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Playing & Trading Strategy

Building on Moviesnob's point, you may want to structure this by keeping the broad categories and then subdividing them based on results.

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 09, 07:10 in response to Moviesnob's post I think Roger's advice about looking at the data and...

In. For example, you would have data on all the movies in a certain genre, and then sort them from highest delist multiplier to lowest. Look at the extreme 10% at both ends - the movies with the highest DMs and the movies with the lowest - and see what commonalities exist in those two groups. Maybe you'll see a lot of movies targeted at a particular audience (like African Americans, women over 25, conservative Christians, etc), or a particular sub-genre (like action - sci-fi, comedy - spoof, etc) or release date (build-up to Oscars, holiday weekend, etc). Then you go back and check the whole data set for other movies that fit into that category.

you don't need to shoehorn every movie into a sub-category - what you want is an average for the group and an explanation for why the outliers are so different from the average. If there's a sub-genre that performs the same as the genre average, it's not interesting

I think I'll do this (over time) with my own data - I've been meaning to do somethig like this for a long time, but relying on BOM's similar movies is too easy.





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White Lies (WHTLI) 50000 9.83 (-0.17)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 100000 69.17 (-0.45)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 69.17 (-0.45)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 43.40 (-0.20)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 149975 22.49 (+0.24)          The Catch (TCATC) 149975 69.17 (-0.45)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1000 124.62 (-4.76)          Couture (STCHS) 1000 1.38 (-0.12)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 1000 4.64 (-0.51)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Get Out (BEARC) 1000 2.75 (-0.37)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 4.64 (-0.51)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 4.64 (-0.51)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 43139 104.80 (+2.36)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 20000 74.79 (+0.54)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 29739 104.80 (+2.36)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 149975 23.29 (-0.03)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 29739 104.80 (+2.36)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 7.05 (-0.24)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.23 (-0.11)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.23 (-0.11)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 4 124.62 (-4.76)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 39341 104.80 (+2.36)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.83 (-0.17)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 19.11 (-0.45)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 19.11 (-0.45)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.83 (-0.17)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 8.27 (-0.19)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 8.27 (-0.19)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.49 (+0.18)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.49 (+0.18)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.14 (+0.08)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.14 (+0.08)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 3.97 (+0.04)          Ecto aka Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 150000 4.60 (+0.01)          Broadsword (BROSW) 150000 44.64 (+1.08)          Broadsword (BROSW) 150000 44.64 (+1.08)          The Thing That Hurts (TTTHU) 150000 1.42 (+0.02)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 1.28 (+0.02)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRA) 150000 0.84 (+0.02)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 24.47 (-0.06)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 150000 2.19 (+0.02)          Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 150000 2.10 (+0.04)          Voyagers (VOYGR) 150000 1.78 (+0.02)          Boner aka Rise (VIAGR) 150000 1.76 (-0.01)