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Playing & Trading Strategy

Building on Moviesnob's point, you may want to structure this by keeping the broad categories and then subdividing them based on results.

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 09, 07:10 in response to Moviesnob's post I think Roger's advice about looking at the data and...

In. For example, you would have data on all the movies in a certain genre, and then sort them from highest delist multiplier to lowest. Look at the extreme 10% at both ends - the movies with the highest DMs and the movies with the lowest - and see what commonalities exist in those two groups. Maybe you'll see a lot of movies targeted at a particular audience (like African Americans, women over 25, conservative Christians, etc), or a particular sub-genre (like action - sci-fi, comedy - spoof, etc) or release date (build-up to Oscars, holiday weekend, etc). Then you go back and check the whole data set for other movies that fit into that category.

you don't need to shoehorn every movie into a sub-category - what you want is an average for the group and an explanation for why the outliers are so different from the average. If there's a sub-genre that performs the same as the genre average, it's not interesting

I think I'll do this (over time) with my own data - I've been meaning to do somethig like this for a long time, but relying on BOM's similar movies is too easy.





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Underland (UNDRL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Underland (UNDRL) 140000 1.00 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 5000 104.21 (-0.24)          Hexed (HEXED) 5000 104.21 (-0.24)          Rose (ROSE) 140000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 24.01 (+0.02)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 10000 20.69 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 101.28 (-0.40)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.27 (-0.62)          Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 25000 90.07 (+0.50)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 15.95 (+0.04)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.27 (-0.62)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 26.66 (-0.88)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 145000 52.10 (-0.93)          King Snake (KSNAK) 10000 13.44 (-0.03)          Tow (TOW) 150000 3.10 (-0.41)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 1000 89.72 (-0.46)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 146000 52.10 (-0.93)          Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 10000 15.04 (-0.02)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10000 3.27 (-0.62)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10000 3.27 (-0.62)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 10000 52.10 (-0.93)          Rose (ROSE) 100000 2.00 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 10000 18.65 (-0.03)          Pressure (PRSUR) 10000 18.65 (-0.03)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.10 (-0.93)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.10 (-0.93)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 25000 52.10 (-0.93)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 100 119.31 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.45 (+1.92)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.45 (+1.92)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 16.39 (+3.06)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 16.39 (+3.06)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 100 224.96 (-1.00)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 100 101.35 (+1.00)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 100 186.76 (-1.48)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 100 69.71 (-0.25)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 1764 89.72 (-0.46)          Underland (UNDRL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)