HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I'll take a stab at it...

Posted by: tealfan on May 21, 17:26 in response to zao111's post Any advice for playing summer blockbusters?

Opening Weekend
Keep an eye on the tracking numbers (MTC, BTC, RS) and the estimates/projections that come out Friday night.  Then play accordingly.  But if you already play openers during the year, then you probably already know this stuff.

Delists
Kids movies (especially your Pixars & your animated features) are almost always delists longs.  Understandable since the kids are going to the movies even on weekdays.

StarBonds
Be sure to play the StarBonds for the blockbusters ($100M or more).  Movies that make $250M or more make the math especially easy, since you know the cutoff is at $250M.

Blockbuster Warrants
Don't forget these.  Usually after a blockbuster's 2nd weekend actuals, Antibody decides on the strike price and adds the BW to the Calendar.

Finally, Box Office Mojo is your friend.  It's a treasure trove of box office numbers - past & present.  Good luck!

 





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Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 88.03 (+0.75)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 88.03 (+0.75)          Billion Dollar Spy (BDSPY) 5 5.75 (-0.02)          Bambi (BAMBI) 175 12.04 (-0.08)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.04 (-2.81)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 6 23.65 (+0.12)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.57 (+0.64)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 25000 23.65 (+0.12)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 25000 128.45 (-0.33)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.57 (+0.64)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.04 (-2.81)          Lady Gaga (LGAGA) 25000 98.21 (+0.25)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 1000 0.07 (+0.02)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 4 11.01 (+0.02)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 8 8.26 (+0.06)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 35 58.53 (+1.78)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 24999 147.63 (+0.01)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 5 16.00 (+0.08)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 4 5.26 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5 422.07 (+2.04)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 11.84 (+0.22)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 9 159.57 (+1.03)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 11.84 (+0.22)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 9 159.57 (+1.03)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 11.84 (+0.22)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 66 3.19 (-0.07)          Lucy Liu (LLIU) 25000 53.39 (+0.33)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 2000 8.60 (-1.10)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 18.94 (+0.09)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150 8.60 (-1.10)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.60 (-1.10)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.57 (+0.64)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.57 (+0.64)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 118.10 (-1.33)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 224.04 (-2.81)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 8.60 (-1.10)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 11001 1.00 (0.00)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 25000 134.32 (+0.66)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.34 (+0.30)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 8888 8.00 (0.00)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 8.60 (-1.10)          Stanley Tucci (STUCC) 25000 31.89 (+0.12)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 3000 4.28 (+0.11)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 1000 11.69 (-1.47)          Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 13.95 (-0.11)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 5000 8.60 (-1.10)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 124175 265.25 (+1.50)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 38788 8.00 (0.00)