HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Depends on what happens around adjust, and whether or not it's a good movie

Posted by: JohnTEQP on Dec 13, 13:55 in response to islander's post I have a question for the rich people about holding a...

After the adjust, I look at 4 things: 1) Was the move in the direction I was expecting, or was it the opposite? 2) Was it a minor move, or a major one? 3) What's the buzz, i.e. is it a good movie or a bad one? 4)

For example, I was holding [INVIC] long. Mistake: it dropped H$18. That's a big drop. So should I keep it long, or admit my mistake, and short it now?

I'm holding it long to delist, because I've already paid for my mistake. So the question for me today is: would I buy it at this price, or short it? The reviews have been great, and the buzz seems to be good. It's a serious drama for adults; those tend to build well, so the delist will probably be higher than the adjust. Comedies, action movies, and movies specifically aimed at teens [TWLI2] tend to be frontloaded on the opening weekend, so those are usually a safe bet to hold short to delist.


Tag(s): INVIC, TWLI2





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Miami Vice (MIVIC) 500 99.71 (+0.67)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 75000 5.30 (+0.11)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 6.90 (-5.26)          Balls Up (BALUP) 149999 6.90 (-5.26)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 12992 41.17 (+0.46)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 20000 100.39 (-2.76)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 20000 12.96 (-0.45)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 10000 35.98 (+0.35)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.58 (-0.42)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.48 (+0.48)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.58 (-0.42)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 31000 7.98 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 3.17 (+1.17)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.76 (-0.24)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 50000 20.00 (0.00)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 5000 148.79 (-0.33)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 8165 41.17 (+0.46)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 32.71 (0.00)          Young Washington (YWASH) 526 29.38 (-0.09)          Backrooms (BACRM) 100000 31.91 (+0.02)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 61000 4.99 (-0.03)          Shiver (SHVER) 25000 78.08 (-0.39)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.67 (+0.67)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 149999 19.39 (+0.93)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 25000 78.08 (-0.39)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 11871 41.17 (+0.46)          Charlie Harper (CHARP) 40000 4.61 (-0.01)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 6541 11.22 (-0.37)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 1088 68.83 (-0.01)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 30000 11.22 (-0.37)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 12866 41.17 (+0.46)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 22.29 (+2.66)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 22.29 (+2.66)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 61000 10.23 (+0.38)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.48 (+0.48)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.63 (+0.06)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 1 100.39 (-2.76)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 1 22.29 (+2.66)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 22.29 (+2.66)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.39 (-2.76)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 4.61 (-1.85)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.05 (+1.05)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 40.70 (+0.90)