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Playing & Trading Strategy

Building on Moviesnob's point, you may want to structure this by keeping the broad categories and then subdividing them based on results.

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 09, 07:10 in response to Moviesnob's post I think Roger's advice about looking at the data and...

In. For example, you would have data on all the movies in a certain genre, and then sort them from highest delist multiplier to lowest. Look at the extreme 10% at both ends - the movies with the highest DMs and the movies with the lowest - and see what commonalities exist in those two groups. Maybe you'll see a lot of movies targeted at a particular audience (like African Americans, women over 25, conservative Christians, etc), or a particular sub-genre (like action - sci-fi, comedy - spoof, etc) or release date (build-up to Oscars, holiday weekend, etc). Then you go back and check the whole data set for other movies that fit into that category.

you don't need to shoehorn every movie into a sub-category - what you want is an average for the group and an explanation for why the outliers are so different from the average. If there's a sub-genre that performs the same as the genre average, it's not interesting

I think I'll do this (over time) with my own data - I've been meaning to do somethig like this for a long time, but relying on BOM's similar movies is too easy.





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The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 309.66 (-0.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 309.66 (-0.01)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 24.45 (+0.06)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 104.63 (+2.19)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 26.22 (-1.93)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 26.22 (-1.93)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 233.10 (-1.96)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 42.42 (-3.27)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 8.34 (+0.16)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 149999 8.91 (+0.69)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 8.91 (+0.69)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.60 (-4.78)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.60 (-4.78)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 1000 5.00 (0.00)          Whalefall (WHALF) 3315 39.65 (+0.37)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 10000 311.18 (+1.38)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 2 101.85 (-0.69)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 19000 46.34 (+0.17)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.60 (-4.78)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 4000 522.85 (-0.48)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 3000 163.19 (-0.25)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 4000 242.77 (+0.19)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.60 (-4.78)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 3000 158.61 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.60 (-4.78)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 149999 4.57 (-0.58)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 4.57 (-0.58)          Whalefall (WHALF) 11000 39.65 (+0.37)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 6 82.21 (+0.18)          Moana (MOAN1) 2 233.10 (-1.96)          Evil Dead Burn - Opening Weekend (EVLD6.OW) 1 23.21 (+1.42)          Young Washington (YWASH) 3 33.23 (-0.60)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 1 5.00 (0.00)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 600 119.24 (-0.37)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 218 7.72 (-0.06)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 35 111.48 (-0.02)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 165 13.28 (-0.04)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 7 3.97 (-0.02)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 6 12.88 (-0.06)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 4 6.88 (-0.02)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 125 17.89 (-0.13)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 10.64 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 199.48 (+0.13)          The Saint (TSAIN) 16 4.55 (-0.04)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 6 1.98 (+0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 50 27.26 (+1.24)          Voltron (VOLTN) 3 20.91 (+0.04)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 3 8.53 (-0.01)