HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Depends on what happens around adjust, and whether or not it's a good movie

Posted by: JohnTEQP on Dec 13, 13:55 in response to islander's post I have a question for the rich people about holding a...

After the adjust, I look at 4 things: 1) Was the move in the direction I was expecting, or was it the opposite? 2) Was it a minor move, or a major one? 3) What's the buzz, i.e. is it a good movie or a bad one? 4)

For example, I was holding [INVIC] long. Mistake: it dropped H$18. That's a big drop. So should I keep it long, or admit my mistake, and short it now?

I'm holding it long to delist, because I've already paid for my mistake. So the question for me today is: would I buy it at this price, or short it? The reviews have been great, and the buzz seems to be good. It's a serious drama for adults; those tend to build well, so the delist will probably be higher than the adjust. Comedies, action movies, and movies specifically aimed at teens [TWLI2] tend to be frontloaded on the opening weekend, so those are usually a safe bet to hold short to delist.


Tag(s): INVIC, TWLI2





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Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 15000 113.04 (-3.32)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 10 9.77 (-0.07)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 25000 46.90 (-0.19)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 4000 289.43 (-1.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 4005 289.43 (-1.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 36.52 (+1.83)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 1595 289.43 (-1.00)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 100000 18.59 (-0.04)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 100000 0.95 (0.00)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 25000 53.47 (+0.38)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 47710 294.13 (+1.22)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 100000 441.98 (-2.87)          Eternity (ETERN) 1002 13.89 (-0.23)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 12500 36.43 (-0.95)          Eternity (ETERN) 22999 13.89 (-0.23)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.89 (+0.57)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 13.89 (-0.23)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 13.89 (-0.23)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.48 (+0.06)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.48 (+0.06)          David (DAVID) 150000 74.40 (-1.46)          David (DAVID) 150000 74.40 (-1.46)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 2.93 (-0.10)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 2.93 (-0.10)          Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 11.94 (-0.15)          Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 11.94 (-0.15)          Fellowship (FELWS) 15015 15.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.79 (-0.11)          Babies (BBIES) 10010 10.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.98 (-2.87)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.79 (-0.11)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.57 (-0.43)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.28 (-0.72)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 19995 63.76 (+1.56)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 70.98 (-1.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 90000 15.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.64 (+0.60)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 70.98 (-1.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 15.00 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 3000 69.82 (-0.01)          Jason Mewes (JMEWE) 600 1.47 (-0.01)          Babies (BBIES) 65000 10.00 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 0.59 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.98 (-2.87)