.17)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 2.52 (+0.17)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 100000 26.69 (-0.10)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 60.84 (-1.41)          GOAT (TGOAT) 100000 60.84 (-1.41)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 3.71 (-0.20)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 51.04 (+1.17)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 5000 3.75 (+0.29)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.46 (+0.24)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 34.11 (+0.10)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1 107.00 (-0.08)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 60.84 (-1.41)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 100 18.29 (+1.62)          Melania (MLNIA) 149999 13.97 (-0.91)          Troy Kotsur (TKOTS) 25000 8.39 (-0.52)          Ric Roman Waugh (RRWAU) 25000 26.97 (+0.18)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 2 266.16 (-0.75)          Shiver (SHVER) 10 63.03 (-1.12)          Natalie Portman (NPORT) 25000 100.31 (+0.90)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 149999 4.86 (+0.09)          Aldis Hodge (AHODG) 25000 60.88 (+0.25)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 5000 1.63 (-0.02)          Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 25000 10.83 (-0.35)          Laura Dern (LDERN) 25000 72.97 (-0.36)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 16.51 (+0.19)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 51.04 (+1.17)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 6.75 (-0.49)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 5 97.24 (+0.02)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.46 (+0.24)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 54.41 (-0.59)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 95.00 (0.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 1 351.57 (+1.24)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.57 (-0.01)          Meghann Fahy (MFAHY) 25000 5.43 (+0.06)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 54.41 (-0.59)          Magellan (MGELN) 150000 0.21 (-0.02)