HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I'll take a stab at it...

Posted by: tealfan on May 21, 17:26 in response to zao111's post Any advice for playing summer blockbusters?

Opening Weekend
Keep an eye on the tracking numbers (MTC, BTC, RS) and the estimates/projections that come out Friday night.  Then play accordingly.  But if you already play openers during the year, then you probably already know this stuff.

Delists
Kids movies (especially your Pixars & your animated features) are almost always delists longs.  Understandable since the kids are going to the movies even on weekdays.

StarBonds
Be sure to play the StarBonds for the blockbusters ($100M or more).  Movies that make $250M or more make the math especially easy, since you know the cutoff is at $250M.

Blockbuster Warrants
Don't forget these.  Usually after a blockbuster's 2nd weekend actuals, Antibody decides on the strike price and adds the BW to the Calendar.

Finally, Box Office Mojo is your friend.  It's a treasure trove of box office numbers - past & present.  Good luck!

 





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Richard Madden (RMADD) 100 93.81 (0.00)          Alan Tudyk (ATUDY) 25000 133.45 (+0.33)          Richard Ayoade (RAYOA) 100 33.85 (0.00)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 100 36.04 (+0.12)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 17.82 (-0.14)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 17.82 (-0.14)          Pilou Asbaek (PASBA) 100 57.19 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 12025 1.94 (-0.06)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 12025 9.62 (-0.38)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 5000 1.93 (+0.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 10000 24.91 (-0.45)          Olga Kurylenko (OKURY) 100 69.05 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 10000 2.50 (-0.07)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.93 (+0.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.91 (-0.45)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.44 (-0.07)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 12025 22.79 (+0.10)          Miles Teller (MTELL) 50 66.94 (-0.25)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.47 (+0.04)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 3.63 (+0.06)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.46 (-0.04)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 12025 26.96 (-0.31)          David (DAVID) 10003 76.67 (-0.01)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 10000 2.92 (+0.04)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 1000 1.68 (-0.02)          Mary Elizabeth Winstead (MEWIN) 100 30.95 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 22 460.44 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 12025 127.69 (+0.55)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 12026 5.55 (-0.13)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.43 (+0.72)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 2025 22.35 (-0.01)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 100 18.99 (-0.04)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25 22.35 (-0.01)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 24 43.46 (+0.16)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 150000 8.17 (-0.03)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 25 8.17 (-0.03)          Empire City (EMPCT) 12500 19.06 (-0.17)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.93 (+0.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 5000 107.91 (+0.11)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.50 (-0.07)          Sonequa Martin-Green (SMGRE) 2025 25.82 (-0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.91 (-0.45)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.77 (-0.96)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.77 (-0.96)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.16 (-0.25)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.93 (+0.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.50 (-0.07)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.91 (-0.45)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 141206 78.77 (-0.96)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 114119 78.77 (-0.96)