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Playing & Trading Strategy

Building on Moviesnob's point, you may want to structure this by keeping the broad categories and then subdividing them based on results.

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 09, 07:10 in response to Moviesnob's post I think Roger's advice about looking at the data and...

In. For example, you would have data on all the movies in a certain genre, and then sort them from highest delist multiplier to lowest. Look at the extreme 10% at both ends - the movies with the highest DMs and the movies with the lowest - and see what commonalities exist in those two groups. Maybe you'll see a lot of movies targeted at a particular audience (like African Americans, women over 25, conservative Christians, etc), or a particular sub-genre (like action - sci-fi, comedy - spoof, etc) or release date (build-up to Oscars, holiday weekend, etc). Then you go back and check the whole data set for other movies that fit into that category.

you don't need to shoehorn every movie into a sub-category - what you want is an average for the group and an explanation for why the outliers are so different from the average. If there's a sub-genre that performs the same as the genre average, it's not interesting

I think I'll do this (over time) with my own data - I've been meaning to do somethig like this for a long time, but relying on BOM's similar movies is too easy.





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Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 40000 18.76 (+1.62)          Narcs (NARCS) 50000 29.99 (+0.05)          The Hole (THHOL) 50 5.51 (-0.49)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 4392 0.95 (-0.02)          Turpentine (TURPN) 20000 8.12 (+0.94)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 39000 18.76 (+1.62)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 35000 36.46 (-0.02)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 200 20.00 (-1.07)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 88.53 (-0.60)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 88.53 (-0.60)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 5.51 (-0.49)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 24000 77.15 (-0.14)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 150000 3.25 (-0.30)          Fing! (FING) 50000 7.31 (-0.01)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 50000 37.61 (+0.03)          The Brand aka Branded (BRAND) 150000 1.95 (+1.28)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 100000 20.00 (-1.07)          Mr. Irrelevant (MREVL) 1 31.76 (-0.03)          Turpentine (TURPN) 1 8.12 (+0.94)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 50000 168.88 (-0.36)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 8.12 (+0.94)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 140000 15.64 (+0.39)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 1 3.87 (+0.80)          Octet (OCTET) 1 15.76 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 50000 21.81 (-0.04)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 1400 9.59 (-0.03)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 25000 3.87 (+0.80)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 3000 9.22 (+0.10)          King (KING) 30000 3.24 (+0.14)          Babies (BBIES) 1 16.98 (0.00)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 25000 6.62 (0.00)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 49999 29.37 (-0.01)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 25000 6.62 (0.00)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 30 19.78 (+0.20)          Tender Loving Care (TLVCR) 50000 1.30 (+0.15)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 1 3.87 (+0.80)          Wildwood (WILDW) 31 36.58 (+0.12)          Flavia: Girl Detective (FLAVI) 1 2.17 (0.00)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 1 23.11 (-0.06)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 5 17.91 (-0.08)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 150000 3.25 (-0.30)          Clayface (CLAYF) 24000 55.44 (+2.05)          Marisa Tomei (MTOME) 25000 131.23 (-0.66)          Clayface (CLAYF) 14009 55.44 (+2.05)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 89.66 (-1.33)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 89.66 (-1.33)          John Cho (JCHO) 25000 8.68 (-0.10)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 25000 101.54 (-0.33)          David Dastmalchian (DDAST) 25000 12.75 (+0.10)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 18.76 (+1.62)