HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Depends on what happens around adjust, and whether or not it's a good movie

Posted by: JohnTEQP on Dec 13, 13:55 in response to islander's post I have a question for the rich people about holding a...

After the adjust, I look at 4 things: 1) Was the move in the direction I was expecting, or was it the opposite? 2) Was it a minor move, or a major one? 3) What's the buzz, i.e. is it a good movie or a bad one? 4)

For example, I was holding [INVIC] long. Mistake: it dropped H$18. That's a big drop. So should I keep it long, or admit my mistake, and short it now?

I'm holding it long to delist, because I've already paid for my mistake. So the question for me today is: would I buy it at this price, or short it? The reviews have been great, and the buzz seems to be good. It's a serious drama for adults; those tend to build well, so the delist will probably be higher than the adjust. Comedies, action movies, and movies specifically aimed at teens [TWLI2] tend to be frontloaded on the opening weekend, so those are usually a safe bet to hold short to delist.


Tag(s): INVIC, TWLI2





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The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 100000 18.00 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5 311.64 (+1.12)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 5 43.92 (+0.22)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 150000 10.09 (-0.55)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 70 26.62 (-0.03)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 4 7.00 (+0.02)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 150000 3.46 (-0.20)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 8 82.44 (-0.48)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 5 73.51 (-0.29)          Shiver (SHVER) 20 64.41 (+7.01)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 150000 1.43 (+0.05)          Untitled K-Pop Movie (KPOPM) 6 34.26 (-0.17)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 5 30.74 (+0.10)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 5 133.00 (+0.54)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 5 228.39 (-0.86)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 5 42.45 (-0.14)          Buds (BUDS) 5 29.84 (-0.12)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 2000 18.00 (0.00)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 6 34.90 (+0.16)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 87.26 (-0.78)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 4 73.05 (-0.01)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 7.21 (+0.43)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 5 112.84 (-0.37)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 4 80.75 (+0.08)          Archangel (ARCNG) 65 16.95 (+0.05)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 25.18 (+0.49)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 25.18 (+0.49)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 5 24.19 (+0.09)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 5 13.35 (-0.08)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 340 12.60 (+0.05)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 100000 26.79 (+0.32)          Whalefall (WHALF) 5 26.54 (-0.10)          Crime 101 - Opening Weekend Fri- (CRIM1.OW) 69689 10.87 (+0.25)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 4 49.62 (+0.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 8 49.02 (-0.26)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 8 14.86 (+0.08)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD.OW) 100000 5.77 (+0.13)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 10 12.75 (-0.12)          GOAT H$25 Call Fri-Mon (TGOAT.CA) 25000 2.79 (+0.10)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 2.33 (+0.02)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 20 35.61 (+0.63)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 49.64 (+1.41)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 4 50.99 (-0.10)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Put Fri-M (WUTHR.PU) 25000 2.56 (-0.31)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.18 (+0.36)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 4 24.64 (-0.07)